Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee v. Purdue -165 | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
The Purdue Boilermakers will face off with the Tennessee Volunteers for a trip to the final four. They met earlier in the season with Purdue coming away with a 71-67 win. Tennessee puts up 79.1 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 67.3 points per game. Purdue is putting up 78.3 points a game and is giving up 72.9 points per game. The Vols love to shoot the three ball but Purdue's ability to defend the perimeter will make it difficult for the Tennessee offense to stay hot from long range. Edey has dominated inside, but they can light it up from deep with Smith shooting 44.2%, Loyer 45.0%, and Mason Gillis 48.3%. Edey should be able to have a big day against Aidoo. Aidoo has not fared well against other good big men he has gone against this season. I like Purdue to come away with a win and cover and put the past behind them. Play on Purdue on the money line. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-31-24 | Tigers -140 v. White Sox | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
The Detroit Tigers will be going for a sweep against their Central division rivals the Chicago White Sox. The Tigers came from behind to win 7-6 in extra innings yesterday. Detroit will send Jack Flaherty to the mound to face Erick Fedde. Both pitchers will be making their first starts for new teams. Jack Flaherty struggled last season, posting an 8-9 record with a 4.99 ERA in 144.1 innings of work. Erick Fedde comes over from the Nationals. He did not pitch last season but he was awful in 2022 posting a 6-13 record with a 5.81 ERA in 127.0 innings. The Detroit Tigers are the better team and have all the momentum after yesterday's comeback. Tigers’ bullpen has proven to be better so far. The White Sox moved on from all of their starting pitchers from last year and traded away several critical pieces of their bullpen. Take the Tigers for the sweep. Play on Detroit. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-31-24 | Nationals v. Reds -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
The Washington Nationals and the Cincinnati Reds have split their first two games. The Nat’s will send Jake Irvin to the mound to face off against Nick Martinez. Jake Irvin went 3-7 over 24 starts last season, posting a 4.61 ERA and 1.42 WHIP with 99 strikeouts in 121.0 innings. Nick Martinez came over from the Padres in the offseason. He made 54 relief appearances and nine starts with the Padres last season. He went 6-4 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. He looked impressive this spring in two starts, going nine innings with a 0.00 ERA and 0.33 WHIP while striking out 13. The reds are a good young team ans as long as their pitching holds they should make a run for the division. I like Martinez in this one as he has pitched well against the Nationals in his career. Play on Cincinnati MINUS 1.5 RUNS. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-31-24 | Angels v. Orioles -140 | 4-1 | Loss | -140 | 2 h 56 m | Show | |
The LA Angels and Baltimore Orioles wrap up their three-game series with the Orioles going for the sweep. The Orioles will send Tyler Wells to the mound while the Angels counter with Reid Detmers. Wells went 7-6, with a 3.64 ERA. Detmers went 4-10, with a 4.48 ERA. The Angels need more from their pitching as they have given up 24 runs in their first two games. Their bullpen has been rocked so, posting a 12.54 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP over 9.1 innings. Offense has not been a problem for the Orioles as they have scored 24 runs in two games. Baltimore has been dominant so far, but their bullpen has been a bit shaky. Detmers had a 4.48 ERA last season, and I look for the Orioles to put up more runs against Detmers and the bullpen. The Angels already seem to be in disarray after two games. Take Baltimore for the sweep. Play on Baltimore. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-30-24 | Cardinals v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Dodgers starting pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto was knocked around in his first major league start, and even though I don’t expect the same today, I do expect the Cardinals to put some runs on the board. The Dodgers hitting machine continues to move along as they have hit .311 overall with a .443 slugging percentage. The Cardinals gave up seven runs on opening day and I don’t expect a lot from Lance Lynn on the mound. The Dodgers finished second on runs scored and third in slugging last season and just went out in the offseason and grabbed Ohtani. Lynn is known to give up a gopher ball or two and this Dodger’s lineup should be able to take advantage.The Cardinals will do enough damage against Yamamoto to put this one over the number. Play on the OVER. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-30-24 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks play host to the Colorado Rockies in the final game of the three-game set. The Rockies will look to bounce back after getting shelled in the opener. They will send Austin Gomber to the mound to face the D’backs. Last season he went 9-9 with a 5.50 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. In his last start against the Diamondbacks, he allowed six runs on seven hits in 5.1 innings. Arizona took the opener 16-1 and will look to carry that momentum over by sending Tommy Henry to the mound. He went 5-4 last season with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. The Diamondbacks have won eight of their last ten against the Rockies. Arizona put up 16 in the opener while the Rockies have scored more than two runs only once in their last four meetings against Arizona. Tommy Henry was 2-0 in his games against the Rockies last season, even holding them scoreless through seven innings in their last meeting. The Rockies were the worst team in the NL last season and didn’t look any better in the opener this season. Play on Arizona minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-30-24 | Illinois +8.5 v. Connecticut | 52-77 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
I am looking for a close game between Illinois and UCONN. UConn will not be able to impose their will in the paint as the Illini have the bigs that can not only match up but hold their own. Connecticut is a balanced team, but the best player on the floor will be Terrence Shannon Jr. for the Illini. He has scored 26 or more in every game in the Tournament. Both teams have covered their games so far but this will be the toughest matchup for UCONN so far. Illinois is 10th in KenPom, and they have the 2nd most efficient offense in the country. UCONN has won their games by an average margin of 18 points. Illinois will hold their own in the paint and Shannon will be able to score. I think this number is just too high in what I see as being a competitive game. Play on Illinois. This is a 2% play. | |||||||
03-30-24 | Twins -120 v. Royals | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
The AL Central is the worst division in baseball so every team has hope. Two AL Central rivals face off with the Minnesota Twins taking on the Kansas City Royals. The Twins took the opener of the series 4-1. Joe Ryan is set to make the start for the Twins. Last season he posted a career high 4.51 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP, both numbers he will need to improve on. Kansas City has a lot of young talent but can they put it all together and win games is the question. Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals. He came over from the Padres in the offseason. The Twins are still the team to beat in the AL Central and even though KC has a lot to like, they have to show me that they can win games. The Twins are 6-4 in the last ten games against the Royals. Ryan is 5-0 in six starts against the Royals. He gave up only six runs in those starts. If this game is close late, the Twins have the better and more trusted bullpen. Play on Minnesota. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-30-24 | Angels v. Orioles -156 | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles will play host to the LA Angels. Baltimore opened the year with an 11-3 win over the Angels. Baltimore’s Grayson Rodriguez will face the Angel’s Griffin Canning. In the opener, outside of a Mike Trout home run in the first inning, the offense was nowhere to be found. The Angels had just two hits and struck out 14 times. The Angels will go with Griffin Canning on the mound. Last season, he was 7-8 with a 4.32 ERA. He has an ERA of 4.04 during road games. The Orioles will go with Grayson Rodriguez on the mound. He went 6-4 last season with a 4.35 ERA. He had a 4.59 ERA in 12 home starts. Rodriguez pitched well down the stretch last season, going 2-1 with a 2.64 ERA in August and 3-1 with a 2.17 ERA in September. Canning has been up and down in his career and I think Baltimore will get to him in this one. Baltimore is the better team and LA needs to show that they can hit consistently. The run-line is teasing me but will take the money line. Play on Baltimore. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-30-24 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
Detroit took the first game 1-0 and I don’t expect a lot of scoring from either team in this one. Last season, Chicago finished 29th in OPS and 26th in team batting average and did nothing to improve the offense during the offseason. Detroit wasn’t any better as they finished 27th in team batting average, 28th in OPS, and 24th in home runs. Detroit has some nice young bats but they also have a lot of holes in their lineup. These two teams combined for nine hits and just one run in the opener. The White Sox did not make it past first base in the opener and Maeda has good numbers against White Sox batters. If Sorako can give us a decent outing, this game stays well below the number. Play on the UNDER. This is a 5% play | |||||||
03-30-24 | Red Wings v. Panthers -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
The Detroit Red Wings face off against the Florida Panthers. Both teams need a win as the Red Wings have lost three in a row while the Panthers have lost two straight. The Red Wings are fighting for a playoff spot and are fifth in the Atlantic Division. They are 10th in the league in goals scored. Alex Lyon is expected to be in the net. He is 18-16-3 with a .904 save percentage and 3.07 goals allowed per game. The Panthers are 46-22-5 this season and are 13th in goals scored. Sergei Bobrovsky is 32-16-3 with a .914 save percentage and 2.41 goals per game between the pipes for the Panthers. I like the Panthers in this one as they will get it done with their defense as they allow just 2.44 goals a game. Both teams have struggled of late with the Red Wings going 3-6-1 in their last 10 games while the Panthers are just 1-5-1 in their last seven. Florida has clinched a playoff spot and is still battling Boston for the top spot while Detroit has slipped out of the second wild-card spot. The Panthers are 21-13-3 at home this season. Detroit has been a good story this season but is struggling to close it out down the stretch. Florida is better in net and will take them win in this one. Play on Florida minus 1.5 goals. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-29-24 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
The St. Louis Cardinals dropped their opening game to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Cardinals will send Zack Thompson to the mound, while the Dodgers counter with Bobby Miller. Zack Thompson had a rough season last year, posting a 5-7 record with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. During the spring, he posted a 2.81 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP in 16 innings. The Cardinals biggest signing this offseason was Sonny Gray but he is starting the season on the IL. The Dodgers come into this game with a loaded lineup and should easily make the playoffs as long as their pitching can hold up this season. The Dodgers’ potent offense should have success against Thompson who has not found success at the major or minor league levels. Bobby Miller is in the second season with the Dodgers. The Dodgers went 15-7 in games he started last season. Three of the Dodgers' four wins against the Cardinals last season were by two or more runs and they won yesterday by a 7-1 score. Play on the LA Dodgers minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-29-24 | Creighton +3.5 v. Tennessee | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Creighton has an offense that gets contributions from everybody and that gives them the opportunity to get hot at any time. They put up 24 points in the five-minute overtime against Oregon in the last round. Tennessee's offense can be erratic and you never know what you are going to get. The bigger elephant in the room is probably Rick Barnes. he has lost twice in the Sweet 16 with Tennessee. Dalton Knecht has been a star for the Vols this season but Creighton has an answer in Baylor Schiereman. Schiereman has a size advantage but is also quick enough to play on the outside. Creighton is well balanced on the offensive end which allows them to take advantage of matchups. The Bluejays are the bigger team and pose matchup problems for Tennessee. I like Creighton to win this game outright but will take the points. Play on Creighton. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-29-24 | Duke v. Houston -4 | 54-51 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
McCain has had an excellent tournament for Duke but now he will be defended by a Houston backcourt that held Texas A&M All-American guard Wade Taylor IV to just 5-of-26 shooting from the field. The Cougars thrive by playing a physical brand of basketball and the Duke guards are not really built for that type of game. Houston rebounds from all five positions and attacks the glass on both ends, which will limit Duke from getting second-chance points. The Cougars are holding teams to just 29% from 3-point range and came into the tournament ranked first in field goal defense. The Cougars are 13-4 against tournament teams this season. Duke's season looks good on paper but after taking a deeper dive, Duke has only played five games against ranked opponents this season, going 2-3. Houston will limit Duke's open looks from deep and they have enough to control the paint. I think Houston’s defense will be too much for Duke to overcome. Play on Houston. This is a 2% play | |||||||
03-29-24 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
The Colorado Rockies were pounded in their opener by the Arizona Diamondbacks 16-1. The Diamondbacks went 10-3 against the Rockies last season. The Rockies will send Cal Quantrill to the mound. Last season, he posted a 4-7 record with a 5.24 ERA. In his career against Arizona, he is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA. Merrill Kelly gets the start for the Diamondbacks. Last season, he went 12-8 with a 2.39 ERA of 3.29. In his career against the Rockies, he 5-3 with a 3.89 ERA. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 7-3 record against the run line in their last ten games against the Rockies. Yo would expect the Rockies to at least put in a better showing in this game but the D’Backs have a massive advantage at the plate and on the mound. Play on Arizona minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-29-24 | Guardians -129 v. A's | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Guardians opened the season with a win over Oakland. They will look to keep things going by sending Logan Allen to the mound while the A’s will counter with Ros Stripling. Allen went 7-8 with a 3.81 ERA last season. Ross Stripling was 0-5 with a 5.36 ERA last season. Cleveland is 8-2 in its last 10 games against Oakland. Cleveland averaged 4.09 runs per game last season. The Athletics lost 112 games last season and are on their way to doing it again. Oakland averaged 3.61 runs per game last season. The Athletics had one of the worst offenses in the league and didn’t make any changes in the off-season to fix it. Allen faced the A’s last season and allowed two hits and no runs. Stripling didn’t look good on the mound last season. He gave up four runs in four innings in his last start against the Guardians. Play on Cleveland. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-29-24 | NC State v. Marquette -6.5 | 67-58 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The 11th-seeded NC State Wolfpack faces the 2nd-seeded Marquette Golden Eagles in the Sweet 16. The Wolfpack are coming off a 79-73 win over Oakland while the Golden Eagles took down Colorado 81-77. The Wolfpack are putting up 76.5 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 72.6 points per game. The Golden Eagles are putting up 78.6 points per game. The Wolfpack have won seven straight games. NC State has won its last five games as an underdog, but it's only 18-19-1 ATS this season. Marquette is 18-12-1 ATS. This is the seventh game in sixteen days for NC State. I look for Marquette to turn it up on the defensive end and put pressure on the Wolfpack. When Marquette has the ball, I can see the making Burns play defense in the pick and roll as the Wolfpack struggled to defend that all season. I look for Marquette to wear down NC State and pull away late. Play on Marquette. This is a 2% play, | |||||||
03-29-24 | Braves -120 v. Phillies | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves take on the Philadelphia Phillies in an early battle in the NL East. The Braves will send Spencer Strider to the mound. The Phillies will counter with Zack Wheeler. The Braves Spencer Strider went 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA in four starts against the Phillies. In his career, he has posted 483 strikeouts in just 320.2 innings of work. In eight career appearances against the Phillies, he is 8-0 record with a 1.90 ERA. The Phillies Zach Wheeler likes to face the Braves and last season he went 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA. Struder owns the Phillies with an 8-0 record in eight starts against Philadelphia. He has also posted a 1.90 ERA. The Braves were 8-5 against the Phillies last season. I will take the pitcher that has dominated this series during the regular season. Play on Atlanta. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-28-24 | Illinois v. Iowa State -120 | 72-69 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Iowa State finished the season playing the best defense in the country and now will face one of the best offenses in the country in Illinois. Iowa State has not allowed a team to score above 65 in their last 10 games and their opponents have averaged just 57 points. On the offensive end, The Iowa State guards sould eb able to get shots off from deep against the Illinois defense. This is a stacked region with UCONN as the top seed. Illinois has a dynamic one-two punch with Shannon and Domask. The Illini are shooting 56% in the tournament and 40% from three-point range but have not faced a defense like Iowa States. Iowa States offense is not as strong but there have been many games this season that Illinois has decided not to play defense. This should be a close game but until Brad Underwood shows me he can win a big game I have to go against him. Play on ISU. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-28-24 | Alabama v. North Carolina -4.5 | 89-87 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Alabama was able to take of business the first weekend even though against lesser competition by beating the College of Charleston and Grand Canyon. UNC was able to man-handle Michigan State and their 11th ranked defense. I expect Bama to try and out run and gun the Tar Heels. Alabama struggled all season on the defensive end and will need to try and outscore the Tar Heels and it will not be easy to slow down the NC offense. NC can play some defense and they ranked 6th at 70 points a game. NC has a huge advantage in the paint with forwards Armando Bacot and Harrison Ingram over Grant Nelson and Nick Pringle. Bama lives and dies by the three. If they are hitting from deep, Bama can keep this one close and possibly win outright but by the same token they can shoot themselves out of a game. The Pace won’t bother Carolina and I like their overall offense better. They should be able to out rebound Bama which will help them set the tempo for the game. I am taking Carolina to cover late. Play on NC. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-28-24 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -11.5 | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Both San Diego State and UCONN deploy elite defenses. While SDSU is known for their defense, UCONN can get it done on both ends of the court. UCONN has covered in eight of its last nine games. San Diego State has their struggles on the offensive end, especially from deep, where they rank 301st in three point percentage. They usually can make it up with a rebounding advantage but they won’t have that in this game as the Huskies can rebound as well. This is a lot of points but I do not trust the SDSU offense to score enough points. This is a game UCONN could lose but everything must go wrong for that to happen. I think there is a better chance for a blowout than a close game. Play on UCONN. This is a 2% play. | |||||||
03-28-24 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The St. Louis Cardinals open the season with a four-game series with the Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday afternoon. St. Louis finished last season at 71-91 and in the basement of the NL Central. The Dodgers have already played this season, splitting two games with the Padres in Korea. St. Louis added starters Sonny Gray, Lance Lynn, and Kyle Gibson to their rotation. Gray is already on the IL with a hamstring injury. Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals in this one. He went 9-13 with a 4.78 ERA, and a 1.316 WHIP in 39 starts last season. He led the league in hits and earned runs allowed. During spring training, he was 2-0 with a 4.78 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. The Dodgers showed the bats are just fine as they put up 11 runs in a 15-11 loss to close out the Korea series. Tyler Glasnow opened the season for LA, going 5 innings and allowing two runs on two hits with four walks and three strikeouts. During spring, he was 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA, a 0.70 WHIP, three walks, and 14 strikeouts over 10 innings of work. Mikolas is a pitch-to-contact pitcher and the Dodgers lineup can make contact. Glasnow needs to have better control than he had in the first game. The Dodgers are at home and this lineup is loaded. Los Angeles has already played two regular season games which has to be an advantage. I like the Dodgers to pile on the runs off Mikolas early. Lay the 1.5 runs for value. Play on the LA Dodgers minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play! | |||||||
03-28-24 | Nationals v. Reds -142 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Washington Nationals will visit Cincinnati to take on the Reds. The Nats will send Josiah Gray to the mound and the Reds will counter with Frankie Montas. Gray finished last season with an 8-13 record and a 3.91 ERA, with a 1.46 WHIP in 30 starts. Frankie Montas made just one appearance last season with the Yankees due to a shoulder injury. Washington has been in rebuilding mode and has a young core of players. Gray pitched well on the road last season, posting a 2.97 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 18 starts. The Reds are also a young team that has their eyes on the playoffs. Montas was only able to make one appearance on the mound last season. The Reds just missed the playoffs last season and want to get off to a good start this season. The Reds have a young exciting lineup that should find success against Gray. Montas is a question mark but this is a good team to face after a long layoff as the Nats lineup is not that scary. Play on Cincinnati. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-28-24 | Twins -114 v. Royals | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins open the season on the road versus the Kansas City Royals. The Twins will open the season with Pablo Lopez on the mound. He was 11-8 with a 3.66 ERA last season. The Royals will go with Cole Ragans on the mound. He was 7-5 with a 3.47 ERA last season. Minnesota is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Kansas City. The Twins won the AL Central title last season, but that is not saying a lot as it was the worst division in baseball. The Twins lost key players from their rotation with Sonny Gray and Kenta Maeda leaving in the offseason. Minnesota’s pitching was one of the best in the league last season and they will need to produce again this season. The Royals matched a franchise record with 106 losses and was one of two teams in the division with over 100 losses.Kansas City’s pitching was among the worst in the league last season. Lopez was 3-0 in three starts against the twins last season, giving up just six runs. Minnesota has the better lineup on paper and if things hold to form they have a huge advantage in the pen based on last season. Take the twins to open the season on the road with a win. Play on Minnesota. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-28-24 | Tigers -172 v. White Sox | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
The Detroit Tigers open the season against Central Division rivals the Chicago White Sox. The Tigers went 78-84 last season while the White Sox were 61-101 and as one of four teams to lose 100 games. The Tigers send Tarik Skubal to the mound to face Garrett Crochet. Skubal pitched well last season, allowing 28 runs in 80.1 innings pitched while striking out 102 batters. They did not do a lot in the off-season and are hoping their young players can step up. White Sox starter Garrett Crochet has battled injuries the past two seasons, missing all of 2022 and pitching only 12.2 innings last season. The Tigers have a lineup with great potential and are facing a pitcher with more questions than answers. The Sox still have some pop in their lineup but I think they will struggle against Skubal. Play on Detroit. This is a 2% play | |||||||
03-28-24 | Angels v. Orioles -1.5 | 3-11 | Win | 114 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Angels kick off the baseball season in Baltimore to take on the Orioles. LA will send Patrick Sandoval to the mound to face former Milwaukee Brewers ace Corbin Burnes. Sandoval went 7-13 last season with a 4.11 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 28 starts. Burnes finished last season with a 10-8 record and a 3.39 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 32 starts with Milwaukee. Los Angeles comes into this season without Ohtani but they still have Mike Trout. Sandoval did not pitch well on the road last season, going 5-7 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 16 road starts. Baltimore was the young upstart team last season, winning 101 games and making the playoffs. The Playoffs didn’t go so well but they are looking to do better this season and went out and got an ace in Burnes. Burnes has recorded 200 or more strikeouts in each of the past three seasons. The Orioles were 49-32 at Oriole Park in 2023. Baltimore was 5-2 against Los Angeles last season, outscoring the Angels 41-27. These Orioles have won eight of the previous 10 games against the Angels. I like Baltimore in this one but I will be looking for value early with Burnes on the mound. Lay the 1.5 runs at + money. Play on Baltimore on the run line. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-27-24 | VCU +8 v. Utah | 54-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
In a NIT quarterfinals matchup, the VCU Rams take on the Utah Utes. VCU has been getting it done with their defense, as six straight opponents have failed to score more than 65 points. On the offensive end, they are putting up 71.5 points per game. They shoot 44.3% from the field and 35.7% from deep. Utah plays fast and puts up 78.6 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field and 36.2% from deep. On the defensive end, they give up 73.0 points per game. I don’t see Utah producing the same offense they have against the VCU defense. This should be a close game so I will take VCU plus the points. Play on VCU. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-27-24 | UNLV v. Seton Hall -5 | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The UNLV Running Rebels will travel across the country to New Jersey to take on the Seton Hall Pirates in the quarterfinals of the NIT Tournament. The Running Rebels have won their two games in the NIT by an average of eight points. On the season, the Rebels are 189th in the nation in scoring. They are 75th in field goal shooting and 173rd in 3-point shooting. On the defensive end, they are 80th in the nation in scoring defense. Seton Hall is 16-3 at home with the two tournament wins. On the season, the Pirates are 166th in the nation in scoring. They are 141st in field goal shooting and 225th in 3-point shooting. On the defensive end, they are 92nd in the country in scoring defense. The Rebels were 8-3 on the road this season. The Pirates are now 16-3 at home this season. Seton Hall. They have held their two NIT opponents to an average of 65 points per game while the Rebels have given up 78 points per game. Seton Hall is the better rebounding team and has a huge advantage playing at home. Take Seton Hall in this one. Play on Seton Hall. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-27-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne -120 v. Norfolk State | 67-75 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons take on the Norfolk State Spartans in the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament final. Purdue FW is 23-12 on the season and are 10-7 on the road. They have won five of their last six games. The Norfolk State Spartans have a chance to win the CIT Championship with a win at home. The Spartans have only played one game in the tournament. The Spartans are now 23-11 overall and remain perfect 14-0 at home this season. The Mastodons have been able to win both their games on the road by a toal of three points.The Spartans have a below average offense and that will hurt them in this game. The Mastodons have advantages in perimeter shooting and offensive efficiency. Play on Purdue FW. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-26-24 | Mavs +1.5 v. Kings | 132-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings take on the Dallas Mavericks in a hotly contested Western Conference playoff battle. The Kings beat the Mavericks in Dallas twice earlier this season. Dallas has won three in a row and eight of their last nine. The Kings hold the sixth seed over Dallas bases on head-to-head so far this season. Trey Lyles, Sasha Vezenkov, and Kevin Huerter have all been hit by injuries. The Kings have 11 games in the next 19 games. Dallas is 22-12 on the road this season. They are also 8-1 ATS over their last nine games. The Kings are 14-20 ATS at home this season. Doncic and Irving will carry the Mavs over an injury plagued Kings team. Play on Dallas. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-26-24 | Red Wings v. Capitals -105 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
The Detroit Red Wings go on the road to face the Washington Capitals in a pivotal Eastern Conference matchup with huge playoff implications. Detroit is outside of the final playoff spot in the East, just one point back of Washington. The Red Wings are 3-9 in their last 12 games. The Red Wings are 15-18-1 on the road, and they are putting up 3.38 goals per game and giving up 3.32 goals per game. The Capitals are 19-11-5 at home. The Capitals are putting up just 2.71 goals per game while giving up 3.10 goals per game. There is just one point separating the two teams. Washington is playing better hockey as of late and I think their goaltending and defense should be able to limit Detroit's offense. I don’t like the way Detroit has been playing and like the Capitals to take this one at home. Play on Washington. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-24-24 | Yale v. San Diego State -5 | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The 13th-seeded Yale Bulldogs face the 5th-seeded San Diego State Aztecs in the round of 32. The Bulldogs knocked off 4th-seeded Auburn in the first round. The Bulldogs are putting up 73.7 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 68.4 points per game. The Aztecs are coming off a close win over UAB. San Diego State plays well on the defensive end, allowing 67.3 points per game. The Aztecs have won three of their last four games, and are putting up 74 points per game. They have made over 76 percent of their free throws in their last three games which could be a factor down the stretch. They are a good offensive-rebounding team and I think they will be able to get some easy second-chance points against Yale. Yale hasn’t faced a lot of big-time offenses and gave up 76 last time out. The Bulldogs have won three straight games. They have scored less than 70 points in their last three games and SDSU is equipped to defend Yales deliberate style of play. They have struggled at the line as of late and can’t afford to give up free points. They also do not rebound well and will have to do a better job on the boards. The Aztecs are a much better half-court defensive team than Auburn and will be able to make the Bulldogs work harder to score. This is a perfect matchup on many levels for SDSU and I see them winning this game easily. Play on SDSU. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-24-24 | VCU v. South Florida -145 | 70-65 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
The VCU Rams take on the South Florida Bulls in the second round of the NIT. The Bulls have posted a 15-2 record on their home floor. The VCU Rams have won four of their last five games. The South Florida Bulls have won three of their last five games. VCU is putting up 71.5 points per game and are shooting 44.3% from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.5 points per game. South Florida is putting up 76.1 points per game and they shoot 44.2% from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.3 points per game.The Bulls are coming into this game with a 21-8 record against the spread this season and you can’t ignore their 15-2 record at home. South Florida has hit the money line in 23 of their last 26 games and has covered the spread in 19 of those games. I love the home team in this one. Play on South Florida. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-24-24 | Evansville v. Quinnipiac -145 | 64-63 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
We have CBI tournament action as the 6-seed Quinnipiac Bobcats meet the 11-seed Evansville Purple Aces. The Bobcats finished the season 24-9 While the Purple Aces finished 16-17 and were 10th in the MVC. Evansville finished the regular season on a seven game losing streak but picked up a win in the conference tournament. They put up 72.4 points per game on the offensive end and on the defensive end, they give up 74.1 points a game. Evansville is 18-14 ATS this season. The Quinnipiac Bobcats finished the season on a four-game winning streak, before being upset in their conference Tourney. They are putting up 78.4 points per game, and on the defensive end, they are giving up 72.4 points per game. Quinnipiac is 18-13-1 ATS on the season. Looking at the statistics, Quinnipiac holds the advantage in all major categories. They like to play at a fast pace which will cause Evansville some problems. They won 15 conference games this season. Evansville lost eight of their last nine games, Quinnipiac covered the spread in four of their last six games, and are the more athletic and faster team here. I think this line is a little low and love Quinnipiac in this one. | |||||||
03-24-24 | Clemson v. Baylor -4.5 | 72-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
The six-seed Clemson Tigers take on the three-seed Baylor Bears in the Round of 32. Both teams won easily in the first round. Clemson has experience as they start four seniors and one junior. Clemson puts up 77.4 points,and shoots 46.8% from the field and 35.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are allowing 71.3 points a game. Baylor is putting up 80.3 points a game and have six players scoring in double figures. On the defensive end, they are giving 71.3 points a game. Clemson allowed a lot of open looks to New Mexico but they were not able to convert. You cannot expect Baylor to do the same. Baylor is sixth in the nation in three-point percentage and 95th in offensive rebounds per game. Baylor has a lot of depth and their length at the wings will cause problems for Clemson. Baylor has a better all around team ant their depth will carry them to a win and cover. Play on Baylor. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-24-24 | James Madison +7.5 v. Duke | 55-93 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
James Madison is on a fourteen-game winning streak and finished the season at 32-3. James Madison puts up 84 points a game and loves to run the floor. I am never sure what Duke team you are going to get. You know Kyle Filipowski will get his but the guard play for Duke is suspect. If they are playing well Duke is a tough out, but if is the keyword. The fact that James Madison hasn’t lost since January even though they were the lower seed, showed they were the better team against Wisconsin. James Madison likes to attack the rim and will try to get into foul trouble and pick up cheap points at the line. Duke should win this game but I like James Madison to keep it within the number. Play on James Madison. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-23-24 | Oregon v. Creighton -4.5 | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Oregon has the momentum on their side as they had to win the Pac-12 tournament to get here. The Blue Jays have two advantages that I like in Tournament play, experienced guard play and a rebounding edge. There are some intriguing matchups in both the front and back courts. I think the back-court matchups will be the difference in this game. The Blue Jays' guards are more experienced and will handle the pressure down the stretch if this game is close. I am looking for Creighton to be able to control the boards and come away with a win and cover. Play on Creighton. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-23-24 | Texas +6.5 v. Tennessee | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
I am going with Texas in this one for two very distinct reasons. The first reason is I look for guard play and the Longhorns have two excellent ballhandlers, that can also take over games. Abmas put up 33 on Baylor, and Hunter had a 30-point game against Oklahoma. The second reason is Rick Barnes but more on that later. Texas can also play on the defensive end as they held Colorado State to just 11 points in the first half. Texas will focus their defensive efforts on Knecht, who Tennessee seems to rely on, and try to slow down the Vols. Rick Barnes is known for choking in March. It is funny to think about but Rodney Terry has more Elite Eight appearances in one year at Texas than Barnes has in nine seasons with Tennessee. Tennessee is the better team on paper and should be on the court. I just think with all the history with Barnes and how underachieving Tennessee can be I like the points in this one. Play on Texas. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-23-24 | Washington State v. Iowa State -6.5 | 56-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
This game will be about defense, or should I say Iowa State's defense. Iowa State did what they have done all season in the first round and that is, they turned their defense loose. They are playing some of if not the best defense in the country. The Cyclones are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games and have won those games by an average of 17 points. They finished the season with an 18-point win over Houston. Washington State had to come from behind to beat Drake and I can't see that happening against this defense. WSU struggled to score against a Drake defense that is not nearly close to Iowa State. They put up just 66 against Drake and have been held under 70 points in three of their last four games. Iowa State is 24-10-1 ATS this season and I look for their defense to shut down the Cougars and come away with a win and cover. Play on Iowa State. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-23-24 | Michigan State v. North Carolina -4 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Michigan State finally looked like a team that started the season ranked in the top five. Inconsistency has plagued the Spartans all season despite being a senior-laden team. MSU doesn't have the big men to contain Bacout and I look for him to have a huge game. Walker can match RJ Davis shot for shot but I am skeptical of the rest of the Spartans stepping up to hit big shots. MSU keeps this one close for a while but I look for North Carolina to pull away late. Play on North Carolina. This is a 5% play. | |||||||
03-23-24 | Red Wings v. Predators -160 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
The Detroit Red Wings are on the road to take on the Nashville Predators. The Red Wings hold the last Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference. he Predators are atop the Wild Card standings in the West. The Red Wings lost their previous two matchups in Nashville. The Red Wings have won three straight on home ice. Detroit has scored four goals or more in three of their previous four games. Dylan Larkin returned to the lineup which adds some offensive punch. The Predators come in having won four in a row. Nashville has been getting it done between the pipes, allowing two goals or less in four straight. The Predators goalies have limited Detroit skaters to one goal in each of their last two home games against them. Nashville has won seven of their last nine games overall and three of four at home. Detroit lost five straight on the road. Detroit struggles on the road and they will once again here. Play on Nashville. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-23-24 | Red Wings v. Predators OVER 6 | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
The last time these two teams played in Detroit, they combined for nine goals with Detroit winning 5-4. Both teams rank in the top half of the league in average goals scored per game, with the Red Wings ranking seventh overall. The addition of Larkin back into the lineup adds some extra punch to the Detroit offense, evident by the two goals in his return. As good as their offense is, Detroit's defense ranks near the bottom in several key defensive categories, including average goals allowed per game. The Red Wings have gone over the goal total in three straight games overall and three straight games away from their home arena. Despite Nashville holding Detroit to a goal in each of the last two home games. I am looking for a higher scoring game. Play on the OVER. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-23-24 | Bruins -150 v. Flyers | 2-3 | Loss | -150 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
The Boston Bruins go on the road to play the Philadelphia Flyers, Both teams are coming off losses. Boston is 41-15-5 and in first place in the Eastern Conference. The Bruins are 18-6-9 with a +12 goal differential on the road. Boston ranks ninth in the NHL with 3.34 goals per game and on the defensive end, they rank seventh in allowing 2.70 goals per game. Philadelphia is 35-26-9 and is third in the Metro division. The Flyers are 1-3 in their last four games. The Flyers rank 22nd with 2.91 goals per game and on the defensive end, they are 17th, allowing 3.01 goals per game. Philadelphia is 18-14-3 at home with a -6 goal differential. The Flyers are not playing good hockey right now. Their defense and goaltending have been an issue and in two games against the Bruins they have been outscored 12-7, losing both games. Take the Bruins on the road in this one. Play on Boston. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-22-24 | Grand Canyon v. St. Mary's -5.5 | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
The 12th seed Grand Canyon Lopes will take on the fifth seed Saint Mary's Gaels. Grand Canyon puts up 78.4 points a game 45.8% shooting from the field and 34.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.7 points a game. Grand Canyon has not played a tough schedule ranking 204th. Saint Marys puts up 73.2 points a game on 46.6% shooting from the field and 35.5% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 59.7 points a game. Grand Canyon played a weak schedule this season and there were not a lot of good defensive teams in their conference. Saint Mary's has a defense that has shut down some of the best offenses in the country. The Gaels like to play at a slow pace and work for a good shot. They have great shooters and a big-time scorer in Aidan Mahoney, who can take a game over. Grand Canyon has not faced a defense like St Mary’s this season. St Mary's has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 games. Grand Canyon is a great story but I think they are overmatched in this game. Play on St. Mary’s this is a 3% play | |||||||
03-22-24 | James Madison +5.5 v. Wisconsin | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
In the South Region the 12th-seeded James Madison Dukes take on the fifth-seeded Wisconsin Badgers.The James Madison Dukes are putting up 84.4 points per game on 48.0% shooting from the floor. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.2 points per game. The Wisconsin Badgers put up 75.1 points per game on 46.3% shooting from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.9 points per game. JMU is very good from deep and has multiple players that shoot from deep. It ranks 54th in threes made per game and 42nd in three-point percentage. The Badgers rank 345th in opponent three-point percentage. JMU will have an advantage on the boards and I like them to win this game outright but will happily take the points. Play on James Madison. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-22-24 | Colorado +1.5 v. Florida | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
The 10th-seeded Colorado Buffaloes face the 7th-seeded Florida Gators. The Buffaloes finished third in the Pac-12 and they’re coming off a 60-53 win over Boise State in the First Four. The Gators finished sixth in the SEC. Colorado has a game under their belt and got to experience the pressure of a tournament game with their win over Boise State. They are putting up 78.7 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 70.7 points per game. The Gators were riding a three-game winning streak before losing to Auburn in the final of the SEC Tournament. Florida is putting up 85.1 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 78.5 points per game. Colorado has won nine of their last 10 games. The Gators have won three of their last five games. The Gators haven’t played well defensively this season and they played worse in recent games, giving up at least 80 points in six of their last seven games. The Buffaloes have held four of their last five opponents under 60 points. Florida looked flat after the Handlogten injury last Sunday. His loss will hurt Florida on the boards. Play on Colorado. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-22-24 | New Mexico -135 v. Clemson | 56-77 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
The 6th-seed Clemson Tigers take on the 11th-seed New Mexico Lobos. New Mexico comes into this game having won four in a row. New Mexico likes to play at a fast pace, which has allowed them to put up 81.6 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 71 points per game. Clemson struggled down the stretch, losing three of their last four games. Clemson plays at a slower pace and puts up 77.4 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 71.3 points per game. New Mexico has a balanced approach on the offensive end but also has a player in House who can take a game over if needed. They have a rebounding advantage that should lead to second-chance points on the offensive end and on the defensive end, they will be able to push the pace. New Mexico has held four straight opponents under 70 points. The Tigers lost three of four, gave up 75+ points in three straight, and have failed to score 70 twice in March so far. The higher seed is the favorite here for a reason. Play on New Mexico on the money line. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-22-24 | Northwestern v. Florida Atlantic -3.5 | 77-65 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The Northwestern Wildcats of the BIG10 take on the Florida Atlantic Owls from the American Athletic Conference. Northwestern is the 9-seed after finishing fourth in the BIG10 while. Florida Atlantic finished second in the AAC. Northwestern has made the dance for just the third time and now two years in a row. NW went 4-7 in Quad 1 games and 5-3 in Quad 2 and were 17-14-1 ATS. The Wildcats put up 73.7 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 69. Florida Atlantic went to the dance last season as a nine-seed and made it to the final four. The Owls had a 2-2 Quad 1 record and were 8-3 in Quad 2 games. The Owls put up 82.5 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 73.3. Northwestern likes to slow the pace of play down to a crawl. FAU should be able to take advantage of a Northwestern defense that allows their opponents to shoot 45% from the field and 36% from deep. The Owls like to play at a faster pace and should be able to get out and run as they have a rebounding edge over the Wildcats. The Owls are experienced and have tasted the Final Four I look for FAU to push the pace and Northwestern will find it difficult to keep up. Play on FAU. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
The 10th-seed Drake Bulldogs take on the seventh-seed Washington State Cougars in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tournament. Drake won 10 of their last 11 games including a win over Indiana State in the MVC Tournament Final. Drake puts up 80.3 points a game on 47.7% shooting from the field and 36.5% shooting from deep. On the defensive end, they allow 70.6 points. Washington State finished second in the Pac-12 with a 14-6 record. Washington State puts up 74.3 points a game on 46.6% shooting from the field and 34% from deep. Drake’s Tucker Devries will be the best player on the floor for either team and has the ability to take over the game. Washington State has been inconsistent on the offensive end this season and don’t shoot the three ball well. Drake has tournament experience which should play a factor if this game is close down the stretch. I will take Drake and Devries to pull off the slight upset. Play on Drake. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-21-24 | McNeese State v. Gonzaga -6.5 | 65-86 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
We have an intriguing 12-5 matchup in the West Region with the McNeese State Cowboys, who finished at 30-3, against the Gonzaga Bulldogs, who finished the season at 25-7. The Cowboys went 17-1 in their conference and have won 11 straight games. They have scored more than 74 points per game on the road. They will be at a disadvantage on the boards so extra possessions will be hard to come by. The Bulldogs have won nine of their last 10 games. They are scoring more than 83 points per game and are making over 51 percent of their shots. The Bulldogs have held their last three opponents under 68 points per game. McNeese State loves to shoot the three ball and i feel that the only way for them to win is get hot from deep. They are not used to playing in a large arena so it may take them some time to get their shots to fall. The Zags should be able to dominate with their two big men in the paint. They shoot a combined 60% from the floor and should be able to control the boards, giving them second chance opportunities and limiting the same for McNeese State. I am laying the points with Gonzaga in this one as the avoid they 12-5 upset. Play on Gonzaga. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-21-24 | Oakland v. Kentucky -13.5 | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
The 14-seed Oakland Golden Grizzlies take on the 3-seed Kentucky Wildcats. Oakland finished the season at 23-11 while Kentucky finished at 23-8. Oakland won both the Horizon League regular season and conference tournament championships and closed the season winning eight out of their last nine and 17 of their last 20 games. Kentucky finished one game out of first place in the SEC. They won five of their last six games to finish the season. Kentucky has an explosive offense and even though they have struggled at times on the defensive end I feel that Oakland isn’t efficient enough on the offensive end to take advantage. Oakland doesn't defend the three-ball well and Kentucky can light it up from deep. Kentucky will also have an advantage on the boards which should lead to second-chance opportunities. Oakland can keep this close for a half but will get blown out in the second half. Play on Kentucky. This is a 2% play | |||||||
03-21-24 | Islanders -105 v. Red Wings | 3-6 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
The Detroit Red Wings will play host to the New York Islanders in a game that both teams feel they must win.ena. Detroit holds the final wild card spot, but have struggled, going 2-8 in their last ten games. The Islanders are battling the Wings for that last playoff spot. New York's offense ranks 23rd with 2.93 goals and 23rd in shots per game. On the defensive end, The Islanders are 24th in goals against with 3.31 and 31st in shots against per game. Detroit has struggled as of late and found themselves down 2-0 to Columbus before rallying and winning in overtime. Detroit is ranked 7th with 3.38 goals and 23rd in shots per game. On the defensive end, they are 25th in goals against at 3.37 goals and 26th in shots. Both teams are struggling and both teams need a win .Detroit has only won once in regulation against the Islanders in their last six meetings. This will come down to the goaltenders and I will take Sorokin over Reimer and New York is almost .500 on the road this year. Play on the New York Islander. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-21-24 | Morehead State v. Illinois -11 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
In an East Regional contest, the three-seed Illinois Fighting Illini take on 14th-seed Morehead State Eagles. The Eagles finished the season 26-8 overall and 18-11-1 ATS. They won the Ohio Valley Conference to make the Dance. The Fighting Illini finished with a 26-8 overall record and were 19-13-2 ATS and won the Big 10. Morehead State is riding a six-game winning streak but has not played in 12 days. For the season, they are putting up 75.5 a game. They are shooting 46.9% from the field and 36.1% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 62.8 points per game. The Fighting Illini were in form down the stretch going 7-1 over their last 8 games. For the season, they put up 84.4 on 47.1% shooting from the field and 35% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 73.8 points a game. The Fighting Illini have gone 3-1 ATS over their last four games. The Fighting Illini can be taken advantage of on the defensive end but I don’t believe Morehead State has the offense to do it. Morehead State has had 12 days off so it may take some time to get their in-game touch going. Illinois has two guys who can get a bucket when needed, to hit 26 free throws in the Big Ten title game. Morehead State has played just two tournament games this season and has not faced a team like Illinois. Illinois lack of defensive effort can worry you in this one but I don’t think Morehead State will be able to score enough. Play on Illinois. This is a 2% play | |||||||
03-21-24 | Duquesne +10.5 v. BYU | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
The East Regional has a matchup with the No. 6 BYU taking on No. 11 Duquesne. The Duquesne Dukes finished the season at 24-11 overall. They won the Atlantic-10 championship. The BYU Cougars finished the season at 23-10 overall and finished fifth in the Big 12, losing to Texas Tech in the quarterfinals. This is the Dukes' first appearance in the Big Dance since 1977 and are riding an eight-game winning streak. This season they put up 70.8 points a game on 43.7% shooting from the field and 34% from deep. On the defensive end, they give up 66 points a game. The Cougars finished the season on a 4-2 run. Their offense put up 81.8 points a game this season. They shot 46.2% from the field and 34.8% from deep, On the defensive end, they gave up 69.9 points a game. The Cougars have gone 4-1 ATS in the last five games that they were favored in. The Cougars love to play at a fast pace and they love to shoot from deep. The Dukes prefer to play at a slower style and limit possessions. The Dukes have been playing great on the defensive end, allowing 70 points on their 8-game winning streak. The Dukes have the guard play to control this game and when you live by the three you die by the three. I think BYU wins the game but Duquesne covers the number. Pay on Duquesne this is a 3%play. | |||||||
03-21-24 | Padres v. Dodgers -180 | 15-11 | Loss | -180 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The LA Dodgers and the San Diego Padres wrap up their South Korea series early Thursday morning. The Dodgers took the opener 5-2 yesterday. The Padres will send Joe Musgrove to the mound and the Dodgers will counter with Yoshinobu Yamamoto, making his major league debut. The Padres couldn’t get much done at the plate scoring two runs on four hits but were still winning until a fluke play cost them a big inning. The Padres used eight pitchers in the game. Musgrove went 10-3 last year in just 17 starts as he was limited due to injury. He posted a 3.05 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He struck out 97 batters 97 innings. This spring, he has thrown six innings with an ERA of 13.50 and a 1.83 WHIP. He has not fared well against LA, posting an 0-7 record and a 3.92 ERA. The Dodgers got lucky yesterday with a fluke play in the eighth on a routine double play ball that they turned into a four run inning and a win and a cover on the run-line. The Dodgers offense didn't really do a lot despite getting seven hits and nine walks. Yamamoto will make his first-ever MLB start after coming over from Japan. This spring, he has an ERA of 8.38 and a WHIP of 1.96 while striking out 14 batters in 9.2 innings pitched. Musgrove is 0-7 in his career against the Dodgers. The Padres’ offense looked a lot like last years offense will have to try and get their offense going against an unknown pitcher. The Dodgers also struggled to score but not for a lack of trying as they produced seven hits and nine walks. If yesterday was any indication, I don’t see Musgrove going long as the Padres used eight pitchers yesterday and I expect the same format today. Play on the LA Dodgers. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-20-24 | Colorado -155 v. Boise State | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The 10th-seeded Colorado Buffaloes and 10th-seeded Boise State Broncos face off with the winner advancing to the Big Dance to take on the 7th-seeded Florida Gators. The Buffaloes had won eight in a row before losing in the PAC-12 Conference final. Colorado is putting up 79.3 points a game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 71.2 points a game. The Broncos have won six of their last eight games. Boise State is putting up 74.3 points a game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 67.9 points a game. The Buffalos rebound the ball well , especially on the offensive end. They also make 77% of their free throws which could be a factor in a close game.The Broncos have lost two of their last three games and were held under 70 points in two of their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Buffaloes and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances in this game. I like Colorado in this one. Play on Colorado on the money line. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-20-24 | Heat v. Cavs -125 | 107-104 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat are on the road to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Miami is in eighth place in the East and are coming off a loss to the Philadelphia 76ers. Miami is putting up 109.8 points a game on 46.4% shooting from the field and 37.1% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 109.3 points a game. Miami will be without Tyler Herro, Kevin Love, and Josh Richardson while Duncan Robinson and Jimmy Butler are listed as day-to-day. The Cavaliers are riding their defense, which is allowing just 109.5 points a game. On the offensive end, they putting up 113.5 points a game. Cleveland will be missing the services of Donovan Mitchell, Dean Wade, Max Strus, and Evan Mobley. Both team are dealing with injuried to key players. I am looking for a low scoring game as both teams play well on the defensive end. Cleveland is at home and has the better offense. I like Cleveland to win and cover at home.
Play on Cleveland on the money line. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-20-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Padres | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
The 2024 MLB season will kick off early on Wednesday as the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the San Diego Padres in South Korea. The rich get richer as the Dodgers won over 100 games for the second straight season and then went out and got the best player in baseball as well as the best pitcher in Japan. Last season, they were second in runs per game, 3rd in home runs, and 3rd in slugging percentage. The Dodgers went through 17 starting pitchers last season as the staff was beset by injuries. The Dodgers will hand the ball to Tyler Glasnow for their opener. This spring he has produced a 0.90 ERA with 14 strikeouts in 10 innings pitched and a WHIP of just 0.70. The San Diego Padres went all in last season and it did not go well for them. Their high-powered offense struggled and their pitching staff was hit by injuries. The Padres start Yu Darvish in the opener. This spring, he posted a 2.89 ERA with 10 strikeouts in 9.1 innings pitched. He is 4-5 vs. the Dodgers with a sparkling 2.38 ERA. If the Dodgers don’t win a hundred games this year, I will be shocked. They have the best lineup in baseball with Ohtan, Betts, and Freeman at the top. Darvish has lost a bit off his fastball and his swing and miss rate declined last season. The Padres are trying to figure out their bullpen without Hader as their closer. I am taking the Dodgers to open the season with a win and playing them on the run-line for value. Play on the LA Dodgers on the run-line. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-19-24 | Lightning +121 v. Golden Knights | 5-3 | Win | 121 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Lightning head to Sin City to take on the Vegas Golden Knights. Tampa Bay is sixth overall in the Eastern Conference while Vegas is eighth in the Western Conference. Tampa Bay won the only matchup this season. The Lightning are putting up 3.46 goals a game this season. They have the number one rated power play in the NHL. On the defensive end, they are giving up 3.36 goals a game. Vegas is putting up 3.16 goals a game, which ranks 14th. On the defensive end, they are giving up 2.96 goals a game. Tampa is 4-1 in their last five games and are trying to stay in the playoff race. Tampa has the edge in net and will be riding the better netminder in what should be a close game. Play on Tampa Bay. this is a 3% play’ | |||||||
03-19-24 | Colorado State -145 v. Virginia | 67-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Colorado State Rams take on the Virginia Cavaliers in a First Four matchup with the winner moving on to the Big Dance. Colorado State is a balanced team that puts up 76.7 points per game on the offensive end and on the defensive end, they give up 68.1 points per game. Virginia relies on their defense which allows just 59.1 points a game which ranks third in the country. They have to rely on their defense as their offense has been woeful, putting up just 63.5 points a game which ranks 356th. I don’t believe Virginia should even be in the Tournament and got in on name only. Their offense has been bad all season and down the stretch they scored 50 points or less in five games. Both teams are pretty even on the defensive end while Colorado State has the better offense. Virginia also has been poor at the charity stripe this season which could play an important role down the stretch. The Mountain West has been the better conference this season so I am riding with Colorado State in this one. Play on Colorado State on the money line. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-19-24 | Maple Leafs -125 v. Flyers | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Philadelphia Flyers in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Maple Leafs are third in the Atlantic while the Flyers are third in the Metropolitan. Both teams are coming off a loss, but Toronto has won both games between the two this season. The Maple leafs are putting up 3.58 goals per game, which is third in the NHL. They are also fourth in the league on the power play. On the defensive end, they are giving up 3. 12 goals a game. The Philadelphia Flyers are putting up 2.91 goals per game and they are giving up 3.02 goals a game. Toronto has been good on the road, posting a 20-7-6 record. The Maple Leafs have a huge advantage on the power play and a slight advantage in net. I look for Toronto to pick up another win on the road. Play on Toronto. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-18-24 | Knicks v. Warriors -5.5 | 119-112 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks will be in San Francisco to take on the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors won back in February 110-99 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Knicks are in fourth place in the Eastern Conference. New York has won three straight and four of their last five games. They have been outstanding on the defensive end over the last five games as they have not allowed over 93 points in that stretch. On the offensive end, they are putting up 111.9 points on 46.1% shooting from the field and 36.2% from deep. Golden State is putting up 118.4 points a game on 47.2% shooting from the field and 37.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they allow 116.8 points a game. You can make the arguement tha the Knicks are playing better than th Warriors. If Anonoby plays, he's going to be limited offensively. These are starting to be must win games for Warriors as they try to stay out of the play in games. Golden State won the last game two weeks. I like Golden State and the old men to get the job done today. Play on Golden State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-18-24 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers are at home to take on the Miami Heat. Miami will be playing on the second game of a back-to-back after getting by Detroit yesterday. The Philadelphia 76ers are coming off a dominating win over Charlotte on Saturday and will have a day's rest. The Miami Heat are putting up 110.1 points a game and are shooting 53.6% from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 109.6 points a game. The Heat are 32-34-1 ATS this season but are 20-14-1 against the spread on the road. The Philadelphia 76ers are putting up 115.1 points and are shooting 53% from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 112.6 points a game. They are 35-32 ATS this season. I like the 76ers in this one as Miami will be on the back end of a back-to-back. Play on Philadelphia. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-18-24 | Cavs +7 v. Pacers | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are on the road to take on the Indiana Pacers. The Cavaliers come into this game having lost three of their last four, while the Pacers have won three of the last four. The Cleveland Cavaliers are fourth in points allowed at 109.6 points a game and on the offensive end, they are putting up 113.6 points per game on 47.9% shooting from the field and 36.6% from deep. Indiana is first in the NBA in scoring at 123.1 points a game on 50.5% shooting from the field and 37.4%very porous on the defensive end, allowing 121.1 points a game which ranks 26th. Cleveland has struggled with injuries but has all its regulars with the exception of Evan Mobley. Cleveland has a nice backcourt duo of Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland which will be a lot for the Pacers defense to handle. Cleveland has the better defense and I think they will be able to make enough stops to get the cover. Play on Cleveland. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-17-24 | Red Wings v. Penguins -135 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
The Detroit Red Wings got a much-needed win yesterday over Buffalo, snapping a seven-game losing streak. With the win, Detroit climbed back into a Wild Card spot in the East, after looking like a lock to make the playoffs a few weeks ago. The Red Wings are 15-16-1 on the road this season. It looks like the Pittsburgh Penguins will miss the playoffs for the second straight season. They have lost eight times in their last 10 games. The Penguins are 17-13-4 at home this season. The Penguins are 6-4 over the last 10 versus the Red Wings. Detroit picked up an important win over Buffalo but that was a game they should have won. They looked terrible over their seven-game losing streak, allowing a ton of goals. Pittsburgh has the offensive weapons to put the puck in the net. Play on Pittsburgh. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-17-24 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Mavs | 105-107 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets have climbed back to the top of the Western Conference. They will take on the Dallas Mavericks,who sit eighth in Western Conference. The Nuggets are riding a five-game winning streak,while Dallas is coming off a loss to OKC. Denver is putting up 114.8 points a game on 49.6% from the floor and 36.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 110.3 points per game. Dallas is putting up 119.0 points per game on 48.3% shooting from the field and 37.1% from deep. On the defensive end, the Mavericks are giving up 117.7 points per game. The Nuggets have beaten the Mavs twice this season by 11 and 26. Luka Doncic is a game time decision. Even if Luka plays I still like the Nuggets to take care of business. Play on Denver. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -3 | 87-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
The Wisconsin Badgers made it to the Big 10 finals by taking down the 31 seed Purdue Boilermakers. They will take on the two-seed Illinois Fighting Illini with the winner getting the automatic qualifier for the Big Dance. Illinois took the only meeting between the two 91-83. Wisconsin has played great in this Big Ten Tournament but this is a bad matchup for the Badgers. They have a bad matchup on the defensive end, evident in the fact thatIn the first game between the two, the Illinois duo of Shannon Jr. and Domask combined for 54 points. Illinois loves to attack the rim and will have Wisconsin on their heels. I look for illinois to pull away late. Play on Illinois.This a 4% play | |||||||
03-16-24 | UTEP v. Western Kentucky -2.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
The fifth-seeded UTEP Miners and the third-seeded Western Kentucky Hilltoppers face off in the Conference USA Tournament Championship. The UTEP Miners took down Sam Houston in their semi-final matchup. The Miners put up 72.9 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 69.0 points per game. Western Kentucky is coming off a blowout of Middle Tennessee in their semi-final. The Hilltoppers put up 80.5 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 74.8 points per game. Western Kentucky has had an easy time so far, winning by 20 and 31 points. They split their two games this season with both teams winning at home. Western Kentucky has turned up the defense in the tournament and with the way their offense scores they will be too much for UTEP to overcome. Play on Western Kentucky. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-16-24 | New Mexico v. San Diego State -140 | 68-61 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
The Lobos have won two straight and four of their last five. They were 22-11 ATS this season New Mexico will be playing for the fourth straight day while SDSU has played three straight. SDSU is a deeper team and has greater ability off the bench, which I see as being a factor when fatigue starts to set in later in the game. The Aztecs are a physical team and should be able to wear down the Lobos late. New Mexico like s to play at a faster pace but will have to see if they can keep it up with just a 15 hour turnaround. Play on SDSU. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-16-24 | Texas A&M v. Florida -2.5 | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
The No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies will take on the No. 6 Florida Gators in a surprising SEC Semi-final matchup. The Aggies made it here with an upset of Kentucky. The Aggies are putting up 73.4 points per game average, and shoot 39.7% from the field and just 27.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.5 points per game. Florida is coming in off a win over Alabama. Florida gets it done on the offensive end, putting up 84.9 points per game on 45.7% shooting from the field and 33.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. The Gators are able to match up well with the Aggies. They have the guard play that can go head-tom-head with the Aggies guard strength and Florida is the best rebounding team in the country which negates the Aggies rebounding proficiency. The Aggies were able to slow down florida in the second half to pick up a win this season but I see this game being played at a faster pace and high scoring with the Aggies struggling to keep pace. Play on Florida. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-16-24 | UAB v. South Florida -130 | 93-83 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
The first AAC semifinal matchup pits No. 4 UAB Blazers against No. 1 South Florida Bulls. The Blazers are 21-11 overall and 12-6 in conference play. The Bulls are 24-6 overall and 16-2 in the AAC. UAB puts up 77.1 points a game on 44.7% shooting from the field and 32.2% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 75.2 points a game. South Florida is putting up 74.6 points on 44.1% shooting from the field and 36.4% from deep. The Blazers took the only matchup this season, but since that loss, South Florida has gone 15.1. South Florida is 19-7-3 ATS this year while UAB is 17-12-1 ATS. South Florida’s last five wins have come by an average of 13.2 points per game. South Florida has gone 4-2-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Blazers and I look for them to add to that record in this one. . Play on South Florida. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-16-24 | Sabres -120 v. Red Wings | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
A few short weeks ago Detroit was a 68% lock to make the playoffs, A Dylan Lrkin injury and a seven game losing streak later and they are fighting even to make the playoffs. It's not that they have lost seven in a row, they have not been in any of those games. You could literally catch up on Netflix halfway through the second period if not sooner. Over the last four games, the Red Wings have put up 1.8 goals a game and have not been able to stop the puck on the defensive end. have been on two completely different levels throughout the last handful of games as The Sabres have averaged 4.7 goals in their last three games. It feels like there's more to this than just the loss of Larkin. Detroit has to show me something before I can think of backing them again. Play on Buffalo. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-15-24 | Florida v. Alabama -4 | 102-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
The No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide will take on the No. 6 Florida Gators in an SEC quarterfinal matchup. The Bama offense is putting up 90.8 points a game on 47.8% shooting from the field and 36.9% from deep. The Bama defense has left a lot to be desired, as they have given up 80.4 points a game.The Florida Gators are putting up 84.9 points on 45.7% shooting. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. The two teams split the season series, each taking a game on their home-court. The Crimson Tide play fast and shoot often. Bama wore down the Gators in the first matchup and with Florida playing on no rest I see that happening again. Play on Bama. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-15-24 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina -7.5 | 65-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
In one ACC semi-final, the fourth-seeded Pittsburgh Panthers take on the top-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels. Pittsburgh has posted a 22-10 overall record and is 12-8 in the ACC. North Carolina is 26-6 and 17-3 in the ACC. Pittsburgh is coming off an 81-69 win over Wake Forest. Carolina is looking to win the ACC Tournament after winning the regular season championship. They had no problem with the ninth seeded Florida State Seminoles, 92-67. These teams played once this season with an average margin of victory of 14.4 points. Carolina has too much firepower on the offensive end for the Panthers to overcome. Carolina will use their defense in the second half to pull away and get the cover. Play on North Carolina. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-15-24 | Texas A&M v. Kentucky -5 | 97-87 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Kentucky Wildcats has posted a 23-8 overall record and 13-5 in the SEC. They out up 89.5 points per game which ranked second in the country. They shot 49.7% from the field and 41.2 % from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 79.1 points per game. The Texas A&M Aggies come into this game with a 19-13 overall record and 9-9 in the SEC. On the offensive end, they are putting up 73.4 points a game on 39.7% shooting from the field and 27.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.5 points per game. The Wildcats are the better offensive team by far and they have a stronger bench. The Aggies are better on the defensive end but they don’t have the offense to take advantage of the Wildcats weaker defense. The Aggies shot 30 free throws and had 25 offensive rebounds in their last meeting but I don’t expect those two things to happen again. Kentucky will get out to an early lead and coast down the stretch. Play on Kentucky. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-15-24 | Ohio State v. Illinois -4.5 | 74-77 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
The Ohio State Buckeyes took care of Iowa and will now face the Illinois Fighting Illini in the Big 10 quarterfinals. Ohio State is putting up 74.5 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 69 points a game. Illinois is the second seed in the Tournament. Illinois is putting up 84.9 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 72.9 points. Illinois has a dynamic duo in Terrence Shannon Jr. and Marcus Domask. They put up 38 points a game with Shannon having the ability to take over games on his own. Ohio State's top three players played over 30 minutes yesterday so fatigue could become a factor over a rested Illinois team. Ohio State is playing better under their new coach but has problems slowing down Shannon and Domsk. I am taking Illinois in this one. Play on Illinois. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-15-24 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee -9.5 | 73-56 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
The No. 1 Tennessee Volunteers have posted an overall record of 24-7 and 14-4 in the SEC. They will face off against the No. 9 Mississippi State Bulldogs who finished 20-12 and 8-10 in the SEC. The Volunteers put up 80.2 points a game this season on 44.9% shooting from the field and 34.6% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 67.7 points a game. The Bulldogs are putting up 75.3 points a game on 45.5% shooting from the field and 32.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.6 points a game. The Tennessee Volunteers, play well on both ends of the floor, evidenced by the fact they won the SEC regular season. These teams met once this season with the Bulldogs picking up the victory. The Bulldogs shot over 50% from the floor in the loss. The Bulldogs' bench added 33 points compared with just four points from the Volunteers' bench. I look for the Vols to get revenge in this one as they will turn up the defense and Miss. St will not shoot as well as they did in the last game. This game is in Nashville so look for a homecourt advantage for the Vols… Rocky Top will be sung tonight in Nashville. Play on Tennessee. This is a 3% play! | |||||||
03-14-24 | Cincinnati v. Baylor -6.5 | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The No. 11 seed Cincinnati Bearcats are coming off a huge win over Kansas and now take on the No. 3 seed and 14th-ranked Baylor Bears. The Cincinnati Bearcats finished the season at 20-13 overall but just 7-11 in conference play. They are coming off a 20-point win over an injury-depleted Kansas. Cincinnati puts up 74.8 points a game on 44.5% shooting from the field, and 32.1% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 67.8 points a game. The Baylor Bears finished the season at 22-9 overall and 11-7 in the conference. Baylor is putting up 81.5 points per game on 48.9% shooting from the field and 39.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 71.5 points. Baylor has the offensive firepower to win this one easily. You can’t take a lot from the Kansas win but Cincinnati has shown they can hang around. I look for Baylor to get it done on both ends of the court and pull away at the end. Play on Baylor. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Villanova v. Marquette -3.5 | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Big East Tournament's quarterfinals have the No. 6 seed Villanova Wildcats meeting the No. 3 seed and 10th-ranked Marquette Golden Eagles. The Villanova Wildcats are 18-14 overall and 10-10 in the Big East. They barely got by Depaul yesterday. The offense put up 71.1 points this season. On the defensive end, they are giving up 65.6 points per game. Marquette finished the season at 23-8 overall and 14-6 in the Big East. They put up 79.2 points per game this season. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.8 points per game. The Marquette offense had their way with the Villanova defense in two games this season, putting up 87 points and 85 points. Nova will struggle to keep up if Marquette can get the offense rolling again. Villanova did not look good against Depaul and can’t afford to have the same type of performance in this one. I like Marquette to get the offense rolling again and come away with the win and cover. Play on Marquette. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Golden Knights -150 v. Flames | 1-4 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Vegas has won two in a row but are just 3-6-1 in their last 10 games. Vegas has lost two of three games facing Calgary this season. The Flames have lost four of five games, including three in a row. They are 6- 4 in their last 10 games. The Vegas offense has scored five goals in their last two wins. On the season, Vegas is putting up 3.20 goals per game and are giving up 2.97 goals per game. The Golden Knights are 15-13-5 on the road this season. The Flames have lost three in a row, giving up 18 goals in those three losses. For the season, they are putting up 3.11 goals per game while giving up 3.20 goals per game. Calgary is 16-15-1 at home this season. The Golden Knights have won two in a row while the Flames have lost three in a row and four of their last five games. Vegas will be able to find the back of the net against the Flames ans core enough to secure the win. Play on Vegas. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Duquesne v. Dayton -6.5 | 65-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
An A-10 quarterfinal matchup pits the Dayton Flyers against the Duquesne Dukes. Dayton is 24-6 overall and a 14-4 conference record. The Dukes finished at 21-11 overall and 10-8 in the A10. The Flyers are putting up 75.3 points per game on 48.2% shooting from the field and 40.7% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.3 points per game. Duquesne put up 71.0 points per game on 43.7% shooting from the field and 33.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.8 points per game. The Dayton Flyers are a well-balanced team. They shoot the ball well from both the field and from deep. Dayton has beaten Duquesne twice this season. In the two wins, Dayton has held the Dukes to just over 60 points per game while putting up over 73 points per game. I am taking Daytin to win and cover. Play on Dayton. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Maple Leafs -118 v. Flyers | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
The Toronto Maple Leafs take on the surprising Philadelphia Flyers. The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 11 of their last 14 games. They have played well on the road, posting a 19-7-6 record. The Philadelphia Flyers are making a push for the playoffs and have won four of their last 8 games. At home this season, the Flyers have posted a 17-13-3 record. Toronto has won 8 of the last ten games between the two including seven straight overall and the last three in Philly. The three wins in Philly have been by a combined 15-5 score. Toronto’s offense will once again lead the way in this one and lead the Maple Leafs to victory. Play on Toronto. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Coyotes +138 v. Red Wings | 4-1 | Win | 138 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Detroit plays host to the Arizona Coyotes in desperate need of a win. The Red Wings have lost six in a row and have fallen out of the final wild card spot in the East. The Coyotes have lost two in a row. Arizona puts up 2.89 goals a game which ranks 23rd and 29th in shots. On the defensive end, they are giving up 3.36 goals a game which is 24th and they are also 24th in shots. The Detroit offense is ranked 6th with 3.42 goals per game and 24th in shots per game. On the defensive end, they have given up 3.35 goals per game which ranks 23rd and 25th in shots. Arizona has won six of their last seven against Detroit. The Red Wings have not only struggled, they have looked terrible in doing it. Arizona has split their last four meetings away from home and have won two of their last three in Detroit. Arizona has scored an average of 5.0 goals per game against Detroit in their last four meetings. Detroit’s goaltenders look shell shocked and I find it difficult to back them now. I will take the + money with Arizona. Play on Arizona. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-14-24 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Michigan State | 67-77 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a must-win for both teams as they face uncertainty going into selection Sunday. The Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Michigan State Spartans are both 18-13 heading into this game. They split both games this season. Both teams struggled down the stretch going 1-4. Minnesota is putting up 75.7 points a game and is giving up 71.6 points. Michigan State is putting up 73.4 points a game and is giving up just 65.9 points a game. Michigan State is the better team and should win this game but this number is too high in my opinion. Minnesota has covered 24 of 31 this season and they are 8-2 ATS their last 10 games as a dog. They've also covered three straight in this series and four of their last five. Michigan State has failed to cover their last four games as a favorite. The Spartans should be better than they are and that is why I have no confidence in them covering this number. Play on Minnesota. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-13-24 | Michigan v. Penn State -6.5 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
The season can’t get over quick enough for the Michigan Wolverines and that was true more than a month ago. The Penn State Nittany Lions will look to put them out of their misery in the Big 10 Tournament. Penn State won the earlier game this season 79-73 at home. Michigan finished the season losing 8 in a row, while Penn State won three of their last five. For the season Michigan put up 73.5 points a game on 44.7% shooting from the field and 36.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they gave up 79.4 points a game. On the season, Penn State put up 75.9 points a game on 44.4% shooting from the field and 33.5% shooting from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 74.3 points a game. This has been a very disappointing year for Michigan, and they are one of the worst teams in the Big Ten on both ends of the floor. 12 of their 17 losses were by 10 points or more. Michigan struggles to score and has an even harder time stopping the other team. Penn State is not a great defensive team either. Michigan has talent but for some reason they can’t put things together. Michigan has struggled all season and don’t see why they would turn it around now.
Play on Penn State. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-13-24 | Nuggets -4 v. Heat | 100-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets head to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat. Denver is 45-20 this season and is second in the Western Conference while Miami is eighth in the Eastern Conference with an overall record of 35-29. Denver took the first meeting this season by 6. Denver has been getting it done on the defensive end, where they are giving up 110.7 points a game, which ranks seventh. On the offensive end, they are putting up 115 points per game. The Heat are coming off a bad loss to the Washington Wizards. Miami is putting up 110.5 points per game, which ranks 27th overall On the defensive end, they are giving up 109.9 points against per game. The Denver Nuggets are 15-8 as road favorites this season. The Miami Heat are 1-6 against the spread as underdogs at home this season. The Nuggets are 7-3 against the spread versus the Hea over the last 10. The Nuggets have won nine of their last ten games. The Heat have lost three in a row. The Nuggets' last five road wins have come by at least five points. Denver is better on both ends of the courts and they way Miami has struggled to score, I have to ride with the Nuggets this season. Play on Denver. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-13-24 | Florida State v. Virginia Tech -3.5 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
In ACC tournament action, the ninth-seeded Florida State Seminoles take on the eighth-ranked Virginia Tech Hokies. Florida State finished the season with a 16-15 overall record as was 10-10 in the ACC. Virginia Tech went 18-13 overall and also finished 10-10 in conference play. FSU struggled down the stretch, losing six of its final nine games. They were 15-15-1 ATS. Virginia Tech comes into this game riding a three-game winning streak. The Hokies were 14-17 ATS. They split their regular season matchups with both winning on their home floors. Both teams are even on the offensive end but the Hokies have an edge on the defensive end. Both games between the two were decided by single digits and with VT being the better free throw shooting team , I have more confidence in them down the stretch. Play on Virginia tech. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-12-24 | Red Wings +114 v. Sabres | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Detroit Red Wings are on the road to take on the Buffalo Sabres. Detroit comes into this game with an overall record of 33-25-6 while Buffalo is 30-30-5. Detroit has won the only matchup of the season so far. Detroit is looking to turn things around as they have lost five straight and are now just outside a wild card spot. Their offense has been very good this season, as they rank sixth in goals and 23rd in shots. They have scored scored three or more goals in six of the last 10 games. It is their defense that has let them down as they rank 23rd in goals against and 26th in shots against per game. Buffalo is coming off a nice win against Edmonton. The win snapped a three game losing streak. The Sabres have struggles on the offensive end, where they rank 24 in goals and 13th in shots. They have scored three or fewer goals in nine of their last 10 games. On the defensive end, they are ranked 13th in goals and sixth in shots against per game. Buffalo has been limited in their scoring and trading away Casey Mittelstadt makes things worse Detroit beat the Sabres in Buffalo 5-3 back in December. Detroit is battling for a wild-card position and needs to win games like this. Detroit has the better offense and will score enough to get the win on the road. Play on Detroit. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-11-24 | Arkansas State v. James Madison -5.5 | 71-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The final of the Sun Belt Conference pits the Arkansas State Red Wolves against the James Madison Dukes. The Red Wolves put up 79.0 points per game, on 44.2% shooting from the field and 34.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. The James Madison Dukes finished the season with an overall record of 30-3. The Dukes are putting up 84.6 points per game, on 47.9% shooting from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up just 69.3 points per game. James Madison gets it done on both ends of the court. Arkansas State has been finding ways to win but that stops against the Dukes in this one. Play on James Madison. This is a 5% play. | |||||||
03-10-24 | Texas State v. James Madison -11 | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
The No. 11 seeded Texas State Bobcats face off against the No. 2 James Madison Dukes in a Sun Belt Semi-Final. Texas State has won three straight so far in the tournament. Texas State puts up 68.9 points per game, on 44.0% shooting from the field and 32.0% from beyond the arc. The Dukes are putting up 84.6 points per game on 47.9% shooting from the field. The defense is giving up just 69.3 points per game. James Madison has dominated the Conference all season and there is no reason for that to end today. They have a more explosive offense and better defense. I look for them to book their spot in the final easily. | |||||||
03-10-24 | Arkansas State v. Appalachian State -4.5 | 67-65 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Sun Belt Semifinals showcase the No. 1 seed Appalachian State Mountaineers against the No. 4 seed Arkansas State Red Wolves. Appalachian State finished the season at 26-5 overall. On the offensive end, they are putting up 78.7 points per game, and are shooting 47.3% from the field goal. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.1 points per game. The Arkansas State Red Wolves finished at a 16-15 overall record. Arkansas State is putting up 79.0 points per game and is shooting 44.2% from the field and 34.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. Appalachian State has won eight straight. Appalachian State won the only matchup between the two 80-57. App State has a well-balanced offense and their defense will be able to slow down the Arkansas State offense. Play on App State. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-10-24 | Drake v. Indiana State -145 | 84-80 | Loss | -145 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Indiana State and Drake face off in the MVC championship game. The second-seeded Drake Bulldogs are 27-6 overall and 16-4 in the MVC. The top-seeded Indiana State Sycamores come in with a record of 28-5 overall and 17-3 in the MVC. On the season, Drake put up 80.4 points per game on 47.8% shooting from the field and 36.1% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 70.2 points per game. The Sycamores have dominated the first two games of the tournament by 19 points a game. ISU is putting up 84.3 points a game and are shooting 50.2% from the field and 38.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 71.6 points per game. They split their regular season games while Drake was 19-12-1 ATS. this season, the best mark in the MVC per TeamRankings.com, and Drake had gone 17-16 ATS. ISU is 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS over their last six games, and they are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last ten games against the Bulldogs. ISU is more talented and deeper and I like them to come away with a win here. Play on Indiana State on the money line. This is a 4% play! | |||||||
03-09-24 | Marquette -2.5 v. Xavier | 86-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The eighth-ranked Marquette Golden Eagles take on the Xavier Musketeers in the final Big East regular season game. Marquette is 13-6 in the Big East and is now tied with Creighton for second place. Xavier is one game under .500 in the Big East at 9-10. Marquette beat Xavier 88-64 in their first meeting. Marquette is putting up 79 points a game. The Golden Eagles are giving up just 69.5 points a game. Xavier is putting up 76.2 points a game this season. The Musketeers are giving up 73.8 points a game. Marquette will be without their best player Tyler Kolek for the third straight game but the Golden Eagles are still one of the best defensive teams in the nation. Marquette's defense will be the difference in this game and even without Kolek the offense will score enough to get the win and cover. Play on Marquette. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-09-24 | Northern Iowa v. Indiana State -7 | 72-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
In an MVC semifinal matchup, we have top-seeded Indiana State taking on fourth-seeded Northern Iowa. The NI Panthers are 19-13 overall and 12-8 in the MVC. The ISU Sycamores are 27-5 overall and 17-3 in the MVC. The Panthers scored 73.3 points per game on 45.7% shooting from the field and 34.5% from deep. On the defensive end, they give up 70.2 points a game. Indiana State puts up 84.3 points per game on 50.2% from the field and 38.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 71.6 points. In their only matchup this season, ISU won by 11 as 2-point favorites at home. Indiana State is 18-12-1 ATS this season and Northern Iowa is 15-15 ATS. The Sycamores have gone 6-4 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten games against Northern Iowa. ISU has amazing scoring depth, with five guys averaging in double figures. I like Indiana State to roll in this one as their offense will be too much for NI to overcome. Play on Indiana State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-09-24 | Iowa State -3 v. Kansas State | 58-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Kansas State will play host to the No. 6 Iowa State in the regular season finale for the Big 12. The Cyclones have posted a 24-6 overall record and 13-4 in the Big 12. The Wildcats are 17-13 overall and 7-10 in the Big 12. The Cyclones are one game back of first place in the Big 12 and are on a four-game win streak and they have won eight of their last nine. They are led by their defense, which is 2nd in the Big 12 and fifth in the nation, at 62 points per game. On the offensive end, they are putting up 76.3 points per game on 46.4% shooting from the field and 34.9% from deep. The Wildcats have struggled down the stretch, going 3-9 over their last 12. Kansas State is putting up 72.4 points per game, on 43.6% shooting from the field and 31.9% from deep. They have the 10th-best defense in the conference at 70.6 points a game. Iowa State is 20-9-1 ATS this season, and Kansas State is 15-15 ATS. Iowa State is 6-2-1 ATS on the road this year, while Kansas State is 7-9 ATS at home. Iowa State won and covered the first time and even though it is Senior Night. I don’t think that will be enough for Kansas State to overcome the Iowa State defense. Play on Iowa State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-08-24 | Bucks -135 v. Lakers | 122-123 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The Bucks go on the road to face the Lakers in NBA action. Milwaukee is in second place in the Eastern Conference with a 41-22 record. They had their six-game winning streak snapped last time out. The Lakers are 34-20 and in 10th place in the West. Los Angeles has won three of their last five games. The Bucks are putting up 120.9 points per game which ranks third. They are shooting 49.1% from the field and 37.5% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 117 points per game. They are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games. The Lakers are putting up 117.2 points per game which ranks 11th. They are shooting 49.7% from the field and 37.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 117.6 points per game. Los Angeles is 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games. Milwaukee has been playing much better basketball since the All-Star break, especially on the defensive end. The Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their previous six home dates with the Bucks. The Lakers are dealing with injuries and James is listed as questionable. It won’t matter even if James does play. Take Milwaukee to get the job done. Play on Milwaukee. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-08-24 | Red Wings -127 v. Coyotes | 0-4 | Loss | -127 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The Detroit Red Wings have been somewhat of a surprise this season and find themselves in a tight battle for a wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference. They will take on the Arizona Coyotes. The Detroit Red Wings had one six in a row but are now on a three-game losing streak. They are tied with the Tampa Bay Lightning for the first Wild Card spot. Detroit is 15-13-1 on the road this season. The Arizona Coyotes have lost 16 of their past 18 games. They are just 15-16-0 on home ice. The last ten meetings between the two have been evenly split. Detroit is better in every aspect, goaltending, offense, defense, and depth. Detroit needs the wins as they are in a battle with Tampa Bay for a wild-card spot. If Detroit wants to get into the playoffs, these are the games Detroit needs to win. Play on Detroit. This is 3% play | |||||||
03-08-24 | Missouri State v. Indiana State -11.5 | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
The MVC quarterfinals get underway with top-seeded Indiana State taking on No. 9 Missouri State. On the offensive end, Missouri State is putting up 72 points a game on 44.2% shooting. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.3 points per game. Indiana State rode their high-powered offense to the conference title. They put up 84.5 points per game, which was the best in the conference and 10th in the country. They are shooting 50.4% from the field and 38.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72 points per game. The Sycamores have three of the top nine scorers in the MVC. Indiana State was 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS versus Missouri State this season with an average margin of victory of 12 points per game. Missouri State will be playing for the second straight day. Indiana State can score in a hurry and if there is any fatigue in Missouri State, this game can get out of hand in a hurry. I am looking for Indiana State to roll in this one. Play on Indiana State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-07-24 | Wild -140 v. Coyotes | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Wild are on the road to take on the Arizona Coyotes. In the last 10 meetings between the teams, the Wild own a 6-3-1 advantage. Minnesota snapped a three-game losing streak with a win on Sunday. Minnesota is 18th in goals per game at 3.08 goals. On the defensive end, they are tied for 23rd in goals against at 3.32 goals per game. Arizona had their two-game winning streak snapped last time out. They are just 25th in goals per game at 2.90 and on the defensive end, they are tied for 23rd in goals against at 3.32 goals per game. The Coyotes had gone 0-12-2 in the 14 games previous before they won two in a row. The Wild had three days off giving them a rest advantage. Minnesota has fared well against the Coyotes in recent meetings. The Wild are 6-3-1 in the last 10 games against Arizona. The Wild have scored three or more goals in six of the last 10 games. Arizona has scored three or fewer goals in eight out of their last 10 games. Minnesota is the better team and I expect them to win this one. Play on Minnesota. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-07-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Wright State -6.5 | 99-97 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Northern Kentucky Norse take on the Wright State Raiders in the quarterfinals of the Horizon League Championship. Wright State is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Northern Kentucky. They swept the regular season series 2-0. The Norse had their three-game winning streak snapped by the Raiders in their regular season finale. Northern Kentucky is putting up 73 points a game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.8 points per game. Wright State is putting up 85.8 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 82.2 points per game. The Raiders have won four of their last five games. The Norse have lost two of their last three road games. Wright State won the two regular season meetings and I look for them to make it three in this one. Play on Wright State. This is a 3% play. |
Service | Profit |
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William Burns | $581 |
Matt Fargo | $441 |
Rocky Atkinson | $438 |
Ray Monohan | $419 |
Marc Lawrence | $353 |
Ricky Tran | $301 |
Kyle Hunter | $290 |
Jim Feist | $237 |
Dan Kaiser | $222 |
ProSportsPicks | $220 |