01-08-24 |
Washington +5 v. Michigan | | 13-34 |
Loss | -105 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
We've been backing Washington all season. This team has been disrespected and they are once again. I've been preaching that they were the best team all season. Michigan is probably the most complete team but Michigan's strengths clash with Washington's. Penix will be the best QB Michigan has seen all season. Washington has the best offensive line in football. Michigan is known for putting pressure on the QB but Penix gets rid of the ball fast to his great receivers. Michigan offense relies on the run game but that's one area the Washington teams excels at. McCarthy is not good enough to keep in in a shootout. Personally I think Washington has the coaching edge. Washington is undefeated with DeBoer as an underdog and against ranked teams. They will be comfortable in this setting. DeBoer will have this Huskies team ready. |
01-01-24 |
Texas v. Washington +4 | | 31-37 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
We see line movement in our favor. Washington has the motivation here. They've been disrespected all season and are once again here. We've been winning with the Huskies. I'm backing them again. |
01-01-24 |
Alabama v. Michigan -122 | Top | 20-27 |
Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
I'm fading the popular dog. Michigan is the best team in CFB. They get over the hump this season and play for a championship. Michigan defense is better than any that Alabama has seen. |
12-30-23 |
Toledo v. Wyoming -150 | Top | 15-16 |
Win | 100 | 455 h 37 m | Show |
Wyoming went dog to favorite. Toledo is going to have trouble. Whoever starts at QB for them will be green. Possibly fifth string freshman. Wyoming wants to be here. |
12-30-23 |
Georgia v. Florida State UNDER 44.5 | Top | 63-3 |
Loss | -115 | 23 h 56 m | Show |
The motivation for either team shouldn't be high as people are calling this the "Snub Bowl". Both teams have a ton of opt outs. UGA defense should care about this game. FSU is not in good shape. |
12-29-23 |
Clemson v. Kentucky +4.5 | Top | 38-35 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
The motivated side is Kentucky. Clemson has a ton of opt outs especially on the defensive side. I questioned their motivation before the opt outs came rolling in. Kentucky wants to win. Sprinkle the ML |
12-28-23 |
NC State +2.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 19-28 |
Loss | -109 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
Kansas St is beat up from opt outs. But regardless NC St is the better team here. |
12-28-23 |
Rutgers +2 v. Miami-FL | | 31-24 |
Win | 100 | 405 h 46 m | Show |
We've seen this line drop. Miami has a ton of players transferring and opting out. Rutgers is excited to be here. |
12-27-23 |
North Carolina v. West Virginia -6.5 | Top | 10-30 |
Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
UNC is more impacted by opt outs. WVU wants to be here. UNC is 6-7 ATS in bowl games since '04. |
12-27-23 |
Virginia Tech -7.5 v. Tulane | | 41-20 |
Win | 100 | 352 h 44 m | Show |
Ranked dog against an unranked opponent. Tulane is down a lot of players. We have line movement and great betting splits. |
12-26-23 |
Texas State v. Rice +3.5 | Top | 45-21 |
Loss | -110 | 18 h 25 m | Show |
Both teams are strong offensively. Both teams are motivated. Rice is a consistent team. They'll keep this game close. |
12-23-23 |
Utah v. Northwestern +6.5 | Top | 7-14 |
Win | 100 | 70 h 10 m | Show |
We have line movement in our favor and great betting splits. Utah had a disappointing season and probably lack motivation. Northwestern was a surprisingly good team. They're happy to be here and are playing with house money. |
12-23-23 |
Georgia State v. Utah State -130 | Top | 45-22 |
Loss | -130 | 67 h 32 m | Show |
Georgia St has a ton of opt outs. They've also lost their L5 games. |
12-22-23 |
Central Florida v. Georgia Tech +5.5 | Top | 17-30 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
Both teams are similar. Two good offenses against two bad defenses. Both starting QBs are expected to play. This total keeps moving up which shows signs of a shootout. GT has played the tougher schedule and has made a game with stronger opponents. Most notably staying within a TD to UGA. Haynes King will be the difference in this game. |
12-19-23 |
UTSA v. Marshall UNDER 52 | Top | 35-17 |
Push | 0 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
Marshall has a lot of opt outs but this defense is strong. UTSA scores a lot of points but the offense has struggled down the stretch. |
12-18-23 |
Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -130 | | 38-35 |
Loss | -130 | 89 h 50 m | Show |
ODU is the better team and the more motivated team. |
12-16-23 |
UCLA v. Boise State +5 | | 35-22 |
Loss | -110 | 47 h 37 m | Show |
Sure UCLA has more talent. They also have a lot of opt outs. Both teams have QB issues. Boise has the motivation here. They've ended the regular season strong and I expect that momentum to carry. The game is in California but Broncos fans will show up. The Mountain West champion is 2-0 in the LA Bowl. |
12-16-23 |
Miami-OH v. Appalachian State UNDER 43 | | 9-13 |
Win | 100 | 42 h 7 m | Show |
We have movement in our favor. We have great betting splits. The weather is supposed to be awful in Orlando. We'll be seeing backups at QB on both teams. Miami played good defense down the stretch. Expect the same in this game. |
12-09-23 |
Army v. Navy OVER 28 | Top | 17-11 |
Push | 0 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
This number has moved too much. These service academy teams are known for running the ball and chewing clock. But these two teams throw the ball. Both teams have averaged full game totals above 40. 3 of the L4 games in this series would've went over this total. Weather shouldn't be an issue. |
12-02-23 |
SMU +3.5 v. Tulane | | 26-14 |
Win | 100 | 42 h 21 m | Show |
SMU has been dominant in conference. SMU defense is underrated. SMU ranks 7th in opponents yard per play and sack rate. They're also 14 in defense success rate. I get that Stone is out but Jennings is good. He also has some experience. Tulane defense is not good and SMU should have success in the pass game. |
12-02-23 |
Miami-OH +7.5 v. Toledo | Top | 23-14 |
Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
These teams played earlier in the season. Toledo won 21-17. We have good betting splits. Miami is strong defensively (25th) and special teams. Toledo also has a strong defense (32). Toledo won the MAC last season and are playing a true road game. But Miami plays a strategically slow pace and should stay within the number. Toledo is Miami's only loss in their L11 so they'll be looking to show that was a fluke. Sprinkle the ML as well. |
12-01-23 |
Oregon v. Washington UNDER 66 | | 31-34 |
Win | 100 | 47 h 32 m | Show |
We've seen this total drop and I expect it to drop more before kickoff. This is the same total we saw when these two teams matched up last season. Washington is undefeated but they look like they're running out of gas. Oregon on the other hand has looked great on both sides of the ball. Both teams trend to the under. Oregon will flirt with the 30s but I don't see this Washington offense getting to 20 against this Oregon defense. |