Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-18-24 | Mariners v. Orioles -110 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
I like the Orioles to win this game at home against the Mariners in what will be a great pitching match up between Dean Kremer and Luis Castillo. The Orioles are 7-3 their L10 and the Mariners enter this one 5-5 their L10 and losers in 2 of 3. Dean Kremer takes the hill for the Orioles who is 3-1 his L4 starts and is looking for a big rebound start after his most recent loss to the DBacks. In those 4 starts, he allowed 7 ERs on 12 hits while striking out 30 batters across 24 IP. He has decent splits against this Mariners line up and should tally strike outs against them, as the Mariners rank 1st in the MLB in total strikeouts. The Mariners are sending Luis Castillo to the hill who similarly is on a tear going 3-1 his L4 outings as well. He has allowed 6 ERs on 16 hits while striking out 28 across 25.2 IP. Castillo has only faced a handful of Orioles batters, but the ones he did face, are hitting .333 and .385. This game may very well produce just a few runs and the bats of the Orioles will get us the win. The Orioles are 16-9 at home and the Mariners are 9-11 on the road. Take the Orioles ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-18-24 | Mets -120 v. Marlins | 9-10 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
I like the Mets to win this one on the road against the Marlins and rebound from their 8-0 blow out loss yesterday. The Mets are sending Luis Severino to the hill who is 0-0 his L3 starts however he has pitched well only allowing 7 ERs on 9 hits and striking out 15 across 18 IP. He no doubt has a tendency to walk batters, however the Marlins have one of the lowest batting avg in baseball, at .228. The Marlins are sending Braxton Garrett to the hill who was roughed up his last start 6 days ago. He was called back up from the minors and allowed 5 ERs on 5 hits and 1 HR across 5.1 IP against the Phillies. A handful of Mets batters have great splits against Garrett in their career, including Pete Alonso (.400) ; Sterling Marte (.600) and Francisco Lindor (.357). Miami struggles at home going 7-15 ; take the Mets ML to rebound BIG here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-17-24 | Twins v. Guardians -115 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
I like the Guardians to win this game at home against the Twins. The Guardians are playing some good baseball right winning 3 of their L4 and the Twins just had a rough stretch getting swept by the Yankees. The Guardians are sending Tristian McKenzie to the hill who is starting to gain steam and is building a lot of momentum. He is 0-1 his L4 starts, however he has allowed just 6 ERs across 22.2 IP while striking out 24. The Twins are sending Simeon Woods Richardson who has been facing the hard reality of the MLB as of late. In his last start he allowed 5 ERs, and 2 HRs across 4.1 IP against the Jays. He has not faced anyone in this Guardians lineup, and I look for the likes of Josh Naylor and Jose Ramirez to have BIG days from their bats. The Twins are 5-7 as a road dog and the Guardians are 12-6 at home. Take the Guardians ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-16-24 | Yankees +113 v. Twins | 5-0 | Win | 113 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
I took the Yankees in the first 2 games against the Twins, and I am taking them again today to sweep the series. The Yankees bats have been on another level this series, out hitting the Twins 26-11, and I do not see their bats slowing this afternoon. The Yankees are sending Clarke Schmidt to the hill who has down great this year, going 4-1 with a 2.95 ERA. In his last 3 starts, he is 2-1 and just 4 ERs across 17 IP, while striking out 18. The Twins are sending Joe Ryan to the hill who has a rocky start to 2024. Joe Ryan is just 1-1 his last 3 starts and allowed 6 ERs across 19 IP. He has had his biggest struggles this season while pitching at home and the Yankees lineup, who has good splits against Ryan will not make it easy on him. The Yankees are 16-9 on the road and the Twins are 10-12 against teams winning 54% or more of games this season. Take the Yankees ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-15-24 | Cardinals -115 v. Angels | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
I like the Cardinals to win this game on the road against the Angels in an Inter League clash. The Cardinals are sending Lance Lynn to the hill who has had a average start to the year. He has allowed 4 ERs in 2 of his L3 starts however he has other great outings in between including a few starts with 3 ERs or less. The Angels are sending Griffin Canning to the hill who has really struggled in 2024 so far. He is 1-4 with 5.75 ERA and just 1 win in his L5 starts. He has a tendency to walk batters, averaging 4.2 B/9 his L4 games. The lack of run support from Canning's offense has haunted him all season and it will continue to haunt him Wednesday evening. The Cardinals are 4-2 as a road favorite and the Angels are 5-15 at home. Take the Cards ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-15-24 | Yankees +104 v. Twins | 4-0 | Win | 104 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
We took the Yankees in Game 1 against the Twins, and we are taking them again in Game 2. The Yankees bats proved to be much for this Twins pitching rotation tallying 5 Runs on 13 hits and left 16 on base. The Twins are sending Pablo Lopez to the hill who has a winner in 3 straight and is due for some regression after pitching lower quality batting lineups in the Mariners, Red Sox and Angels. 4 Batters on the Yankees lineup are hitting .333 or better, including Juan Soto who .370 with 6 RBI and 3 HRs against Lopez. The Yankees are sending Marcus Stroman to the hill who has been impressive on the road this season with a 1-0 record and 3.52 ERA in 3 starts. He has good splits against this Twins lineup and will be throwing in favorable weather conditions. The Yankees are 21-9 against right-handed starters this season and the Twins are 10-11 against teams winning 54% or more of games this season. Take the Yankees ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-14-24 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -110 | 6-2 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
I like the Diamondbacks to win this game at home against the Reds. The Diamondbacks are now winners in 3 of their L5 games and the Reds have continued to struggle, losing slow scoring games. The D-Backs are sending Slade Cecconi to the hill who just faced this very Reds lineup and got the better side of them. He went 5.1 IP and allowed just 1 ER on 3 hits with 1 HR. He has allowed 2 runs or less in every start this season, minus one game against the Padres. Cecconi has good splits against this Reds roster, and can throw thru them. The Reds are sending Hunter Greene to the hill who struggled last time out against the Reds allowing 3 ERs on 4 hits, 1 HR and walking 5. Four hitters in the middle of the D-Backs lineup are hitting .333 or better in their career against Greene. The Diamondbacks are 29-17 against NL Central opponents the L2 seasons and the Reds are 1-7 as a team when Hunter Greene starts. Take the Diamondbacks ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-14-24 | Guardians -103 v. Rangers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
I like the Guardians to win this game on the road against the Rangers after a dominating performance against them, in their first of three games. The Rangers are now losers in 4 of their L5 games and have failed to score more than 3 runs in each of their last 3 games. The Guardians are sending Ben Lively to the hill who has been solid this season holding a 2.63 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. He had a rough outing last game allowing 3 ERs on 8 hits, but has been stellar in 3 starts leading up to that, allowing just 1 ER in each of them. The Rangers are recalling Jake Leiter from AAA and he has had 2 poor starts in the Majors this season. He has gone 7.2 IP and allowed 11 ERs on 15 hits and 2 HRs. Leiter, once a Top 50 prospect in the MLB has now dropped outside of the 230s, and will be facing this entire Guardians lineup for the first time. The Guardians are 13-10 on the road and the Rangers are having a quarter season crisis. Take the Guardians ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-14-24 | Yankees -136 v. Twins | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
I like the Yankees to win this game on the road against the Twins in an American League clash. The Yankees are sending Carlos Rodon to the hill, who had a great last outing against the Astros, and has now won 2 of his L3 starts. He has allowed 2 ERs or less in 3 of his L4 starts, and has historically done well against the Twins, holding a 6-3 record and 4.84 ERA. The Twins are sending Chris Paddack to the hill who has been red hot, winning his last 4 starts. It is important to note those starts were against the Mariners, Red Sox, Angels and White Sox - all 4 teams are hitting .243 or worse. The level of competition is significantly heightened with the Yankees coming to town. The Yankees bats have been great this season - .750 OPS and 57 total HRs, ranking 2nd in the MLB. Several batters in the Yankees lineup have great splits against Paddack, and I look for them to shine in Minnesota Tuesday night. The Yankees are 21-9 against RHP this season and the Twins are 3-5 after a day off. Take the Yankees ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-12-24 | Braves -115 v. Mets | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
I like the Braves to win this one on the road against the Mets in Sunday Night Baseball and finish the sweep. The Braves have been playing good baseball and are winners of 4 straight games. The Mets and trending differently, entering this one losing back to back and 4 of their L7. The Braves are sending Bryce Elder to the hill who had a rough outing his last start allowing 7 ERs against the Dodgers. Before that game he was 1-0 in 2 starts, allowing just 2 ERs across 12 IP. That is the Bryce Elder we will see tonight as he has great splits against the Mets lineup. The Mets are sending Luis Severino to the hill who has struggled recently. He is 0-1 his last 3 starts, allowing 8 ERs across 19 IP. He walks batters frequently, doing it 8 times his last 2 starts, and free base runners to the Braves is dangerous. The Braves are 10-4 in division games this year and the Mets are 1-4 as a home dog. Take the Braves ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-12-24 | Yankees -128 v. Rays | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
I like the Yankees to win this rubber match against the Rays and win the series. The Yankees are sending Luis Gil to the hill who has won back-to-back starts and has 3 wins in his L4 starts with NO losses. In those 4 starts, he allowed just 6 ERs across 23 IP. The Rays are sending Tyler Alexander to the hill who has no doubt struggled at getting wins, because of the lack of run support from his offense. He is 0-1 his last 3 starts and allowed 7 ERs across 12 IP. 5 Hitters on the Yankees lineup is hitting .250 or better in their against Alexander and I like their bats to get to him today. The Yankees are 19-9 as a favorite and the Rays are just 6-6 as a dog. Take the Yankees ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-11-24 | Dodgers -138 v. Padres | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
I like the Dodgers to win this game on the road against the Padres after losing a scoring game 2-1 last night. The Dodgers are sending James Paxton to the hill who is off to a phenomenal 2024 campaign. He is 4-0, holds a 3.06 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. He has won b2b starts allowing 5 ERs across 11.2 IP. He has decent splits against this Padres lineup and I look for him to get good run support from his offense. The Padres are sending Matt Waldron to the hill who has had a complete opposite season and has really struggled. He has now lost 3 of his L4 (1-3) and has allowed 17 ERs across 19.2 IP. He allowed 7 walks and 4 HRs in these games and giving any free base runners to the Dodgers is dangerous. The Dodgers are 9-4 following a loss and the Padres are 1-3 as a home dog. Take the Dodgers here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-11-24 | Reds -110 v. Giants | 1-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
I like the Reds to win this game on the road against the Giants after snapping their losing streak last night. The Giants are sending Mason Black (0-1 ; 10.38 ERA) to the hill and this will be a tough matchup for him. He allowed 5 ERs on 8 hits his last start against the Phillies and is prone to walks, as he gave away 3 free bases in his one start. The Reds are sending Nick Lodolo (3-1 ; 2.79 ERA) to the hill who struggled last time out, but this is a great rebound spot for him. Prior to that loss in his most recent start, he was 3-0 in four starts allowing just 5 ERs, 15 hits and 31 strike outs across 24 IP - 2 of those wins coming on the road. The Giants have been struggling against leftys all year ranking 21st in the MLB in OPS against LHP. The Reds are 11-8 as a favorite and the Giants are 6-12 as a dog. Take the Reds ML here. - Joey Tron | |||||||
05-10-24 | Royals -115 v. Angels | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
I like the Royals to win this game on the road against the Angels tonight in an American League clash. The Royals won soundly 10-4 yesterday, and I look for their bats to continue that carnage tonight. The Royals are sending Alec Marsh (3-0 ; 2.70 ERA) to the hill who is set to make is return from the 15-Day IL today. Marsh has done terrific this season thus far. In his last 3 starts, he has allowed just 4 ERs on 10 hits and 9 Strike outs through 15 IP. The Angels are sending Griffin Canning (1-4 ; 6.69 ERA) to the hill who has no doubt struggled so far this year due to lack of run support. Griffin is 1-2 his L4 starts allowing 11 ERs on 16 Hits while walking 9 batters. He has poor splits against a handful of the Royals batters and they should get to him early which allow us to see one of the worst bullpens in baseball. The Royals are 9-3 as a fav and the Angels are 4-11 at home. Take the Royals ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-09-24 | Guardians -161 v. White Sox | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -161 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
I like the Guardians to win this game on the road against the White Sox in a AL Central battle. The Guardians are playing really good baseball winning 4 of their L5 games and the Chi Sox have yet to hit double digit wins. The Guardians are sending Ben Lively (1-1 ; 2.08 ERA) to the hill, who has now had 3 really good starts in a row. He is 1-0 in his last 3 appearances, allowing 1 ER in each game and 17 strikeouts thru 16.1 IP. He has great splits against the batters he has faced on the Chi Sox. The White Sox are sending Erick Fredde (2-0 ; 3.46 ERA) to the hill and is very inconsistent at best. His numbers are super deceiving - he has allowed 8 ERs on 14 hits posting a 1-0 record his last 3 starts. He allowed 4 ERs and 3 HRs earlier in April last time he pitched to Cleveland, and theirs a good chance the Guardians bats get to him yet again in this match up. The Guardians are 10-4 on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season and the Chi Sox are 2-18 against division opponents this season. Take the Guardians ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-08-24 | Astros v. Yankees -136 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
I like the Yankees to win this game at home against the Astros after a 10-3 rout over them on Tuesday. The Yankees have now won 4 straight and I see them continuing this dominance against a righty on Wednesday. The Astros are sending Spencer Arrighetti (0-3 ; 8.27 ERA) to the hill who had a decent start last appearance, however he really struggles on the road. He is 0-2 and allowed 11 ERs on 14 hits thru just 6.2 IP - and the Yankees heavy hitters can do damage to their rivals. The Yankees are sending Carlos Rodon (2-2 ; 3.68 ERA) and he throws his best pitches at home. He posted both of his wins this season in Yankee Stadium, allowing just 2 ERs on 6 hits through 13 IP. He has really good splits against the Astros lineup and should be able to get run support from his offense. The Yankees are 11-5 as a home fav and the Astros are 5-10 on the road. Take the Yankees ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-07-24 | Mariners v. Twins UNDER 8 | 10-6 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
I like this game between the Twins and Mariners to stay UNDER 8 runs in this American League clash. These two just played a 4 run game, and theirs no reason this cannot be a low scoring game again. The Mariners are sending Emerson Hancock (3-3 ; 4.75 ERA) to the hill who was now had 4 great starts in a row. In those 4 starts, he has allowed just 5 ERs and threw 16 Ks thru 21.2 IP. The Mariners are ranked 13th in the MLB with team total strike outs, and Hancock should be able to throw through this batting order. The Twins are sending Bailey Ober (3-1 ; 4.55 ERA) to the hill who similarly is on a tear making this a good pitcher dual. In his last 3 starts, Ober has allowed 7 ERs and threw 17 Ks thru 19.1 IP. Ober has really good splits against the batters he has faced and Hancock is facing everyone on the Mariners for the first time. The Mariners are 14-6 to the under playing their 3rd game without a day off and the Twins are 9-6 to the under at home. This has all the making to be a pitching dual in the Twin Cities.. Play the UNDER here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-06-24 | Tigers v. Guardians -115 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
I like the Guardians to win this game at home against the Tigers and push their winning streak to 3 games, after winning 2 out of 3 against the Angels. The Tigers enter this one on a 3 game losing streak after getting swept by the Yankees. The Guardians are sending Tristian McKenzie (2-2 ; 4.34 ERA) to the hill who has now built on 3 great starts in a row. McKenzie is 1-0 in his L3 starts, allowing just 5 ERs across 16 IP, and striking out 19. He has great splits against the batters he has faced on the Tigers and should be able to shut them down. The Tigers are sending Jack Flaherty (0-1 ; 4.00 ERA) to the hill who has no doubt been inconsistent this season to say the least. He has allowed 9 ERs his L4 starts along with 19 hits and 38 Ks. On the road he allowed 6 ERs and 2 HRs - when he is not striking out batters, he is allowing runs. Luckily for us, Cleveland is T26th with team total strike outs and should be able to do damage to Flaherty, including Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor both of whom who hit off him well. The Guardians are 13-6 as a favorite. Take the Guardians ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-05-24 | Mariners +107 v. Astros | 5-4 | Win | 107 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
I like the Mariners to win this one on the road against the Astros in a AL West battle. The Mariners are sending Bryce Miller (3-2 ; 2.04 ERA) to the hill who has had solid start to his season. He is 3-1 his last 5 starts, striking out 33 and allowed just 4 ERs across 30.1 IP. Miller has great splits against this Astros lineup and should be able to slice thru them. The Astros are sending Hunter Brown (0-4 ; 9.78 ERA) to the hill who has yet to pick up a win in his 6 appearances this season. In his last 4 starts, he is 0-3 and allowed 20 ERs and 4 HRs thru just 16 IP. Hunter Brown will struggle against this Mariners lineup, especially J-Rod and Ty France, but who are hitting .600 or better against Hunter Brown in their career. The Mariners bullpen ranks 5th in the MLB in ERA where as the Astros are ranked towards the bottom. The Mariners can win low scoring games, the Astros cannot. Take the Seattle Mariners ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-04-24 | Orioles -114 v. Reds | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
I like the Orioles to win this game on the road against the Reds and to keep chugging along. The Os are now 4-1 their L5 and show no signs of slowing down as they have tallied 16 runs in those 4 wins. John Means is making is 2024 debut today and he comes into this one off a stellar AAA performance last time out striking out eight over seven shutout innings while allowing just one hit and one walk. The Reds are sending Andrew Abbott (1-3 ; 3.27 ERA) to the hill who has now lost 2 of his L3 starts and has not picked up a win since mid April. In those 3 starts, he allowed 7 ERs, 12 hits and 4 HRs across just 15.2 IP. The Orioles bats can heat up at anytime and this a great price on the road for an inter league clash. Play the Orioles ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-04-24 | Marlins v. A's -117 | 4-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
I like the As to win this game at home against the Marlins. The As are shocking everyone and are playing some good baseball and I like that to continue with the Marlins coming to town. The Miami offense got a whole lot weaker after trading away Luis Arraez and the Marlins are tasked with facing one of the As better pitchers. Oakland is sending Paul Blackburn (2-1 ; 3.34 ERA) era to the hill who has no doubt struggled in his last 2 outings however they were against two AL East juggernauts in the Os and Yankees. Prior to those starts, he was 2-0 in 4 appearances allowing just 3 ERs and striking out 18. I think we see that form today against this lowly Marlins lineup. The Marlins are sending Trevor Rogers (0-4 ; 4.31 ERA) to the hill who has now lost 4 of his L5 starts and I do not see it getting any better today. He has faced just one batter in this As lineup and I look for them to get to him early and often so we see their bullpen rotation, who holds a 4.39 ERA. The As are 5-1 when Blackburn starts and the Marlins are 4-10 as a road dog. Take the As ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-03-24 | Braves v. Dodgers -110 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
I like the Dodgers to win this at home against the Braves, in what is going to be a great NL battle. The Dodgers are sending Gavin Stone (2-1 ; 4.68 ERA) to the hill who has been in great form as of late allowing just 5 ERs in his L3 starts, and is 2-0 in that span. I look for him to build on another quality start against one of the best teams in the league. The Braves are sending Charlie Morton (2-0 ; 3.60 ERA) to the hill who will face a much more difficult batting lineup for the first time this season. He has starts against the Marlins, Chi Sox and the Mets to just name a few. Morton does not have the best of splits against the Dodgers batting order and is very vulnerable to left handed hitters, and LAD has 5 lefties scattered throughout this line up. This may be a close game, but the Dodgers have the edge at home here. Take the Dodgers ML. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-02-24 | Guardians +117 v. Astros | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
I like the Guardians to win this game on the road against the Astros tonight. The Guardians won a close one in extras last night 3-2, and I like that momentum to carry over into tonight’s game. The Guardians are sending Logan Allen (3-1 ; 5.46 ERA) to the hill who has had a decent start to his season. He picked up his first loss of the season last time out, however he is 2-1 on the road this season and has allowed just 7 ERs in those games while striking out 14. The Astros are sending Spencer Arrighetti (0-3 ; 10.97 ERA) to the hill who has had an abysmal start to his year. He has allowed 13 runs on 3 appearances and has failed to pick up a win in any of his starts thus far. The Guardians are ranked 10th in OPS & team batting average and should be able to get Arrighetti early in this one. The Astros are just 8-16 as a favorite and the Guardians are 9-5 as a dog. Take the Guardians ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
05-01-24 | Dodgers -130 v. Diamondbacks | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
I like the Dodgers to win this rubber match against the DBacks after falling in extras last night. The Dodgers are sending Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2-1 ; 3.54 ERA) to the hill who is building on better starts each appearance he makes. He is 2-0 his L4 starts allowing just 6 ERs across 22 IP and struck out 30. Both of his wins this season came on the road - where he is most impressive with 0 ERs yet this season. The DBacks are sending Zac Gallen (3-2 ; 3.38 ERA) to the hill who has been in a bit of a rut. He has now falling back to back starts allowing 8 ERs and 12 hits in that two game span. Gallen has average splits against this Dodgers lineup, however I look for them to get to him early and face the DBacks bullpen, who holds a 4.41 ERA. The Dodgers are 10-3 as a road favorite and the DBacks are 1-3 as a home dog. Take the Dodgers ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-30-24 | Braves -126 v. Mariners | 2-3 | Loss | -126 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
I like the Braves to win this one on the road against the Mariners, after winning a low scoring 2-1 game last night. The Braves are sending Reynaldo Lopez (2-0 ; .72 ERA) to the hill who has a great start to his 2024 campaign. Lopez has thrown 4 straight outings allowing 1 ER or less and striking out at least 5 batters in each game he has started this season. He does not allow many hits, and has allowed 4 or less in each start. The Mariners are sending Luis Castillo (2-4 ; 4.15 ERA) to the hill who has had a really rocky start, but is building on it. He won back to back outings on the road against the Rangers and Rockies, however at home he is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 3+ runs in each home appearance this season. Castillo has poor splits against a handful of batters in this Braves lineup, and I look for them to get the Luis Castillo quick and early. The Braves are 8-3 on the road and the Mariners are 4-6 as a dog. Take the Braves ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-29-24 | Rays v. Brewers -111 | 1-0 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
I like the Brewers to win this one on the road against the Rays in a rebound spot against the Rays, after dropping 2 of 3 to the Yankees. The Rays just got swept by the White Sox and are tasked with a tough road series in Milwaukee. The Brewers are sending Bryse Wilson (2-0 ; 3.50 ERA) to the hill who has had a really good start to his season. He has allowed just 3 ERs in his L4 appearances across 12.1 IP while striking out 6. He has only faced this Rays lineup a handful of times, but in the batters he has faced, he has really good splits. The Rays are sending Ryan Pepiot (2-2 ; 3.77 ERA) to the hill who has been inconsistent this season, and you truly don't know which pitcher you are getting. Pepiot is 1-1 his L3 starts allowing 6 ERs across 17 IP and allowed 11 hits. He has a tendency to walk batters doing it 6 times in 3 games, and allowed an avg of 1 HR per game in that stretch. He has faced just 1 batter in this Brewers lineup and I look for them to be hungry offensively, as they are one of the highest OPS teams in baseball. The Brewers are 15-7 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Take the Brewers ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-28-24 | Diamondbacks v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
I like this game between the Marines and Diamondbacks to stay UNDER 7.5 runs in this Inter League battle. Since the Diamondbacks dropped 14 runs on the Cardinals, their offense has gone ice cold, and have now scored just two combined runs in their L2 games. The Mariners are sending Logan Gilbert (2-0 ; 1.87 ERA) who has had a stellar start to his 2024 season. Gilbert has thrown 3 straight games allowing 1 ER or less, and has racked up 20 strike outs in that 3 game span. He has a WHIP of .80, showing how limited runners on base are for his opponents. The Diamondbacks are sending Brandon Pfaddt (1-1 ; 4.97 ERA) to the hill, who has now built on 2 good starts for the Dbacks. He has allowed 2 ERs in back-to-back games while striking out 10. Pfaadt has no doubt struggled in his first few starts, however the Mariners offense ranks 25th in OPS and this is a great spot for him to regain his confidence. Both pitchers have decent splits against their opposing lineups, setting this up for a good pitchers duel. Both teams are combined 7-3 to the under when these respective pitchers are starting. Play the UNDER here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-27-24 | Phillies +103 v. Padres | 5-1 | Win | 103 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
I like the Phillies to win this game on the road in a National League battle after beating the Padres after beating them last night 9-3. The Phillies are sending one of their aces in Ranger Suarez (4-0 ; 1.36 ERA) to the hill who has had a stellar 2024 campaign. He has won his last 4 starts, including allowing just 2 ERs and 6 hits across 13 IP on the road this season. Suarez has good splits against a handful of the Padres batters and can stop them like he has in the past, holding a 2-0 record in his career against the Padres. San Diego is sending Dylan Cease (3-1 ; 1.82 ERA) to the hill who has also had a really good star to the season. Dylan Cease realies heavily on teams striking out as he's done it 7+ times in 4 straight starts, however the Phillies are 18th in K rate, which gives us a huge advantage here, in addition to Dylan Cease not having good splits against a handful of the Phillies lineup. Cease has not faired well pitching in his home ball parks and is 10-12 at home since 2022. The Phillies are 7-4 on the road and the Padres are 6-9 at home. Take the Phillies ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-25-24 | Brewers -119 v. Pirates | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
I like the Brewers to win this game on the road against the Pirates. The Brewers got back on track with a 3-2 win on Wednesday and I like this momentum to carry over with one of their aces at the hill. The Brewers are starting Freddy Peralta (2-0 ; 1.90 ERA) who is off to a great start to his 2024 campaign. He has allowed just 1 ER in his last 2 combined starts over 12 IP while striking out 18 and allowing just 9 hits. Peralta has allowed 1 run or less in 3 of his 4 starts this season. In addition to this, he has great splits against this Pirates lineup and should be able to get us at least 5 quality Innings Pitched. The Pirates are sending Mitch Keller (2-2 ; 4.80 ERA) to the hill who has had an up and down season and I am not confident that we will see the better of his two sides. Keller has struggled inside of PNC Park this year allowing 6 ERs on 10 hits. He has a bad tendency to walk batters, tallying 7 in his last 3 starts and giving the Brewers any free base runners can be costly. A handful of the Brewers lineup have gotten the best of Mitch Keller and there's no reason that they can’t do it again Thursday afternoon. The Brewers are 38-22 versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Take the Brewers ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-24-24 | Astros v. Cubs -105 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 6 m | Show | |
I like the Cubs to win this game at home against the Astros. The Astros have been struggling immensely and the Cubs are starting to find their groove and I like their bats to get hot at home. The Astros are starting Spencer Arrighetti (0-2 ; 11.57 ERA) who is filling a hole in the rotation and is off to a slow start this year. In two starts this season, he has allowed 9 ERs and 11 hits while walking 5. He really struggled on the road in his MLB debut allowing 7 of his earned runs and this Cubs lineup can do some damage. On the hill for the Cubs is Jameson Taillon (1-0 ; 1.80 ERA) who has had a really good start in his season debut allowing 1 ER and striking out 4. Taillon has decent splits against a handful of this Astros batting order and with the slump that they are in, I think this is another great spot for Taillon. The Cubs are 7-3 at home and the Astros are 3-7 on the road. Take the Cubs ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-23-24 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 7.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
I like this game between the Twins and White Sox to go UNDER 7.5 runs. The Twins unloaded on the Chi Sox unleashing 7 runs and I look for them to take a step back with one of the White Sox better pitchers at the hill. Erik Fredde (1-0 ; 3.10 ERA) is at the hill for the White Sox who had a really solid showing last time out allowing 0 ERs and 3 hits across 5.2 IP. He has now 2 or less runs 3 of his L4 starts and I like him to build on this. He has only seen one batter on this Twins line up however Minnesota owns the 2nd worst batting average in baseball. The Twins are starting Pablo Lopez (1-2 ; 3.97 ERA) who looked impressive his last time out against the Orioles allowing just 1 ER and 2 hits across 6 IP and striking out 7. Is he returning to his form he was in last season? It is hard to gauge however he has great splits against this White Sox lineup holding the middle of their order to 5-23. The White Sox and Twins are a combined 6-2 to the under when these two pitchers are starting. Play the UNDER 7.5 runs in this one. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-22-24 | Phillies -117 v. Reds | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
I like the Phillies to win this game on the road against the Reds and take Game 1 of this series. The Phillies bats were red hot in their series against the Chi Sox tallying 25 runs and I look for this heavy hitting to continue on Monday. The Reds are sending Hunter Greene (0-1 ; 4.35 ERA) to the hill who has had a rough start to 2024. In his last 2 outings, he has allowed a combined 7 ERs and 10 hits across 10 IP. He is allowing an average of 1 HR per 9 innings pitched, and the Phillies batters can do damage against him as a handful of batters have good splits against him. The Phillies are starting Ranger Suarez (3-0 ; 1.73 ERA) who is having an excellent campaign in 2024. He has allowed just 2 ERs across 21 IP his last 3 starts, and allowed just 13 hits along with 20 Ks. Suarez has great splits against the batters he's faced and I look for another impressive outing from him. The Phillies are 4-2 on the road and 12-6 as a favorite. Take the Phillies ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-21-24 | A's v. Guardians OVER 7.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
I like this game between the Guardians and As to go OVER 7.5 runs in this American League battle. The Guardians bats exploded for 14 hits and 6 runs in their game on Saturday, and I like their chances of scoring runs again this game. Ross Stripling (0-4 ; 5.32 ERA) takes the hill for the As who has had a really rough start to his 2024 campaign, and is in for another rough one Sunday. In his last 2 outings, Stripling allowed 9 ERs across 11.2 IP along with 17 hits. The middle of Cleveland's lineup can do some big time wreckage against Stripling - especially Nick Taylor and Jose Ramirez who are a combined 8-13 with 2 HRs against him. The Guardians are sending Tanner Bibee (1-0 ; 4.82 ERA) to the hill, who has done well this year - because of his teams run support. In his last 2 starts, Bibee allowed 6 ERs across 9.1 IP along with 11 hits and 2 HRs. Both of these pitchers are HR prone and with runners on base, we can get extra tallies here. The Guards are 3-1 to the over when Bibee starts and the As are 4-1 to the over against the Guards this year. Take the OVER 7.5 runs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-20-24 | Diamondbacks -120 v. Giants | 3-7 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks smoked the Giants last night 17-1 and with the Diamondbacks turning to their ace today, it is hard to see the Giants putting the pieces together. The Diamondbacks re sending Zac Gallen (3-0 ; 1.64 ERA) who has had a stellar start to the season. He threw 6 scoreless innings and allowed just 4 hits and truck out 7 in his last appearance and I look for similar results against a division opponent. The Giants are sending Kyle Harrison (2-1 ; 4.70 ERA) who still has much to prove in the MLB. He has allowed 3ERs or more in each of his last 3 starts and has allowed 1 HR in every game he has pitched in this season. In addition to this, he gives up many hits which can be dangerous against this hot hitting D-Backs lineup, who he is facing entirely, for the first time. Arizona is 6-3 SU in Division games this season. Take the D-Backs ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-19-24 | Orioles -134 v. Royals | 4-9 | Loss | -134 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
I like the Orioles to win this game on the road against the Royals. There is no doubt that the Royals are off to a hot start however 10 of their 12 wins are against teams under .500 and are just 3-3 their L6. The Orioles are sending Dean Kremer (0-1 ; 4.96 ERA) to the hill and I look for him to have a good outing in this one. Kremer allowed 6 ERs across 4IP last time out against the Brewers - however he has done well on the road the last 2 seasons, going 5-3 and holding a 3.73 ERA. The Royals are sending Alec Marsh (2-0 ; 4.32 ERA) who is prone to allowing runs, and a lot of them. In his last 2 outings, he allowed 7 ERs and 13 hits across just 9.2 IP. Kansas City has scored more than two runs just once in their L4 games and with Alec Marsh getting the nod, they will need a lot more run support than that, something that may be hard to find if Kremer is on his A-Game. The Orioles are 16-3 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. Fade the trendy dog here and take the Orioles ML. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-18-24 | Rangers v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
I like this game between the Tigers and Rangers to go OVER 8.5 runs in this American League battle. The Tigers have seen several unders, 4 of their L5 and with Kenta Maeda (0-1 ; 6.00 ERA) I think we see some runs in this match up. Maeda has struggled so far this season allowing 10 ERs across just 10 IP and is HR prone, as he's allowed 4 so far. In addition to this, Kenta Maeda has poor splits against a handful of these batters and should allow a few earned runs in this one. The Rangers called up Jack Leiter who is making his MLB debut Thursday. Leiter was once a top prospect but has plummeted to the mid 250s. He has a big problem with allowing HRs, and has allowed 4 in 3 AAA games this season. Both of these teams abts have the potential to get hot at any moment during the game, and with these two pitchers at the hill - I like our chances at a high scoring game. Play the OVER 8.5 runs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-17-24 | Yankees -102 v. Blue Jays | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
I like the Yankees to win this game on the road against the Blue Jays and avoid being swept before another big series, this time at home against Tampa. The Yankees are sending Marcus Stroman (1-1 ; 2.12 ERA) to the hill who has had a mediocre start to the season. In his last 2 outings he has allowed 4 ERs across 11 IP all while striking out 13. Stroman has good splits against the Jays lineup and should be able to tame some of their more powerful hitters in Springer and Vlad. The Jays are sending Kevin Gausman (0-2 ; 11.57 ERA) to the hill who has had a horrible start to 2024. In his last 2 outings, he allowed 14 Hits and 11 ERs across just 5 IP - one of those games being against the Yankees (5 ERs & 2 HRs). The Yankees bats have had the upper hand on Gausman - especially Soto, Judge and Stanton who are all hitting .400 or better against him. The Yankees bats will shine in this pivotal division game for them. Take the Yankees ML here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
04-16-24 | Braves -113 v. Astros | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
I like the Braves to win this game on the road against the Astros. The Astros have been struggling this season and the Braves bats can punish any team at anytime. The Astros are sending Hunter Brown (0-2 ; 16.43 ERA) to the hill who was lit up his las time out. He allowed 9 runs on 11 hits in less than one inning against the Royals. In his game before that, he allowed 5 runs on 8 hits across just 3 IP. The Braves are sending Reynaldo Lopez (1-0 ; .75 ERA) who has been excellent to start the year allowing just 1 ER and 7 hits across 12 IP in one road and home game. Lopez has great splits against this Astros lineup and should be able to build a quality start. The Braves top 3 batters are .667, .500 and .667 in their career against Hunter Brown and can get run support for Lopez. The Braves are 9-5 as a favorite this season and the Astros are just 4-6 at home. Take the Braves ML here. -Joey Tron |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $529 |
Jim Feist | $502 |
Matt Fargo | $451 |
Rocky Atkinson | $438 |
ProSportsPicks | $435 |
Marc Lawrence | $368 |
Tim Michael | $206 |
Dan Kaiser | $205 |
William Burns | $175 |
Kyle Hunter | $70 |