05-15-24 |
Mavs v. Thunder -4 | Top | 104-92 |
Loss | -110 | 23 h 1 m | Show |
Fade the trendy dog. OKC has life as the series moves to their home court. Thunder will be looking to make a statement. |
05-11-24 |
Celtics -7.5 v. Cavs | Top | 106-93 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
This is similar to the first round. Celtics get beat at home then embarrass the team on their home court. This is a bounce back spot for Boston. |
05-09-24 |
Mavs v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 119-110 |
Loss | -115 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
We took OKC game 1. Nothing that I saw that game makes me think that Dallas can compete. Jump on this early line. |
05-07-24 |
Mavs v. Thunder -3.5 | Top | 95-117 |
Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show |
OKC won both games in OKC vs Dallas this season. OKC has won their L9. OKC has covered 7 of their L8. OKC has been resting while Dallas played 6 against LAC. OKC is the better team and should cover this small number. |
04-27-24 |
Nuggets -3.5 v. Lakers | Top | 108-119 |
Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Lakers don't match up well against Denver. Nuggets get the sweep. |
04-19-24 |
Kings v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 98-105 |
Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
Pelicans have owned the Kings this season. This number is an exaggeration of Zion being out. The Pels beat this team without Zion in the past and they'll do it again. |
03-20-24 |
Bucks v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 119-122 |
Loss | -110 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
This is a big number for a reason. Boston is rolling. Bucks are good, but the Celtics are next level. Offensively Boston should be able to do what they want. Celtics play better against good teams. This should be a cake walk at home for Celtics. |
03-17-24 |
Celtics -10.5 v. Wizards | Top | 130-104 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Boston is the rested and the better team. Wizards just got smoked by Chicago yesterday. In fact their L3 games have been blowout losses. Tank mode has arrived. Boston has been playing well scoring 121 or more in their L3 games. They have depth so even if someone sits they should have no problem covering this large number against the bottom dwelling Wizards. |
03-07-24 |
Heat +4.5 v. Mavs | Top | 108-114 |
Loss | -110 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
The public is split but the sharps have chosen a side. We've seen this line move in our favor. Heat are 8-2 their L10 SU and ATS. Dallas has been average losing their L3 while going 5-5 their L10. Heat cover on the road at a rate of 62%. They play especially well as a road dog cashing 65% of the time. Dallas likes to go fast. Defense travels and Miami should be able to keep the pace to their liking. Heat are the better rebounding team and they don't turn the ball over much. Both teams are on equal rest. This is the time of the year when Miami takes the season seriously. They're trying to stay out of that play in game and should keep it close in Dallas. I'd sprinkle on the ML as well. |
03-02-24 |
Jazz v. Heat -8 | Top | 120-126 |
Loss | -110 | 18 h 54 m | Show |
We have successfully been fading Utah recently. They're 2-6 ATS on the road. The Heat on the other hand have come out of the ASB strong. They've won 5 of their L6 which were all on the road. But what's more impressive is that they've covered 9 straight. |
03-01-24 |
Mavs v. Celtics -9 | Top | 110-138 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
We have line movement in our favor. Boston has won and covered the L3 in this series. Overall they've won their L9 covering the L4. Boston is unbelievable at home. |
02-29-24 |
Jazz v. Magic -5 | Top | 107-115 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
Orlando is the better team and tends to beat up on the lesser teams. Especially teams that don't play good team defense. Orlando plays well on their home court. Utah has struggled away from Salt Lake. Utah is 1-6 their L7 both SU and ATS. Jazz have been getting steamrolled by everyone. Expect the same here. |
02-23-24 |
Nuggets v. Blazers +8.5 | Top | 127-112 |
Loss | -105 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
We've seen this line drop from 10. Denver is on the 2H of a B2B. Denver has dominated this series but Portland has covered the L2 and both of those games were in Denver. Denver is the superior defensive team, but Portland can shoot FTs which is always helpful covering a big number. Portland is a great team at defending the 3 and they make you hold the ball long on offense. Portland hasn't played since the 15th. The rest should helpmagainst a tired Denver team. |
02-04-24 |
Pacers -9 v. Hornets | Top | 115-99 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
We have line movement in our favor. Pacers are the better ATS tea, better on the road, better as a favorite. They play well with rest. Charlotte is not good at any of these things. Defensively Charlotte doesn't let you get to the line. That's their only strength. Pacers are #1 in FG% and FGM. They're 2nd in FGA and 4th in 3P%. Indiana should have their way with this team. |
02-03-24 |
Lakers v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 113-105 |
Loss | -105 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
Knicks have won and covered the L2 in this series. Lakers are playing their 5th consecutive road game and 5 of their L6 have been on the road prior to this game. The Lakers are a below average road team. We've been backing the Knicks a lot in this winning streak. We won't stop now. Knicks are the superior defensive team and they match up better on offense as well. The Knicks have won their L9 and have covered 8 of their L10. |
01-22-24 |
Hawks v. Kings -8 | Top | 107-122 |
Win | 100 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
Trey Young is out for Atlanta. Both teams run a similar pace and are fairly equal offensively. The difference here is Kings are stronger defensively. These teams played a couple weeks ago in Atlanta. Sacramento won by 7. Atlanta is 1-8 revenging a home loss this season. |
01-17-24 |
Bucks v. Cavs +4 | Top | 95-135 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
The public loves the Bucks but this line hasn't moved. The books that have moved went to 3.5. Cavs have won 5 straight and covered 4 of those. Cavs have been playing great defense. |
01-03-24 |
Bulls v. Knicks -8 | Top | 100-116 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 8 m | Show |
Chicago is on the second half of a B2B. Chicago hasn't played well on the road but NY has been strong at home. NY is the superior defensive team. Chicago will have tired legs after getting crushed by the Sixers. |