Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-08-24 | Washington +5 v. Michigan | 13-34 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
I am looking for a close game that like the semi-final games could come down to the last possession. The Huskies won their three games before the Sugar Bowl by an average of just 2.7 points per game. Michigan has one of the best defenses in the country at least on paper but playing in the Big 10, they have not seen an offense like Washington’s. Penix Jr.'s ability to elude Michigan’s pressure will give him that extra second needed to find an open man downfield. Michigan has a good pass rush but Washington’s O-line won the award for best offensive line this season. Washington gave up 11 sacks in 14 games while averaging 37 pass attempts per game. Texas and Oregon (in both games) were able to run on Washington but it did not bring either team victory. Washington's defense ranked 25th in opponent yards per attempt and 29th in opponent QB rating. If Washington can get up two scores early, I still am not sold on McCarthy as a passer to bring them back when it matters. Take the points in this one as I see this being a field goal game. Play on Washington. This is a 5% play. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Michigan State -2.5 v. Northwestern | 74-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Michigan State comes into the Big 10 matchup at 9-5 overall but just 1-2 in the conference. The Northwestern Wildcats are 10-3 overall and 1-1 in conference play. The Spartans have turned their season around and have won five in a row. During the winning streak, the offense has put up 89 points per game. Overall this season, Michigan State’s offense is putting up 78.3 points per game. On the defensive end, the Spartans are giving up just 64.3 points per game. The Wildcats had a three-game winning streak snapped by Illinois last time out. Northwestern has been average on the offensive end, putting up 72.4 points a game, which is 12th in the conference. On the defensive end, they are giving up 65.6 points per game. Northwestern won the only meeting last season in East Lansing. The Spartans are 7-3 SU over the last ten meetings, but the teams have gone 5-5 ATS. Michigan State has turned things up on both ends of the court and has been playing their best basketball over the last five games. They’ve won their last five by an average of 23.6 points per game. Northwestern is 1-3-1 ATS in their last five and Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in their last five games. Michigan State has an advantage in rebounding which should give them second-chance points. I like the way the Spartans are playing right now as they seem to have figured things out, Play on Michigan State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Maryland v. Minnesota -1.5 | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Maryland heads to Minnesota to take on the Golden Gophers. The Terrapins are 9-5 this season and 1-2 in the Big Ten while Minnesota is 11-3 and 2-1 in conference play. Maryland had won five in a row before their loss to Purdue. Maryland is putting up 71.7 points per game, on 40.9% shooting from the field and 27.2% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 63.6 points per game. The Golden Gophers have won six in a row. They have been led by their defense over this streak by giving up just 62.8 points per game. This season, they are giving up 66.6 points per game. On the offensive end, the Gophers are putting up 79.9 points per game. They are shooting 49.5% from the field and 36.8% from deep. Maryland has owned the Gophers over the last 10 games, going 10-0 straight up and 9-0-1 against the number. This season Maryland is one of the worst shooting teams in the conference and Minnesota is the best. The Golden Gophers are the best team in the country against the spread this season, with a 13-1 ATS record, while Maryland is 4-10 ATS. Take Minnesota at home against the number. Play on Minnesota. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Indiana State -1.5 v. Northern Iowa | 77-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Indiana State Sycamores are 12-2 this season while the Northern Iowa Panther is 7-7. Indiana State swept last season's series between the two. Indiana State has gotten off to a 3-0 start in the MVC with all three wins coming by double-digits. Michigan State is putting up 87.1 points per game with their lowest output this season being 75 points. They shoot 51.5% from the field and 40.7% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.1 points per game. UNI has won four in a row. The Panthers are putting up 76.8 points on 47.6% shooting from the field and 36.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.9 points per game. Indiana State's defense will keep the Northern Iowa offense in check and Indiana State's offense will be too much and carry them to victory. Play on Indiana State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Bucs -3.5 v. Panthers | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay goes on the road to meet the Carolina Panthers. The Buccaneers are 8-8 this season and tied for first place in the NFC South. If the Buccaneers win against the Panthers, Tampa Bay will clinch the division. Tampa Bay had a four-game win streak snapped in their last game. Tampa Bay is putting up 21.2 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 20.3 points per game. Tampa Bay is 10-6 against the spread this season and 7-1 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Carolina Panthers are 2-14 this season and have lost four of their last five under interim head coach Chris Tabor. Carolina is putting up just 14.8 points per game which surprisingly isn’t the worst in the league. On the defensive side, they are giving up 25.4 points per game. The Panthers are 4-10-2 against the spread this season. They are 3-3-1 against the spread when they have played at home. Tampa Bay has everything to play for while Carolina has had nothing to play for since the season started. I expect the Buc’s defense to be able to shut down the woeful Panther offense. The Bucs are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games overall and 7-1 ATS in their previous eight outings away from home. They’ve won six of their previous seven games against the Panthers, covering five times. I am laying the points with Tampa Bay in this one. Play on Tampa Bay. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Falcons v. Saints -150 | 17-48 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons head to New Orleans to take on the Saints with playoff implications for both teams. Atlanta has lost three of the last four while New Orleans has won three of its last four. Atlanta will clinch the title in the NFC South with a victory over New Orleans and a loss by Tampa Bay. New Orleans will clinch the NFC South with a win and a loss or tie by Tampa Bay. The Atlanta Falcons offense is 26th in the NFL with 19.0 points per game. Atlanta’s defense is giving up 20.3 points per game which is 10th in the NFL. New Orleans is putting up 22.1 points per game which is 14th in the NFL. They shine on the defensive side of the ball, where they rank 6th, giving up 19.4 points. Atlanta has been a merry-go-round at the quarterback position while the Saints have had Derek Carr under center the whole season. That consistency will be key for the Saints today. Atlanta has covered the spread in just four of its last 15 games while New Orleans has covered the spread in five of its last seven played during January. New Orleans will be looking for revenge after losing the first game between the two. Both teams have very good defenses but the offensive edge goes to the Saints. I am taking the Saints at home with the more consistent quarterback. Play on New Orleans on the moneyline. This is a 4% play | |||||||
01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens +3 | 17-10 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers go on the road to play the Baltimore Ravens. The Steelers will once again go with Mason Rudolph at quarterback. Pittsburgh's offense is putting up just 17.9 points per game this season. On the defensive side, they are giving up 19.6 points per game. The Ravens locked up the top seed in the AFC and will be resting some key players in this game, including quarterback Lamar Jackson. The Ravens will give the start to Tyler Huntley. Baltimore is putting up 29.6 points a game and is giving up 16.4. Tyler Huntley has proven to be a capable quarterback and I like the Ravens to keep this one close. The Steelers have won their last two games with Rudolph under center but the offense is not lighting the world on fire. In seven meetings between these teams since 2020, the largest margin of victory was by seven points. Five of those seven games finished within four points. Both defenses have been really good this season and with Baltimore at home, I like this game to come down to a field goal. Take the points with Baltimore. Play on Baltimore. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 34.5 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
The under has hit in 10 of Pittsburgh's first 12 games this season. Their defense has not allowed a lot of points and their offense struggles to score as well. With Lamar Jackson not playing, you can trust the Ravens offense to be as efficient and I would expect them to run the ball more which in essence will run the clock and speed the game up. The Steelers held the Ravens to 10 points when they met earlier in the season. Baltimore and Pittsburgh have great defenses, and I expect both offenses to run the ball. This season, Pittsburgh is 10-6 in hitting the under, and on the road is 5-2. I am looking for a tight, low-scoring game. Play on the UNDER, This is a 4% play. | |||||||
01-06-24 | Kentucky +3.5 v. Florida | 87-85 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Florida hosts No. 6 Kentucky in their SEC conference opener. Kentucky has won four in a row and for the season is putting up 91.1 points per game on offense. On the defensive end, they are giving up 73.4 points per game, Florida has won six in a row and is putting up 86.3 points per game this season. On the defensive end, they are giving up 73.7 points per game. Kentucky has won nine of the last ten straight up and is 8-1 against the number. Kentucky has won the last four games. Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in their last seven. The Gators have not played an overwhelming schedule this season so far. Kentucky is 5-0 SU and ATS in the last five games at Florida. The Wildcats are a little better on both ends of the court and they will continue their dominance over the Gators. Play on Kentucky. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
01-06-24 | North Carolina +3.5 v. Clemson | 65-55 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
The eighth-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels goes on the road to face the 16th-ranked Clemson Tigers. North Carolina comes into this game at 10-3 while Clemson is 11-2. The Tar Heels have won three in a row. Carolina is led by RJ Davis with 21.1 points per game. Armando Bacot adds 14.9 points and grabs 10.8 rebounds. Clemson has played really well to start the season but has lost two of their last four games. PJ Hall leads the team with 20.2 points per game. Joseph Girard III adds 15.8 points. PJ Hall will have his work cut out for him against Bacot and Ingrahm in the paint on both ends of the court. Outside of Hall, Clemson does not have anyone else in the front court in double figures. Carolina will dominate in the paint which will open up Davis from the outside. I like Carolina to remain undefeated in conference play after today. Play on North Carolina. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
01-05-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -5.5 | 128-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76’ers are 23-10 this season and are 13-4 home record. They have won five of their last seven games. The. New York Knicks come into this matchup at 19-15 and in eighth place in the Eastern Conference. The Knicks have won two two in a row but have lost four of their last seven heading into this one. New York is putting up 115.3 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 113.3 points per game. The Knicks are 17-15-2 against the spread this season but just 9-10-1 against the spread on the road. Philadelphia is putting up 120.7 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 110.5 points per game. Philadelphia is 23-10 against the spread overall and 13-4 against the spread at home. The 76ers are 12-3 against the spread when they have been home favorites. Joel Embiid will be a tough matchup for the Knicks. The Knicks have struggled on the road as an underdog. The Philadelphia 76ers are tough at both ends of the court. New York is 2-4 ATS in the last six games versus Philadelphia. The 76ers have covered the spread in 10 of their last 13 games overall and in seven of the last eight games they have played at home. Play on Philadelphia. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
01-05-24 | Hawks v. Pacers -148 | 116-150 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers are at home to take on the Atlanta Hawks. Atlanta has the third-best scoring offense in the NBA at 122.8 points per game. On the defensive end, they are as bad as the offense is good, as they allow 123.2 points per game, which is 28th. Indiana is coming off back-to-back wins over the Bucks. The Pacers are getting it done on the offensive end, where they have the best-scoring offense, putting up 126.4 points per game. Like the Hawks, they are not great on the defensive end, where they allow 124.6 points per game. We have to explosive offense and two poor defenses going head-to-head. Indiana is at home and has more weapons with their offense and on their bench. Atlanta has been inconsistent this season. Despite their offense, they have lost four of their last six games. The Indiana Pacers have won five straight. The Hawks have given up more than 120 points in eight of their last ten games and the Pacers have the offense to do just that. The four of the Pacers' last five wins. I am laying the points with the home team. Play on Indiana. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
01-04-24 | Panthers -105 v. Golden Knights | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
The Florida Panthers head to Sin City to take on the Vegas Golden Knights. Florida is 23-12-2 this season and is third in the Eastern Conference. Vegas is fourth in the Western Conference with a 22-11-5 record. These teams have played once this season with the Panthers coming away with a 4-2 win. The Panthers have won four in a row. The Panthers are giving up just 2.51 goals per game and rank third in shots against. On the offensive end, they are putting up 3 goals a game. The Vegas Golden Knights are putting up 3.24 goals per game and are allowing 2.76 on the season. They have been struggling over their last five games, however, as they are scoring just 2.20 goals per game and are allowing 3.80 goals per game. Florida has been playing great defense and their offense is doing enough. Vegas is allowing a lot of goals in their last few games and are struggling to score. The Panthers are scoring 3.8 goals in their last five games while the Golden Knights are averaging 2.3 goals in their previous three games. Florida is getting slightly better offensive play but has a huge advantage between the pipes. Play on Florida. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
01-04-24 | Nuggets -140 v. Warriors | 130-127 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets go on the road to take on the Golden State Warriors. Denver is 24-11 this season and sits third in the Western Conference. Golden State is 16-17 and is 11th in the Western Conference. The Warriors have lost both games against the Nuggets this season. The Nuggets are getting it done on the defensive end, where they are giving up 109.8 points per game. On the offensive end, the Nuggets are putting up 115.1 points per game. The Warriors are putting up 116.9 points per game while on the defensive end, they are giving up 116.3 points per game. Both of these teams have averaged 115 points over their last three games. The big difference is on the defensive end, where over the same three games, Denver has allowed just 105.7 points per game compared to Golden State’s 120.3 points. The Warriors will struggle to match up against Jokic. Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games with the Warriors and 8-4 ATS in its previous 12 games overall. Denver has won the first two games this season and they make it a third tonight. Play on Denver on the money line. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
01-04-24 | Avalanche +116 v. Stars | 5-4 | Win | 116 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
The Colorado Avalanche are on the road for a Central Division clash against the Dallas Stars. In the last 10 matchups between the teams, the Avalanche are 6-3-1 and have won two in a row. Colorado has won three in a row and is 5-0-1 in their last six games. The Avalanche are 24-11-3 this season and are 2nd in goals per game at 3.63 goals a game. On the defensive end, they are 13th in goals against at three goals a game. Dallas has gone 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. The Stars are 22-10-4 this season and are tied for 4th in goals per game at 3.58 goals per game. On the defensive end, they are 16th in the league in goals against at 3.06 goals a game. Dallas is still without #1 goaltender Jake Oettinger, who is expected to miss another couple of weeks. Colorado has the better offense and should be better in the net. Take Colorado to win on the road Play on Colorado. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
01-04-24 | Penguins v. Bruins -140 | 6-5 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Penguins head to Boston for an Eastern Conference showdown against the Boston Bruins. The Penguins are seventh in the Metropolitan Division while the Bruins are leading the Atlantic Division, Boston comes into this one looking for their fifth win in a row. The Penguins are 24th in goals scored with their biggest problem being on the power play where they have connected on just 13.91% of their chances. Tristan Jarry is expected to get the start in goal for the Penguins. He is 11-11-2 this season with 2.58 goals allowed per game. On the season the Penguins are sixth in goals allowed. The Bruins are 15th in goals scored this season. They are converting on 27.53% of their power plays. Jeremy Swayman is expected to be between the pipes. He is 11-2-4 this season with 2.22 goals allowed per game. They are ranked third in goals allowed. The Penguins are 8-7-3 on the road while the Bruins are 11-2-3 at home this season. The Penguins have given up 15 goals in their last four road games. Boston has scored 18 goals in their last four games. The Bruins have allowed just 10 goals in their last five games. The Bruins have won their last four games by two or more goals. Play on Boston. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
01-03-24 | Indiana +5.5 v. Nebraska | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
The Indiana Hoosiers come into this game with a 10-3 overall record and 2-0 in the Big Ten. Nebraska is 11-2 this season with a 1-1 record in conference play. The Indiana Hoosiers are putting up 76.3 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 73.4 points per game. Malik Reneau leads the team with 16.2 points per game but injuries to Xavier Johnson and Jalen Rayford have limited the Hoosiers on the defensive end. The Nebraska Cornhuskers are putting up 77.6 points per game. Brice Williams leads the team with 13.7 points per game. The Hoosiers shoot the ball well and should have some success against the Nebraska defense. Both teams have been dealing with injuries but the Hoosiers have shown they can still score while Nebraska has been inconsistent on the offensive end. Take the Hoosiers and the points in this one. Play on Indiana. This is a 3% play | |||||||
01-03-24 | NC State -4.5 v. Notre Dame | 54-52 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 11 m | Show | |
The 6-7 Fighting Irish of Notre Dame and the 9-3 Wolfpack of NC State will clash in an ACC Conference game. Notre Dame enters 1-1 in conference play, while NC State holds a 1-0 record. The Wolfpack have won 5 of their last 6 and have covered four of those games. NC State is putting up 79.8 points per game and is shooting 46% from the field and 35% from deep. The Fighting Irish 6-7 with a 1-1 ACC record and are coming off a huge win against Virginia. The Irish are putting up 63.6 points per game and are giving up 65.6. They are shooting 40% from the field and 28% deep. Notre Dame sports one of the youngest, inexperienced teams in the nation. They are coming off a huge win over Virginia and they shot lights out in that game. I expect them to regress back to the mean against the Wolfpack. NC State is putting up 79.8 points per game and has an average margin of victory of 9.6 points. The Irish allow more points than they score on average. NC State has shown they can win on the toad and even though this is the fifth straight home game for the Irish they are just 2-2 over the last four. NC State has four guys averaging in double figures compared to the Irish’s two. I like NC State to win this game over the Irish as their offense will score enough to cover the number. Play on NC State. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
01-03-24 | Clemson v. Miami-FL | 82-95 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
The #16 Clemson Tigers go on the road to South Beach to take on the Miami Hurricanes. Miami has won the last three between the two teams while Clemson holds a 17-16 all-time edge. Clemson has won two straight and is 11-1 this season and 1-0 in the ACC. Clemson puts up 82.2 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 69.2 points per game. Clemson has three players scoring in double figures, led by PJ Hall with 20.5 points per game. Miami has won three straight and is 10-2 overall and is 1-0 in ACC action. The Hurricanes are putting up 84.7 points per game and they are giving up 69.8 points on the defensive end. Norchad Omier leads the team at 17.6 points per game. Both offenses can be explosive and put up points in a hurry. Pack and Poplar are critical to the Hurricanes’ attack so if they don’t go the Hurricanes' offense will be a little more limited. Miami is 8-0 at home with just two of those games decided by single digits. Clemson’s only loss was at Memphis by two points. I am going with Clemson in this one, even if Poplar and Pack can go they will probably not be at 100% Play on Clemson. This is a 3% play | |||||||
01-03-24 | Thunder -115 v. Hawks | 138-141 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City is 23-9 this season and is in second place in the Western Conference. Atlanta is 11th in the Eastern Conference at 13-19. They have played once this season, with OKC coming away with a 126-117 win. The Thunder are on the second game of a back-to-back after beating Boston at home 127-123. The Thunder have won four in a row. OKC is ranked fourth in points per game, at 121.5 points per game. On the defensive side, they are giving up 113.1 points per game. The Atlanta Hawks have struggled, winning just once in their last five games. Atlanta hasn’t had a problem on the offensive end, where they are putting up 122 points a game this season. The defense has been a problem for the Hawk. They are giving up 122.7 points per game on the defensive end. The Thunder have been playing better basketball around and have been doing it against tougher competition. Atlanta has a strong offense but the Thunder are not far behind on the offensive end the Thunder are a lot better on the defensive end. OKC will be traveling to Atlanta but I don’t see that as a big thing as it is not that far and Atlanta does not play great defense. Play on OKC on the money line. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
01-02-24 | North Carolina -4 v. Pittsburgh | 70-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Pitt will have homecourt advantage when they take on No. 8 North Carolina. The North Carolina Tar Heels are 9-3 this season. They are coming off a 106-60 win over Charleston Southern. The Pitt Panthers are 9-4 this season and are coming off a loss to Syracuse. The Tar Heels have won two in a row. The offense is putting up 86.3 points a game this season and they are shooting 46.7% from the field and 36.7% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 73.3 points per game. Pitt had won four in a row before losing to Syracuse. The Pitt offense is putting up 80.5 points per game while shooting 44.7% from the field and 35% from deep. On the defensive end, the Panthers are giving up 64.8 points per game. The Panthers have had success against Carolina, going 5-1 SU and ATS. The Tar Heels have played five of their last seven games versus ranked opponents. Pitt’s defense has struggled in ACC play, giving up 80 points per game in their two ACC losses. Over their last seven games each, Pitt is 2-5 ATS while North Carolina is 4-3 ATS. Carolina has played the much tougher competition and that will show down the stretch. Play on North Carolina. This is a 3% play | |||||||
01-02-24 | Utah State -7 v. Air Force | 88-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
The Air Force Falcons will host the Utah State Aggies in a Mountain West Conference matchup. The Aggies come into the game with a 12-1 record, while the Falcons are 7-5. Utah State is coming off an 80-65 win over East Tennessee State. Utah State is led by Great Osobor with 17.3 points per game. Ian Martinez adds under 13 points per game. The Air Force is coming off a loss to Northern Colorado by a score of 83-79. The Falcons are led by Ethan Taylor with 17.7 points per game and Beau Becker adds 15.8 PPG. The Air Force Falcons are putting up 69.2 points per game and on the defensive end, they are allowing 65 points. The Falcons are 4-8 overall at home but just 2-5 against the spread and have not covered in their last three games. The Utah State Aggies are putting up 79.3 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 68.5 points per game. The Aggies are just 5-5-1 against the number. Utah State has the better offense and that will carry them at home to a win and cover over an inconsistent Air Force team. Play on Utah State. This is a 3% play | |||||||
01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Undefeated Pac-12 champion Washington Huskies square off against the one-loss Big 12 champion Texas Longhorns in one CFP semi-final game. Texas has won seven straight games and they've outscored their last three opponents 132-44. Washington wants the ball in the hands of Michael Penix Jr. Penix led the country in passing yards and had 33 touchdowns with nine interceptions. Texas’s biggest strength on defense is stopping the run, the problem is Washington doesn’t like to run the ball. Texas and Ewers should be able to find success against the Huskies' defense I am not sure they can keep up with the Huskie offense. I am looking for a back-and-forth game that could come down to who has the ball last. Take the points in this one. Play on Washington. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
01-01-24 | Alabama +2.5 v. Michigan | 20-27 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
The Grand Daddy of them all kicks off the CFP Semi-Finals when No. 4 Alabama faces No. 1 Michi, they were able to win out but not without some close games to test them. Alabama’s offense was 17th in the country in scoring, at 35.1 points per game this season. On the defensive side of the ball, they allowed 18.4 points per game, 17th best in the country. The Wolverines finished the season as one of the four undefeated teams in the FBS. They ranked second in the country on the season allowing just 239.7 yards per game and the 9.5 points per game allowed was the best scoring defense in the land. The Michigan offense is second in the Big Ten and 14th in the country with an average of 36.7 points per game. This season, the Wolverines were 3-0 SU versus ranked opponents and Alabama was 4-1 SU. Michigan is 7-2 ATS over their last nine games. Michigan has not seen an offense like Alabama’s. This will be a battle of trenches and I like Alaba, to come out on top. Harbaugh has not shown he can win bowl games and the fact that JJ McCarthy has not shown he can win the game with his arm will play out on this one as I expect Bama to make Michigan beat them through the air. Play on Alabama. This is a 4% play | |||||||
12-31-23 | Steelers v. Seahawks -200 | 30-23 | Loss | -200 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
The 8-7 Pittsburgh Steelers clash with the 8-7 Seattle Seahawks in a non-conference battle that has playoff implications for both teams. The Steelers are in the 9th spot in the AFC, while the Seahawks are the 7th seed in the NFC. The Pittsburgh Steelers will go with Mason Rudolph once again over Kenny Pickett. Seattle controls their playoff destiny with two weeks remaining in the regular season. Seattle has covered in three straight in this series and in four of their last five, while Pittsburgh has only covered once in their last four games. Seattle has a home-field advantage and a more explosive offense. Rudolph played well last week but as we have seen this season backups struggle at some point and I think this will be that week for Rudolph. Take Seattle in this one. Play on Seattle. This is a 4% play | |||||||
12-31-23 | Oakland v. Youngstown State -165 | 88-81 | Loss | -165 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
The Oakland Golden Grizzlies are 6-8 overall and 9-5 ATS this season. They go on the road to take on the Youngstown State Penguins who are 10-3 overall and 5-4 ATS. The Golden Grizzlies are coming off a 75-67 road loss to Cleveland State while the Penguins took care of Navy nearly two weeks ago. Oakland has lost their last three games on the road. Looking at KenPom, Oakland is the 151st team overall with the 135th-ranked offense and the 199th-ranked defense. Youngstown State has won seven in a row. kenPom has the Penguins as the 136th ranked team overall with the 155th ranked offense and the 127th ranked defense. The Penguins have won their past seven games in a row, and are 10-3 overall, while the Golden Grizzlies have lost their past three in a row and are 6-8 overall. Oakland has failed to cover in five of their past six games, while Youngstown State has covered in seven of their past nine games. The Penguins offense will be the difference in this one. They should be able to find open shots against the Oakland defense and I am looking for Oakland to struggle on the offensive end. Play on Youngstown State. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Falcons v. Bears -145 | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons and the Chicago Bears do battle in the NFC. Atlanta comes in at 7-8 SU, 5-10 ATS while Chicago is 6-9 SU, 7-6-2 ATS. The Falcons are in second place in the NFC South, a game behind Tampa Bay, and ninth overall in the conference. Atlanta is scoring 19.1 points per game. On the defensive side, they are giving up 19.2 points per game this season. The Bears are 12th in the NFC and dead last in the NFC North. They are 3-1 SU over their last four and 4-2 SU over their last six. They are putting up 20.9 points a game and have averaged 24 points per game over their last three games. Chicago’s defense is giving up 23 points per game on the year but just 14.8 points per game over the last four. These teams have split the last four meetings, but Chicago is 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS over the last five games. Both teams like to try and run the ball but Chicago has the better run defense. The Bears defense has been outstanding and the offense is coming around. The weather could be bad which will give the Bears an advantage. Take Chicago at home to get the win. Play on Chicago on the Money Line. This is a 4% play | |||||||
12-31-23 | Rams -6 v. Giants | 26-25 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
The LA Rams come into this game on a nice run. They are 8-7 SU; 9-5-1 ATS and have gone 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games. The New York Giants are just 5-10 SU and 6-8-1 ATS. The Giants have covered in four of their last five and are 6-3-1 ATS over their last 10, They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four as home underdogs. The Rams have scored 30 or more in four of their last five games, and in the only game they didn’t hit the 30 mark, they scored 28. New York will go with Tyrod Taylor under center for this game. The Giants have not scored more than 20 points in consecutive games this season. The Giants offense has been bad all season and I am not convinced Taylor will make that big of a difference. The Ram's offense has been firing on all cylinders and I expect them to continue that success against the Giant's defense, The Rams should be able to move the ball on the ground and through the air and I expect them to control the game from the start. Lay the points with the Rams. Play on the LA Rams. This is a 5% play. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Oilers +103 v. Kings | 3-2 | Win | 103 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
The Edmonton Oilers head to LA to take on the Kings. The Oilers have won their previous two matchups with the Kings. Edmonton has won three straight and has scored four or more goals in their last three games. Los Angeles had their two-game winning streak snapped by Vegas. Los Angeles has allowed three goals or less in five straight contests. Edmonton is 11-3-0 over their last 14 games. The Oilers have won three of their last four games played in LA. The Kings are just 7-6-3 at home this season. Edmonton has won five of their last six games on the road. I like the Oilers in this one. Play on Edmonton. This is a 4% play | |||||||
12-30-23 | Lions +5.5 v. Cowboys | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions take on the Dallas Cowboys in a battle of playoff teams. Detroit comes into this game at 11-4 while Dallas is currently 10-5. Detroit has won two in a row. And won the NFC North last week. The Cowboys have dropped two straight and consecutive games and are a game behind the Eagles. This will not be a letdown spot for the Lions after winning the north last week. The Lions know it is important for them to try and get the second seed and be able to play games at Ford Field. Yes, the Cowboys are 7-0 at home but outside of the Eagles, they have not played a tough home schedule. Dallas has struggled against tough competition this season and comes into this game losing to the Bills and Dolphins the last two weeks. The Cowboys are just 18th in the NFL stopping the run and the Lions have one of the top rushing attacks with Gibbs and Montgomery. The Lions are 5-2 on the road this season. The Lions are also 3-1 in prime-time games this season. Goff will be playing indoors which is a plus and the Lion's offensive line is healthy. This is too many points for what should be a close game. Play on Detroit. This is a 4% play | |||||||
12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys OVER 52 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
The Lions have the fifth-best scoring offense and the Cowboys are sixth in scoring offense. The Lions have gone over the total in three of their last four games while the Cowboys have gone over the total in three of their last five games. Dallas is putting up just under 40 points per game at home this season. Detroit is the fourth-best scoring offense on the road this season. Playing indoors, Goff is completing 70.1% of his passes with 20 touchdowns. I think this will be a track meet with both teams having a good chance to get in the 30’s. Take the over in this one. Play on the OVER. This is a 5% play. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Raptors -3.5 v. Pistons | 127-129 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors are traveling to Detroit to face the Detroit Pistons. Toronto will be playing the second game of a back-to-back and has a record of 12-19 this season. Detroit is last in the Eastern Conference and has a record of 2-29. Toronto is putting up 113.2 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 114.5 points per game. The Detroit Pistons have lost 28 in a row. Detroit is ranked 28th in points per game at 109.7. On the defensive end, they are giving up 121.0 points allowed per game. Detroit has proven there is no lead too big for them to give up. No matter how good they look early you always have a chance to get back in the game. Toronto is putting up 113 points per game this season but has put up 123 in their last three. Detroit’s defense is worse than the Toronto’s and that will be the difference in this one. Play on Toronto. This is a 2% play | |||||||
12-30-23 | Heat -130 v. Jazz | 109-117 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat head to Utah to take on the Utah Jazz. Miami is 19-12 and is fourth in the Eastern Conference. Utah is 12th in the Western Conference at 13-19. Last season the Miami Heat won both games against the Jazz. The Heat have won three in a row. The Miami Heat are getting it done with their defense as they rank seventh overall in points allowed at 111.5. On the offensive end, they are putting up 113.4 points per game. in their last game. The Utah Jazz have been struggling on the defensive end where they are giving up 119.1 points a game. Utah is putting up 113.3 points per game. With or without Jimmy Butler, the Miami Heat are playing well right now. Both teams have covered the spread in four straight. Both offenses are about the same and Miami has the better defense. Miami loves to shoot the three and Utah struggles to defend the three. Take Miami on the moneyline. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Auburn v. Maryland UNDER 48 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
I can’t see a lot of quick-scoring drives in this game. Auburn held Alabama to just 27 points, and Arkansas, Vanderbilt, and Mississippi State to a combined 38 points. Auburn is allowing just 21.9 points per game. They rank first in the SEC in red zone defense, allowing opponents to score just 75% of the time, which also ranks 19th in the nation. Maryland will struggle to score without Tagovailoa under center. Auburn will rely on their running game to slowly grind out the clock and try to wear down the Maryland defense. Maryland’s defense gave up just 23.3. I don’t see big passing plays coming from either team and this could very easily be a field goal kicking contest. Play on the UNDER, This is a 4% play | |||||||
12-30-23 | Creighton v. Marquette -3.5 | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
The Creighton Bluejays and Marquette Golden Eagles meet up in a Big East battle. Creighton is 9-3 while Marquette is 10-3 on the season. Creighton has had a week and a half off after suffering a conference loss to Villanova, a game in which they led by 14. Creighton is 25th in the country in points per game this season. On the defensive end, the Bluejays are 65th in points allowed per game. The Golden Eagles are 66th in the country in scoring offense and are 57th in points allowed per game. The Golden Eagles are 7-0 at home this season and have 17 straight wins at home overall. The Bluejays' offense has struggled in recent games. They have lost two of three games. Marquette won both games last season. At home last season, they were -3.5 favorites and beat the Bluejays by 11 points. Creighton’s defense. Creighton is 0-3 ATS in their last three games. I am taking the home team in this one. Play on Marquette. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Ole Miss +5 v. Penn State | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
The SEC and Big 10 battle for Conference supremacy when Ole Miss takes on Penn State in the Peach Bowl. Both teams come into this game at 10-2. Ole Miss comes into this one at 6-4-2 ATS. The Rebels were untouched by the transfer portal offensively. They will be without their starting right tackle due to injury. Jaxson Dart threw for 2,985 yards with 20 touchdowns and five interceptions. Quinshon Judkins rushed for 1,052 yards. They had only one opt-out on a defense that gave up 23.7 points a game this season. Penn State went 9-3 ATS this season. Penn State had two key opt-outs on the defensive side in DE Chop Robinson and CB Johnny Dixon. Drew Allar threw for 2,336 yards with 23 touchdowns and just one pick. Kaytron Allen rushed for 851 yards. Penn State’s defensive ranked third in points allowed at 11.8 points per game. They will be without DC Manny Diaz who left for Duke. I am looking for a close game in this one. I think Big 10 defenses are a little over. overrated as there are not a lot of explosive offenses in the conference that you have to face on a weekly basis. In a QB battle between Dart and Alla, I am choosing Dart all day long. Penn State’s offense struggles against quality defenses and i also think the losses of Robinson on the d-line and Dixon at cornerback will hurt the defense. I like Ole Miss to win outright but take the points. Play on Ole Miss. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Virginia -9.5 v. Notre Dame | 54-76 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
The Virginia Cavaliers go on the road to take on the Fighting Irish of Notre Dame. The Cavaliers have won 17 of 20 games against the Irish. The Cavaliers are 10-2 on the season overall and stand 1-0 in the ACC. The Cavaliers are putting up 66.8 points a game this season. On the defensive end, they are giving up just 54.5 points a game which is second best in the country. Notre Dame snapped a three-game losing streak with a close win over Marist last time out. The Fighting Irish are 5-7 on the season and are 0-1 in the ACC. The Fighting Irish are putting up 62.6 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.6 points per game. Notre Dame has huge issues on the offensive end of the floor. They were only able to score 60 against Marist and now face a Virginia defense that suffocates offenses. Virginia has gone 8-2 SU over their last ten meetings with Notre Dame but are just 4-6 ATS. This season, Notre Dame is 5-7 ATS and 0-3 ATS in their last three games. The Irish are also just 4-3 SU at home this season. Virginia is 7-5 ATS and 4-2 ATS in their last six. Virginia will not run teams out of the gym but their defense will limit the Irish offense. ND has struggled to score against mediocre teams and they will find it very difficult to score in this one. Play on Virginia. This is a 2% play. | |||||||
12-29-23 | San Diego State +7 v. Gonzaga | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
This will be the first game of a home-and-home series between the San Diego State Aztecs and the Gonzaga Bulldogs. SDSU comes into this game with a 10-2 record while #13 Gonzaga holds a 9-3 record. The San Diego State Aztecs reached the National Championship Game in the 2023 NCAA Tournament and returned three of their top four scorers. The Aztecs are just 3-7 against the spread. They are putting up 77.2 points per game. Gonzaga is putting up 84.4 points per game. Gonzaga is 4-7 against the spread this season. San Diego State has the type of team that can keep this one close. The Aztecs are a slightly above-average shooting team and the Zags perimeter defense is suspect. This should be a close game that could come down to the final possession. I am taking the points in this one Play on SDSU. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-29-23 | Kings +1 v. Hawks | 117-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Both the Atlanta Hawks and Sacramento Kings are looking to right their respective ships. The Hawks are on a three-game losing streak and have lost seven of their last ten while the Kings have lost two in a row and three of their last four games. Sacramento ranks eighth in the league in points per game but just 22nd on the defensive end in points allowed. Like the Kings, the Hawks have a high output offense which ranks third in the league in points per game but like the Kings, they are poor on the defensive end where they rank 27th in points per game. Both teams have struggled as of late. Both teams can score but their play on the defensive end has been terrible. The Hawks have the worst record in the league against the spread and are four games under 500 at home this season. Atlanta has only covered seven of their 30 games this season. The Kings have a more balanced attack on offense which will be enough for them to get the win in this one. Play on Sacramento. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-29-23 | Bucks -5.5 v. Cavs | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks square off against the Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA action. Milwaukee is 23-8 this season while Cleveland is currently 18-13. The Bucks have won eight of their last night games while Cleveland has won five of their last six. Milwaukee is 8-1 in their last nine games, with an average margin of victory of +12.2. Cleveland has won two straight and five of their last six games. Cleveland is dealing with a lot of injuries at the moment. Mobley and Garland are out and Mitchell is still a question mark. If Mitchell does go. Cleveland will still be without two starters and this Bucks team is starting to put things together with their new pieces. The Bucks have too much offense in this one. Play on Milwaukee. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-29-23 | Nets -6 v. Wizards | 104-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets go on the road to take on the Washington Wizards. Brooklyn lost to the Milwaukee Bucks after winning two straight games against the Pistons. Washington is on a three-game losing streak after losing to the Toronto Raptors by 30. The Nets are putting up 116.2 points. The Nets are giving up 116.3 points a game. The Wizards are putting up 116.6 points a game and on the defensive end, they are ranked last in points allowed per game. The Nets have been good on the offensive end this season and with their best players being rested yesterday they should have a huge night against the Washington defense. The Wizards have given up the most points in the NBA. The Wizards have been struggling all season long and have not played consistently on either end of the court. The Nets have more depth and more scoring options. They blew out the Wizards the last time these two teams met and I look for the same in this one. Play on the Brooklyn Nets. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-29-23 | Predators -104 v. Red Wings | 4-5 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Nashville Predators will be on the road and take on the Detroit Red Wings. Nashville is 19-16-0 this season while Detroit is 16-15-4. Nashville ranks 18th in goals per game and 22nd in shots per game. They have scored two or fewer goals in five of the last nine games. On the defensive end, they rank 15th in goals against per game and 19th in shots against per game. The Red Wings rank fifth in goals per game and 20th in shots per game. They have scored three or more goals in five of the last nine games. On the defensive end, they rank 24th in goals against per game and 24th in shots against per game. The Preds are 8-2-0 in the last 10 meetings against Detroit. In those 10 games, Nashville averaged 3.40 goals per game while Detroit averaged 1.60 goals per game. Nashville has won six of their last 10 games while Detroit has lost eight of their last 10 games and is playing without their top two goalies. Take the Preds in this one. Play on Nashville. This is a 3% play | |||||||
12-29-23 | Memphis +10.5 v. Iowa State | 36-26 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Memphis and Iowa State will meet in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl. The game will actually be played in Memphis’ home stadium. The Tigers are 9-3 this season and won five of their last six games. The Cyclones are 7-5 this season and they split their final four games of the season. Memphis is putting up 39.7 points per game which ranks seventh in the nation. On the defensive end, they gave up 29 points per game. Memphis is 4-7-1 against the spread this season. The Tigers are 1-4-1 against the spread when Memphis has played at home this season. The Tigers lost starting RG Davion Carter, S Cameron Smith, and OT Makylan Pounders to the transfer portal. Iowa State will be without their top two running backs for this game. Iowa State put up 26.3 points per game. On the defense side, the Cyclones are allowing 21.7 points per game. Iowa State is 7-5 against the spread this season. This is the first time this season that Iowa State has been a double-digit favorite. ISU will be going with a freshman running back and quarterback. Memphis will be able to put up points in this game as they can move the ball on the ground and through the air. The Cyclones' defense is good, but it's not elite. This is a lot of points as I don’t think the ISU offense can score a ton of points. This is just too many points. Play on Memphis. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-29-23 | Notre Dame -6 v. Oregon State | 40-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
No. 19 Oregon State and No. 16 Notre Dame meet in the Tony the Tiger Sun Bow. The Beavers were 8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, and went 5-4 in Pac-12 play. The Fighting Irish finished 9-3 SU, 9-3 ATS. Oregon State averaged 33.8 points per game but over their final two games, they averaged just 13.5 points per game. Oregon State’s defense allowed 21.5 points. They not only lost their head coach and most of their offensive staff but were hit hard with the portal and opt-outs. Starting quarterback D.J. Uiagalelei and tight end Jack Veiling entered the transfer portal, wide receiver Anthony Gould declared for the NFL Draft, and running back Damien Martinez was suspended. On the defensive side, they lost their two top tacklers. QB Ben Gulbranson threw one pass all season. The Fighting Irish won four of their last five to close out the season. Notre Dame put up 39.1 points per game and their defense allowed just 16.6 points per game. As bad as the exodus was for Oregon State it was worse for the Irish. Starting quarterback Sam Hartman and running back Audric Estime left for the NFL Draft while their top three wide receivers went into the portal. They also lost two starting offensive tackles and their starting center, as well as their two top tight ends. On defense, starting linebacker Marist Liufau and cornerback Cam Hart also left. QB Steve Angeli had little playing time this season, going 19-25 for 272 yards with four TDs and an INT. Both teams have been decimated by the transfer portal and opt-outs. Both teams will be going with backup quarterbacks and probably running backs depending on whether or not Martinez plays. OSU’s Gulbranson started the last eight games in 2022 but threw just one pass this season. Notre Dame has enough on defense to allow them to get the win and cover. Play on Notre Dame. This is a 2% play. | |||||||
12-29-23 | Notre Dame v. Oregon State UNDER 41.5 | 40-8 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Oregon State split their games evenly this year between the over and under. Notre Dame went over the number in eight of their 12 games in the regular season. They went over in their last five games to end the season. Playing time has been very limited for many of the Notre Dame and OSU players. OSU’s quarterback has only thrown one pass this season. I can see both teams looking to establish the run. I think the defenses will be ahead of the offenses. Take the UNDER. Play on the UNDER. This is a 2% play | |||||||
12-28-23 | Spurs v. Blazers -4 | 118-105 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs are just 4-25 this season and 11-18 ATS. They go on the road to take on the Portland Trail Blazers who are 8-21, 14-15 ATS. The Spurs have lost five in a row after a loss to Utah while Portland is coming off a win against Sacramento. The Trail Blazers are the better team overall playing at home and will have some mismatch advantages. The Trail Blazers have covered in three of their past four matchups. The Spurs have won just once in their 24 games and would be the joke of the league if it weren’t for the Pistons. Take the Balzer at home. Play in Portland. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-28-23 | Arizona -135 v. Oklahoma | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
In the Valero Alamo Bowl, the No. 14 Arizona Wildcats take on the No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners. Arizona finished the season with a 9–3 record, while the Sooners finished 10–2. The Sooners will have to go without starting quarterback Dillon Gabriel, who has already transferred to the Oregon Ducks. Quarterback Noah Fifita has been a catalyst for Arizona's success. The Wildcats' three losses have been all decided by one score. Arizona had minimal losses through the transfer portal and NFL opt-outs. On the other hand, Oklahoma has had significant losses, impacting key positions, including the departure of offensive coordinator Jeff Lebby, the offensive line, and the absence of star quarterback Dillon Gabriel. Arizona should be able to score on a Sooner defense that gave up 29 points in their last seven games. I can’t trust the Sooner offense with all their losses, especially at quarterback. Play in Arizona on the money line. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns -7.5 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
The New York Jets head to Cleveland to take on the Cleveland Browns. New York is 6-9 SU, while Cleveland is 10-5 SU,as well as 10-5 ATS. The Jets have gone 2-1 SU over their last three games, but they had lost five in a row before that. The Jets offense is 30th in the NFL in scoring at just 15.4 points per game. On the defensive end, the Jets are giving up 21 points a game but have given up 29 points in their last two games. The Browns, despite all their struggles at quarterback this season, have won three in a row and are fifth place in the AFC. Cleveland’s offense is putting up 23 points a game this season and they have averaged 29 points per game over their last three games. On the defensive end, the Browns are giving up 22 points per game. New York is 7-3 SU and ATS in the last ten games. The Jets are on their fourth different quarterback and with Zach Wison not expected to make it back, The Brown's defense will be able to tee off on the Jets' offense. Over their last eight games, the Jets are 1-7 ATS. In their last nine games, Cleveland is 7-2 ATS and 3-0 ATS over their last three. At the end of the season, motivation can become a factor and the Browns have all the motivation in this one. The Browns can clinch a playoff spot with a win, while the Jets are hoping this nightmare season will be over soon. The Jets only rank 30th in scoring and will have trouble putting up points against Cleveland's top-ranked defense. I am looking for Cleveland’s defense to control this game and the offense to score enough to cover. Play in Cleveland. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns OVER 34.5 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a pretty low number and I can see the Browns pitching a shutout but will go with a flier on the over. The Jets scored 30 last week and the Browns have been scoring over their three-game winning streak and the Jets defense has averaged 29 points the last two games. Cleveland has gone over in four of their last five games. They have scored at least 36 total points in eight of their last ten meetings. Cleveland’s offense has scored at least 21 points in nine games this season. With Flacco under center, they have averaged 26.5 points per game. The over is 4-1 in Cleveland’s last five games and 2-1 in the Jets last three. Play on the OVER. This is a 3% play | |||||||
12-28-23 | Pacers -1 v. Bulls | 120-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers head to the Windy City to take on the Chicago Bulls. Indiana is coming off a 123-117 win over the Rockets on Tuesday. The Pacers are in eighth place in the Eastern Conference. Indiana is putting up 125.8 points per game and is shooting 50.2% from the field and 37.8% from three. On the defensive end, they are giving up 125.4 points per game. Chicago is in 10th place in the East and fourth in the Central Division. The Bulls are putting up 110.2 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 112.4 points per game. The Pacers have not played as well since the in-season tournament but they continue to make shots at a high level. Chicago's offense has not been great this season but has been playing better, but the Bulls don't have a lockdown defense, and will not be able to keep up offensively. The Pacers are the most efficient team in the league. Chicago's offense is inconsistent in hitting open shots. I like the Pacers in this one. Play on Indiana. This is a 4% play | |||||||
12-28-23 | SMU -10.5 v. Boston College | 14-23 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
The 24th-ranked SMU Mustangs take on the Boston College Eagles Wasabi Fenway Bowl. The Mustangs finished the regular season with an 11-2 record and nine straight wins, while the Eagles struggled down the stretch to finish at 6-6. The SMU Mustangs put up 40.2 points per game. Quarterback Preston Stone threw for 3.197 yards with 28 passing touchdowns to six interceptions but is out with a broken leg. Kevin Jennings started and won the AAC title game for the Mustangs. As good as their offense was, their defense was just as good, allowing 17.4 points per game. The Boston College Eagles lost their final three regular season games. The offense averaged 25.0 points per game. On the defensive end, they gave up 29.5 points per game. The Mustangs are the better team and should be able to dominate on offense even with Jennings at quarterback. Patrick Garwo is one of Boston College’s best players but he neutered the portal which will limit their offense even more. BC has caught a break with the weather and it is very mild in Boston for late December. SMU has a lot of weapons and now Jennings has had a month to prepare for this game and work with the offense. I like SMU in this game as BC did not look good closing out the season and the Mustangs have more to play for. Play on SMU. This is a 3% play | |||||||
12-27-23 | Louisville -7 v. USC | 28-42 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Louisville has a top-ranked defense and as they say, defense travels. USC hasn’t had much of a defense either on the road or at home. The Trojans will be facing the Louisville defense with a backup quarterback and runningback. When going with a quarterback that hasn’t seen a lot of action, teams turn to the running game but USC will be going up against the 14th-ranked Cardinals rush D. Louisville will also be missing key portions of their offense but will still have veteran QB Jack Plummer. Key Louisville players are entering the NFL draft but will look to improve their stock worth here. USC not only lost Williams for this game but also their top running back, their receiver with the most touchdowns, and a starting cornerback will miss this game as well. They are also missing extra pieces on defense that were not very good when at full strength. USC went 3-9 ATS this season. USC has only covered once since September 23rd. With the advantage at quarterback and defense for Louisville. I like them to win and cover over an unmotivated USC team. Play on Louisville. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-27-23 | Bucks -4.5 v. Nets | 144-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Milwaukee stays in New York City to take on the Brooklyn Nets after dropping their Christmas Day game to the Knicks. Brooklyn won their game last night against the Detroit Pistons but came away with a push after missing 5 of 6 free throws in the last 26 seconds. The Buck's loss snapped a seven-game winning streak. The Bucks have played well over the last week or so, putting up 132 points per game over their last 8. For the season, they are putting up 124.5 points per game this season. They are shooting 49.9% from the field and 38% from three-point range. On the defensive end, they are giving up 119.1 points per game. The Nets have won two in a row, against the Pistons, after losing five straight. For the season, Brooklyn is putting up 116 points per game. They are shooting 46.8% from the field and 38.5% from three. On the defensive end, they are giving up 115.5 points per game this season. Milwaukee is 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS over their last games versus Brooklyn. The Nets have the ability to light up the scoreboard but can and will struggle on the offensive end against the Bucks. Play on Milwaukee. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-27-23 | North Carolina v. West Virginia -5.5 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
The W. Virginia Mountaineers has not been hit as hard in terms of opt-outs and portal transfers as Carolina has. When you lose your quarterback who is projected to be the no.1 or 2 pick in the draft, your offense is going to take a hit. Harrell will be making his first career start for the Tar Heels. The freshman quarterback will also be without some of the team’s top weapons. West Virginia will have pretty much all of their starters for this one. Down the stretch, the Tar Heels went 1-4 ATS over their last five games while the Mountaineers went 3-2 ATS over the same span. Without Maye and Walker going for the Heels, the Mountaineers had a significant advantage. I look for West Virginia to try to run and succeed in running the ball against the Heels' 89th-ranked run defense. North Carolina always has the ability to just outscore everyone but that ability is gone in this one. Take the Mountaineers in this one. Play on W. Virginia. This is a 3% play | |||||||
12-26-23 | Wolves +2.5 v. Thunder | 106-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Two of the top teams in the Western Conference meet up when the Minnesota Timberwolves go on the road to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Timberwolves are a 1/2 game behind Boston for the best record in the NBA at 22-6. The Thunder are 18-9 so far this season. The Wolves are 10-5 on the road this season. The Wolves have the 18th-ranked scoring offense and the first-ranked scoring defense. Karl Anthony Townes is listed as questionable for this game with a knee injury. The OKC Thunder are currently 18-9 on the season and are in third in the conference. The Thunder has the fifth-ranked scoring offense and the 14th-ranked scoring defense. Josh Giddey has an ankle injury and is listed is questionable for this game. Minnesota took the first-ranked game between the two, 106-103. These teams are evenly matched and i am looking for a close game. I am going to take the points with Minnesota in this one. Play on Minnesota. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-26-23 | Jazz -2.5 v. Spurs | 130-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz are go on the road to take on the San Antonio Spurs. Utah has won two straight and five of their last seven. The Jazz are 12-18 on the season and are in fourth in the Northwest Division. The Jazz are putting up 113 points per game this season. On the defensive end, they are giving up 119.4 points per game. San Antonio has lost four in a row and 22 of their last 23. They are just 4-24 on the season. The Spurs are putting up 110.6 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 123 points per game. Wembanyama has missed two of the last three games and is questionable for this contest. Utah has won two straight, both on the road, and five of their last seven games. The Spurs have lost 22 of their last 23. I like the jazz in this one, with or without Wemby in for the Spurs the Jazz still have an edge. Play on Utah. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-26-23 | Nets -6 v. Pistons | 118-112 | Push | 0 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets take on the dreadful Detroit Pistons. The Nets took care of the Pistons 126-115 at home on Saturday. The Nets had lost five in a row before beating the Pistons. The Nets have covered the spread in just one of their last five games. The Nets have struggled on the road lately going 1-4 overall and ATS in their five games on the road. Brooklyn is putting up 116 points and on the defensive end, they are giving up 115.5 points. The Pistons are the worst team in the league, and they are on a 26-game losing streak. The Pistons have covered in one of their last five games. There is no home-court advantage for the Pistons as they have won just once on their home floor. They have covered in just one of their last five home games. Detroit is putting up just 109.2 points and on the defensive end, they are giving up 120.9 points. They have given up at least 124 points in four of their last five games. Detroit has lost by at least eight points in nine of their last ten games. The Pistons haven’t shown me that they can play a consistent four quarters. Play on Brooklyn. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-25-23 | Ravens +6.5 v. 49ers | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a potential Super Bowl matchup in February. The Ravens match up well against the 49ers on both sides of the ball which makes this number a little high for a game that could come down to who has the ball last. Baltimore has been favored in all but one of their games this season. The one time they were an underdog, they won outright. The Ravens are 4th in scoring offense and 1st in scoring defense. The 49ers are good and playing really well at the moment but let's not forget they did lose three in a row earlier in the season. Baltimore’s defense will give Purdy and the offense some problems. I am taking the points in this one. Play on Baltimore. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers UNDER 47 | 33-19 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
It is going to be hard to establish long drives and I would expect the offenses to break down before the defenses. These are two of the best defenses in the league. Baltimore is first in defensive scoring, and San Francisco is second. I don’t see a lot of long plays with a lot of underneath passes in the passing game. Both teams will look to establish a running game and with a lot of short passes you can get some long time-consuming drives but I don’t see a lot of touchdowns. I can understand liking the over as both offenses are high-powered but I like the defenses to shine in this one. Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles OVER 43 | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
The Eagles defense has not been as stout as people had thought it would be this season. The Giants have the worst passing game in the country and the Eagles have the second-best rushing defense. The Giants are also near the bottom in third-down conversions. The Giants have gone under in 10 of 14 games. The Giants D will be no match for the Eagles offense. The Eagles have too many weapons and I expect them to come out firing and try to get the offense back on track. I like the Eagles to score in the 30’s themselves and the Giants will score just enough to push this over the number. Play on the over. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-25-23 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 42 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 1 h 51 m | Show | |
When they last met, these two combined for 48 points, which marked the sixth time in the last seven meetings between these two teams that went over the number. This season these two teams have gone under in 19 of 28 games. You have to throw out last week's game against the Chargers but in the four games before the Chargers game, Vegas didn’t score more than 17 points in a game. They have not scored more than 17 points in 10 games this season. Las Vegas has stayed under the number in four of their six road games this season. Five of the Chiefs’ six home games have gone under the number. Both defenses are in the top 10 in scoring and I am looking for a low-scoring game in this one. KC has not been putting up a ton of points on their own and I don’t see the Raiders scoring much in this one. Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-25-23 | Bucks -155 v. Knicks | 122-129 | Loss | -155 | 1 h 10 m | Show | |
This will be a rematch from Saturday's contest won by the Bucks 130-111. Milwaukee is second in the Eastern Conference at 22-7. New York is 16-12 and sits sixth in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks will be looking for their eighth win in a row. They are putting up 124.6 points per game this season, and on the defensive end, they are giving up 118.8 points per game. New York is ranked ninth on the defensive end, allowing 112.0 points a game. On the offensive end, they are putting up just 114.6 points per game. The Knicks play solid defense but were unable to slow the Bucks down. Milwaukee has too much firepower and the Knicks don’t have the offense to match up. Play on Milwaukee. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins UNDER 48.5 | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
These are the top two scoring offenses in the NFL. The Cowboys' offense isn't as strong on the road as it is at home. If Hill can’t go or is even slowed, the Dolphins' fast-paced offense losing something. The Cowboys are ranked just 15th in the NFL in turning red zone opportunities into touchdowns while the Dolphins have dropped to 21st in the NFL. Miami is banged up at wideout, offensive line, and running back. Tua and the offense will struggle against the Cowbow’s fron seven and the Miami defense should be able to slow Dak down. I am looking for a tighter defensive game in this one. Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-24-23 | Lions -2.5 v. Vikings | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lions played their most complete game of the season and possibly in years last week against the Broncos. They look to clinch the NFC North with a win. Detroit has proven they can win on the road and with a backup for the Vikings at quarterback they should have confidence coming into this one. Detroit has one of the league's best running games and should be able to control the ball on the ground, which will open up their passing game. Detroit has covered the spread in two of their last three games, while Minnesota hasn't covered in any of their last three. Detroit has covered in five straight against the Vikings. Detroit’s offense is not as good on the road, but they will be indoors for this one. Detroit has its eye on the prize and will come away with the NFC North title. Play on Detroit. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-24-23 | Lions v. Vikings OVER 47.5 | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Both offenses can put up points and both defenses have given up points at times this season. The Vikings have the league's best receiver back on the outside and will be definitely targeting him in this game. Detroit may not have the best receiver, but they do have one of the best and a loaded receivers room to with him. They also have a two-headed monster in the rushing game, which when not grinding out yards is an integral part of the passing game. The over has hit in the last three games between these two and in five of Detroit's last six games overall. Play on the OVER. | |||||||
12-24-23 | Browns v. Texans UNDER 40 | 36-22 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Without CJ Stroud, Houston has moved to a more rush-focused offense with Devin Singletary getting most of the work. Both teams rely on field goals and defense and that is even more pronounced now with both teams going with backups. The Texans are 18th in the league with 32 touchdowns while Cleveland is 22nd with 30. The under has hit in 4 of the last 5 for the Texans. With Houston relying on the run and I don't think the get much from the passing game, and the Brown’s offense being what it is, I like this game under the number. Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-23-23 | Bills -11.5 v. Chargers | 24-22 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills go on the road to take on the Los Angeles Chargers. The Bills won two straight and three of their last four. They have scored at least 30 points in three of those games. They are in the top 10 in passing and running the ball. They will be facing a Chargers defense that does not defend the ball well and is worse against the pass. The Chargers fired coach Brandon Staley and general manager Tom Telesco, They have lost five of their last six games including two straight and three straight home games. They have not scored more than 20 points in four of their last five games. Easton Stick will be under center so don’t expect much from their passing game and their running game is poor. It is hard to see the Chargers getting up for this game after quitting last week against the Raiders. Lay the points with the Bills. Play on Buffalo. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +3 | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
We have an AFC North showdown with huge playoff implications between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Pittsburgh Steelers. Cincinnati comes into this contest at 8-6 and sixth in AFC while Pittsburgh is currently 7-7 and sits 10th in the playoff hunt. The Bengals Jake Browning has guided the Bengals to three straight wins after losing his first start at quarterback. The Steelers have lost three in a row and will be going with a new quarterback. TJ Watt leads the NFL in sacks and should be able to apply pressure to Browning and cause some bad throws. The Bengals will be without Chase in this one. It is hard to believe Tomlin could be in trouble, I look for Pittsburgh to rely on their defense and eke out a win. Play on Pittsburgh. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers UNDER 38 | 11-34 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
The Bengals’ run defense ranks 28th in the league, allowing 128.3 yards per game. I expect Pittsburgh to try and loosen the load on Mason Rudolph and try to establish Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren on the ground and shorten the game. The under has cashed in 10 of the last 14 games between these two teams when the game is played in Pittsburgh. This will be an AFC North battle that will rely on the defenses and with no Chase, the Bengals offense will be more limited. Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-23-23 | Bucks -120 v. Knicks | 130-111 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks travel to Madison Square Garden to face the New York Knicks. Milwaukee is 21-7 and sits second in the Eastern Conference. New York is fifth in the Eastern Conference at 16-11. Last season the Bucks won all three of their games against the Knicks. The Bucks come into this game having won five in a row. They are putting up 124.4 points per game. They are shooting 49.6 percent from the field and 37.9 % from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 119.0 points. The New York Knicks are playing well on the defensive end, where they are giving up just 111.4 points per game. On the offensive end, they are putting up 114.7 points per game. They rank sixth in three-point shooting percentage, the Knicks are 23rd in field goal shooting percentage. The Bucks have the second-best offense in the league. Even though the Knicks have a strong defense, their defense struggles against stronger offensive opponents. In their last three games against top 10 offenses, the Knicks lost by at least 10 points. The Knicks will find it difficult to match up against Antetokounmpo and Lillard. The Bucks will overpower the Knicks in this one. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-22-23 | Nuggets -4.5 v. Nets | 122-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets go on the road to take on the Brooklyn Nets. Denver has won five of six and three straight on the road. The Nuggets score 115.2 points per game and shoot 49.0 percent from the field and 37.3 percent from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 110.3 points per game and their opponents shoot 46.2 percent from the field and 35.7 percent from deep. The Nets put up 115.6 points per game and are shooting 46.5 percent shooting from the field and 38.4 percent from deep. On the defensive end, they give up 115.3 points per game. Brooklyn started the season 17-5-1 ATS but has lost four straight ATS. The Nets are too reliant on the three-ball. The Nuggets can take away the three-ball and are tough to score on at the rim. The Nuggets shouldn’t have a problem scoring against the Nets defense. I am looking at the Nuggets to roll in this one.
Play on Denver, This is a 4% play | |||||||
12-21-23 | Spurs v. Bulls -4.5 | 95-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs head to the Windy City to face the Chicago Bulls. The Spurs have lost 20 of 21 games and do not have Wembanyama back who is battling an ankle injury. Chicago is coming off a win over the Lakers last night and will be on the second game of a back-to-back. The Bulls have won seven of their last ten even though they have been without Zach LaVine. Chicago has been playing better basketball without LaVine and has covered the spread in eight of nine games. The Spurs do not have the perimeter defenders to slow down Derozan and White. Tskr the Bulls. Play on Chicago. This is a 4% play | |||||||
12-21-23 | Jazz v. Pistons | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz are on the road to take on the Detroit Pistons. The Utah Jazz are putting up 112.2 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 119.5 points per game. Detroit is putting up just 108 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 120.8 points per game. Utah is allowing 115.0 points in their last four games while Detroit has been torched for 132.0 points in their last five games. This is a second game of a back-to-back for the Jazz but it won't matter. Detroit can’t stop anybody on defense and struggles to score. Play on Utah This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-20-23 | Baylor v. Duke -150 | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
The #10 Baylor Bears take on the #21 Duke Blue Devils. Baylor enters this non-conference contest 9-1 while Duke is currently 7-3. Baylor has won 9 of 10 but were blown out against their only competition. Duke is 7-3 but has played tougher competition. This will be Baylor’s first game against a ranked opponent. They lost by over 20 to a Michigan State team that Duke has already beaten. The Bears do not have an answer for Kyle Filipowski down low. Baylor’s defense is its weakness. Michigan State shot lights out against Baylor and I look for Duke to have similar success, Play on Duke on the money line. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-19-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Warriors | 126-132 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Boston heads west to take Golden State in NBA action. The Celtics are 20-5 this season and they have the best record in the Eastern Conference. The Celtics have won five straight games and 8 of their last 9. Golden State is just 12-14 overall and they are in 11th place in the Western Conference. The Warriors have won back-to-back games. Boston is putting up 117.6 points per game and they shoot 47.8% from the field and 37.2% from behind the arc. On the defensive end, they are giving up 108.5 points per game and their opponents shoot 44.5% from the field and 36.5% from behind the arc. Kristaps Prozingis is questionable for Tuesday’s game. Golden State is putting up 115.9 points per game and they are shooting 45.5% from the field and 37.1% from seep. On the defensive end, the Warriors are giving up 115.7 points per game and their opponents are shooting 46.5% from the field and 34.9% from deep. Paul is questionable to play on Tuesday. Gary Payton II is still out with an injury while Draymond Green has been suspended indefinitely. The Warriors have struggled this season with injuries and suspensions and have not found their rhythm. Golden State has not been shooting as well as past teams and the Celtic’s defense will make things difficult. Without Green, they will struggle to slow down Tatum and Brown. Golden State is also just 3-9 against the spread when playing at home. Play on Boston. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-18-23 | Clippers -155 v. Pacers | 151-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Clippers will meet the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Clippers, are currently sixth in the Western Conference with a 15-10 record, while the Indiana Pacers are 13-11 and are seventh in the Eastern Conference. The Clippers are putting up 115.6 points per game while shooting 48.0 percent from the field and 37.7% from beyond the arc. On the defensive end, they are giving up 110.0 points per game, and their opponents are shooting 45.1% from the field and 34.6% from deep. The Indiana Pacers lead the NBA in scoring with 127.4 points per game. They shoot 50.4% from the field and 37.7% from deep. On the defensive side, they are giving up 126.0 points per game, and their opponents are shooting 50.8% from the field and 39.6% from deep. The Clippers are getting it done on both ends of the court. The Clippers are putting up 115 points a game and should be able to score against a Pacers defense that has some deficiencies. The Pacers have an outstanding offense but I think the Clippers will be able to slow things down. The Clippers should be able to control things on the boards. I like the Clippers in this one. Play on the LA Clippers on the money line. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars UNDER 40.5 | 23-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
The last two games between the two have gone over the number. Both teams rank in the top half of the league in several key offensive categories. The Ravens rank at in the top 10 in the league in average points scored per game on the road. Baltimore has scored 20 or more points in three straight games on the road. The Jaguars have gone over the total in four of their last five games played at home and they scored 30 or more in three of their last four. The Jaguars' defense ranks in the bottom half of points per game allowed. They give up more points at home than on the road. Baltimore has gone over in three of their last four games. Jacksonville has given up 30 points in back-to-back games against backup quarterbacks. I would expect Baltimore to do the same. Jacksonville could struggle with Lawrence's slack of mobility but they should do enough to put this one over the number. Play on the over. This is a 3% play | |||||||
12-17-23 | 49ers -11.5 v. Cardinals | 45-29 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers have a division matchup with the Arizona Cardinals. San Francisco comes into this game at 10-3 while Arizona is currently 3-10. San Francisco has won five in a row. The Cardinals were in the running for the top draft pick but for some reason, they have decided to win two of their last four games. San Fran has been blowing teams out over their winning streak, with an average margin in their wins being 19.4 points. They have the league’s third-best offense with 29.2 points a game. They will be facing a Cardinals defense that ranks 30th with 25.5 points allowed per game. San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in their last six matchups against the Cardinals. San Fran is in a fight for the top spot in the NFC and even though they are in the driver's seat they can’t let up on the gas. Play on San Fran. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-17-23 | Falcons -2.5 v. Panthers | 7-9 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers come in at 1-12 and unfortunately, they don’t own the No. 1 draft pick in the upcoming draft. The Atlanta Falcons come in at 6-7 and are hungry for a win. The Buccaneers, Falcons, and Saints are tied for the NFC South so all games count for the Falcons. Atlanta will rely on their defense which ranks 12th in scoring at 20.7 points per game. They give up 3.9 yards per rush (10th) and 6.6 yards per pass attempt (8th) which will be tough for the struggling Panthers offense to overcome. Atlanta's offense scored just 15 points last week and has exceeded 20 points in four of their past five games. On the season, they have put up 19.3 points a game as they have spent the season trying to find a consistent quarterback. Carolina’s offense has struggled to integrate a rookie into an offense with no weapons or offensive line. They are putting up just 15.2 points per game and have failed to score a touchdown in 3 games this season. The Panthers' defense spends too much time on the field and gets tired late. They have given up 26.2 points per game. The Falcons score 19.3 points per game and should find success against a Panther defense that allows 26.2 points per game. The Falcons took the first game of the season by 14 and I can't see how Carolina has made significant improvement. Only two teams score fewer points than the Panthers. I look for Atlanta to move the ball on the ground with Robinson and pick their spots through the air. Take Atlanta to win this game. Play on Atlanta. This is a 5% play. | |||||||
12-17-23 | Bears +3 v. Browns | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears somehow find themselves in the mix for the playoffs as they are 13th in the NFC with a 5-8 record. They do come in on a two-game winning streak. The Cleveland Browns have been playing well despite a ton of injuries. They are the fifth seed in the AFC with an 8-5 record. The Bears' offense is putting up 20.8 points a game. They are fourth in the league with 138.0 rushing yards a game and will need to establish the run to minimize the Brown’s pass rush. The defense is giving up 23.8 points per game but has been playing better since Montez Sweat joined the defense. They have allowed just 23 combined points over the last two games. The Cleveland Browns are putting up 22.2 points a game. They are a dominant running team ranking seventh in the NFL. Joe Flacco has been playing well since joining the team. This defense has allowed just 20.9 points a game but will be without their leading tackler and second-best pass rusher. Chicago is allowing 16.8 points in their previous four games while Cleveland is giving up a remarkable 30.7 points in their last three games. Chicago can continue winning games with a chance to make the playoffs and be locked into the top pick in the NFL draft. Cleveland will be without two top defensive players, both offensive tackles and a guard. Sweat has made a huge difference to the Bears pass rush and Flacco is not that mobile. I think the Bears' defense will be the difference and the Bears have a great chance to win this game outright. Play on Chicago. This is a 5% play | |||||||
12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions OVER 48 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Detroit defense has been terrible over the last few games as they have had to deal with injuries throughout the year. Russel Wilson is not as mobile as Fields but the Lions have had issues with running quarterbacks.This will be a shootout with both teams having a big day offensively. Detroit has gone over in four of their last five, and four of five against the Broncos. Denver has scored at least 21 points in four of their last five games. The Lions' defense is giving up an average of 29.8 points in their last five games. The Lions have scored at least 31 points in three of their last five games. The over is 4-1 in the Lions' last five games. Play on the OVER. This is a 5% play. | |||||||
12-16-23 | New Mexico State -170 v. Fresno State | 10-37 | Loss | -170 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
The New Mexico State Aggies and the Fresno State Bulldogs meet up for the Isleta New Mexico Bowl game. New Mexico State finished with a 10-4 overall record. Fresno State was 8-4 overall and lost three in a row to finish the season. New Mexico put up 28.7 points per game this season. On the defensive side of the ball, they gave up 21.8 points per game. All three quarterbacks are listed as probable or questionable for this game. Fresno State is putting up 29.9 points per game and on the defensive side, they are giving up 24.6 points per game. Pavia is listed as probable for the Aggies and is expected to play. He would be a big loss as he leads the team in passing and rushing. Fresno State has one of the worst rushing defenses in the country and New Mexico State has two rushers in Pavia and Star should be able to exploit the defense. New Mexico State has covered the spread in 10 of their 14 matches while Fresno State has gone 4-8 ATS. Play on New Mexico State on the money line. This is a 3% play Play on Mew Mexico State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-16-23 | Steelers v. Colts UNDER 42.5 | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh and Indianapolis enter the week in those 6th and 7th playoff spots in the conference, but four other teams share a 7-6 SU record with them. Both teams will be going with a backup QB this week. The Colts offense ranks 8th in Points per Game at 24.2 and the Colts defense ranks 29th in Opponent Points per Game at 25.4. Those two factors tend to put Colts games over the number. They have gone over the number in three straight and in six of the past eight games. Pittsburgh hasn't scored more than 20 points in over a month. Pittsburgh has gone under in 10 of their 13 games, as they rely on their defense to make plays. The Steelers are still only 27th in scoring. Both teams are on their backup quarterbacks, and will probably rely more on the ground game to attempt to keep this game close. I am looking for a low-scoring AFC battle and I don’t see Pittsburgh doing enough to put this game over the number. Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-16-23 | Arizona -125 v. Purdue | 84-92 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
The #1 Arizona Wildcats take on the #3 Purdue Boilermakers in the Indy Classic. The Wildcats are a deep team and have five players scoring in double figures. Arizona is currently 1st in the AP Poll, and ranks 2nd according to KenPom. The Wildcats rank 6th in offensive efficiency and 2nd in defensive efficiency. KenPom has Purdue ranked as the #3 team and their offense ranks 3rd in the nation in efficiency and their defense ranks 9th. Edey is a monster inside but will have to compete against 2 capable 7-footers for Arizona. Edey is used to scoring on smaller opponents, but Ballo is a powerful 7-footer, and Krivas is 7'2. Arizona is undefeated straight up and against the spread and that won’t change here. Play on Arizona. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-16-23 | Texas A&M v. Houston -7 | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
The Texas A&M Aggies will take on the fourth-ranked Houston Cougars in the Halal Guys showcase. Texas A&M is coming off a loss to Memphis that dropped them out of the top 25. The Aggies are 2-1 on the road this season. Houston has won their home games by an average of 36 points. Texas A&M is 2-3 in their last five games. Texas A&M is putting up 76.6 points a game and is shooting 43.2% shooting from the field and just 28.3% from three. Texas A&M is giving up 69 points a game while their opponents shoot 42.9% from the field and 35.2% from three. Houston is putting up 76.4 points a game and is shooting 43.6% from the field and 34.7% from deep. On the defensive end, the Cougars are giving up just 49.7 points and their opponents are shooting 35% shooting from the field and 27.5% shooting from deep. The Aggies have lost three of their last five as their offense has been inconsistent and their defense has not been shutting teams down as it did to start this season. Houston is one of the most experienced teams in the country. Houston has not allowed 70 points or more yet this season. Houston is the better offensive team and the vastly better defensive team. The Aggies rely on the three and I don’t think they will be able to shoot well enough to stay in this one. Play on Houston. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-16-23 | Vikings v. Bengals -155 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals will play host to the Minnesota Vikings in an intra-conference matchup. Cincinnati is 7-6 overall and sits in 10th place in the AFC, tied with four other teams. The Vikings are also 7-6 overall and in sixth place in the NFC. The Vikings have won six of their last eight after starting the season 1-4. Nick Mullens replaced Dobbs in the fourth quarter and will get the start in this game. He may be without one of the best receivers in the league with Justin Jefferson being listed as for questionable for Saturday’s game. Alexander Mattison, wide receiver Jalen Nailor, and guard Dalton Risner are also questionable. The Vikings are putting up 20.5 points per game which ranks 21st.and on the defensive side of the ball, they are giving up 18.6 points per game. The Vikings are 7-4-2 against the spread this season. Jake Browning has been decent since replacing Burrow going 2-1. He could be without wide receivers Ja’Marr Chase and Tyler Boyd who are listed as questionable for Saturday’s game. Cincinnati is putting up 21.5 points per game and on the defensive side, they are giving up 22.1 points per game. The Bengals are 6-6-1 against the spread this season. They are 2-1 against the spread since Burrow’s injury. Both teams have gone to back-up quarterbacks and in the Vikings case, it will be their fourth. The Vikings offense will not be able to move the ball well enough to come close to winning on Saturday. The Bengals have won two straight games and have scored more than 30 points in both games. The Vikings' pass defense isn’t very good, so I expect them to struggle to slow down the Bengals' passing game. The Vikings have lost two of their last three games and haven’t looked good on offense. Take Cincinnati to cover the spread. Play on Cincinnati. This is 3% play | |||||||
12-16-23 | Georgia Southern -140 v. Ohio | 21-41 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
The 2023 Myrtle Beach Bowl between the Ohio Bobcats and the Georgia Southern Eagles kicks off the 2023-2024 bowl season. Ohip will be without starting quarterback Kurtis Rourke, who has entered the transfer portal, and backup quarterback CJ Harris, who is sidelined with a medical condition. The Georgia Southern Eagles are on a four-game losing streak. Georgia Southern is 5-3 Against the Spread as favorites this season. Ohio will struggle on the offense end with a third-string quarterback and their top two running backs due to transfers. They will have most of their defense for this game which will be needed to keep them in this game with a diminished offense. The Georgia Southern offense was able to move the ball well against most of its opponents during the regular season. Georgia Southern's defense is not good but should be able to slow down the Ohio offense with their lack of weapons. Take Georgia Southern in this one. Play on Georgia Southern on the money line. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-16-23 | Georgia Southern v. Ohio UNDER 49 | 21-41 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Ohio's offense is currently much weaker than Georgia Southern’s defense and will have a hard time scoring with a weakened offense. Ohio's defense allowed 15.4 points per game. The total has finished under in 12 of Ohio's last 16 games and in six of the last seven games Georgia Southern has played during the month of December. With the offensive struggles that Georgia Southern showed down the stretch and with Ohio’s offense being down to their third-string quarterback, I think this number is a little on the high side. Play on the UNDER. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-15-23 | Connecticut -4 v. Gonzaga | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
UConn is one of the top teams in the country and while Gonzaga is a very good team I have them a notch below the Huskies. Both teams score in the mid to upper 80s, and on the defensive end, they are allowing in the mid 60’s. Both shot over 50% from the field as well. Gonzaga had to go against a big man in the middle in Zach Edey but it did not go well. Edey had 25 points and 14 rebounds and even though Donovan Clingan is not Edey, he will cause problems for Gonzaga around the rim. UConn has three over 40% of their shots, connecting on 70% of them. UCONN has the outside shooters to stretch the defense and open the inside for Clingan. UCONN gets a big win here. Play on UCONN. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-15-23 | Magic v. Celtics -165 | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
The Celtics lost by 17 points to the Magic in their previous matchup this season and will have revenge on their mind. They shot just 7-for-29 from deep and I expect that to get better in this game. The Celtics have been great at home to start the season. They are 9-4-1 against the spread at the Garden. The Celtics are 5-2-1 against the spread when they have been single-digit favorites at home. Orlando is 7-4 against the spread when they have played on the road. I look for Tatum and Brown to dominate in this game and get revenge for the blowout loss. Play on Boston. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-15-23 | Pacers -8.5 v. Wizards | 123-137 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
The Wizards are ranked tenth in points per game, while the Pacers are number one. The Pacer defense is ranked second to last in points allowed, the Wizards are the worst. The Indiana Pacers have played well on the road having won four of their last six games. The Washington Wizards have just one home win all season and they have lost 15 of their last 16 games. Indiana leads the NBA in scoring, while the Wizards are the worst defensive team in the NBA. Washington has lost by at least 20 points in three straight games. The Pacers will outscore the Wizards and cover the number. Play on Indiana. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-14-23 | Thunder v. Kings OVER 244.5 | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Both of these teams play at a faster tempo, with both teams in the top 11 of the league. Each team is in the top 10 in points per game. OKC shoots the ball well from the outside while Sacraments struggles to stop their opponents from shooting from the outside. Both teams will get into the 120’s and send this game over the number. Play on the over. This is a 2% play. | |||||||
12-14-23 | Thunder +1.5 v. Kings | 123-128 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder go on the road to take on the Sacramento Kings. OKC is second in the Western Conference at 15-7. Sacramento comes in with a 13-9 record, good for sixth in the Western Conference. The Kings won all three games between the two last season. OKC has won four of their last five games. OKC ranks fifth in points per game at 120.4. They are shooting 49.2% from the field and 39.1% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 112.8 points a game. Sacramento is putting up 116.3 points a game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 116.9 points per game. OKC is the better team on both ends of the floor. They also play better on the road than at home. OKC shoots the ball from the outside and Sacramento struggles on the defensive end stopping shots. I think OKC has a good chance to win this game outright. Play on OKC. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-14-23 | Blackhawks v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
These are two of the bottom-scoring teams in the NHL. Chicago is struggling on both ends of the ice and even though they have let up a lot of goals, I don't expect Seattle to take advantage of it and score a lot of goals. the Kraken have scored more than two goals just twice over their last six games overall. The total has gone under in four of Seattle’s previous six outings and four of its last five home contests. The under is 5-2 in Chicago’s last seven games overall and 5-1 in its last six with the conference rivals. Play on the under. This is a 3% play | |||||||
12-14-23 | Lightning v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Edmonton has been hot on offense, scoring four or more goals in seven of the last eight games. Edmonton ranks sixth in goals per game and third in shots per game. Tampa Bay ranks 30th in goals against per game. The over is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. The Lightning averages 3.20 goals per game. The Oilers have scored 39 goals in the last eight games while the Lightning have allowed 12 goals in the last three games. I don’t think we will have to wait long for this over to crash. Play on the over. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-14-23 | Lightning v. Oilers -165 | 7-4 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Lightning heads to the Northwest of Canada to take on the Edmonton Oilers. lace. Tampa Bay is 13-12-5 while Edmonton is 13-12-1. Tampa Bay won the first meeting between the two this season. The Lightning offense ranks 14th in goals and 15 in shots this season. They have scored two or fewer goals in six of their last nine games. On the defensive end. They rank 17 in shots but are a dismal 30th in goals against. Since Connor McDavid returned to the lineup the offense has been clicking. They rank 3rd in shots per game and 6th in goals per game. They have scored four or more goals in seven of the last eight games. On the defensive end, they rank 20th in goals against and fifth in shots against per game. Edmonton has won eight in a row coming into this game. The Oilers average 3.50 goals per game, they should be able to find the back of the net against a Lightning back end that is allowing 3.53 goals per game. I like the Oilers to extend their winning streak to nine with a win at home against the Lightning. Play on Edmonton. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-14-23 | Chargers v. Raiders -145 | 21-63 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show | |
Two teams with nothing to play for meet up for Thursday Night Football. The Los Angeles Chargers are 5-8 overall this season and just 4-8-1 ATS. Las Vegas is 5-8 overall and 6-5-2 ATS. The Chargers have lost four of their last five games, and have lost Herbert for the season. Over their last three games, they’ve averaged just 7.7 points per game on offense. For the season, they have put up 21.7 points a game and the defense has allowed 21.7 points per game. The Raiders offense hasn’t scored more than 17 points in any of their last three games and for the season they are putting up just 15.5 points per game. On the defensive side, they are giving up just 19.9 points per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Over the last ten meetings, the Raiders hold a slight 5-4-1 ATS advantage. The Chargers struggled to score with Herbert out last week and I don’t see them doing much against the Raider’s defense. The Raiders are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games and the Chargers are 1-4 ATS. The Raiders didn’t score last week but come in as the favorite. I think they will be able to move the ball enough against the Chargers' defense to score some points. I can’t see how a Chargers team playing with a third-string quarterback and no running game will be able to score against the Vegas defense. It may take the Vegas defense to score to win this one. Play on the Vegas Raiders on the money line. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
12-14-23 | Chargers v. Raiders UNDER 34 | 21-63 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 15 m | Show | |
These two teams have scored a combined 33 points in their last two games. Los Angeles kicked just two field goals against New England and have scored a total of just 23 points over their last three games. They struggle to run the ball and will be going with a third-string quarterback. Vegas has a decent defense that will limit the Chargers' already limited offense. The Raiders’ offense has only once scored over 17 points in their six games. The under is 6-4 in the last ten meetings between these two. The under is also 8-2 in the Raiders' last ten games and 9-1 in the Chargers' last ten. The Raiders and Vikings combined to score three points last week, and the Chargers and Patriots only combined to score six points in the previous week. This game will be ugly and I don’t see a lot of scoring in this game. Play on the UNDER. | |||||||
12-14-23 | Hurricanes v. Red Wings +151 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Carolina has lost five of their past seven games. On the road, they are 7-10-0 and have lost four of their last five road games. Detroit is 7-3-1 over their past 11 games and is 15-9-4 on the season. They are 8-4-3 at home this season. Detroit has won six of the last 10 and 3 of the last five against Carolina. Carolina has struggled on the road this season while Detroit has played well at home and is 3-1-1 in their last five games on home ice. The addition of veteran Patrick Kane to the lineup has added depth to a young and talented team. I am taking the dog on home ice in this one. Play on Detroit. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
12-13-23 | Sabres v. Avalanche -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 125 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Sabres head to the Mile High City to take on the Colorado Avalanche. Buffalo ranks 24th in goals per game and 18th in shots per game. They have scored three or fewer goals in seven of their last 10 games. On the defensive end, they rank 20th in goals against per game and 12th in shots against per game. Colorado ranks fifth in goals per game and ninth in shots per game. They have scored three or more goals in seven of the last 10 games. On the defensive end, they rank 13th in goals against per game and 10th in shots against per game. Colorado is 8-2-0 in their last 10 games against Buffalo. Over those 10 games, the Avs have averaged 4.00 goals per game, and Buffalo has averaged 2.40 goals per game. The Sabres have struggled on offense, scoring three or fewer goals in seven of their last 10 games. The Avs scored three or more goals in seven of the last 10 games. The Avs have the better overall team and a lot better offense. Lay the goal and a half in this one. Play on Colorado minus 1.5 goals. This is a 3% play. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $581 |
Matt Fargo | $441 |
Rocky Atkinson | $438 |
Ray Monohan | $419 |
Marc Lawrence | $353 |
Ricky Tran | $301 |
Kyle Hunter | $290 |
Jim Feist | $237 |
Dan Kaiser | $222 |
ProSportsPicks | $220 |